fair point that
This is from a non-Florida fan replying to those JA Florida fans that thing they are the best team ever and thinking that Meyer won't leave their team for notre lame...
I remember you ignorant "football fans" down there in Florida (where I grew up and lived for 23 years) saying the same crap when SS was going to leave. "He isnt going anywhere, he wont leave us!". Yeah well, we all know what happened there. Meyer will leave, you "football fans" know it as well as I do. Florida fans have got to be the most ignorant waste of space in the college football world ANYWHERE. Half of you cant name anyone on the team unless he is a stand out star like Tebow or Harvin. And god help us all if you have to be given the time to name anyone other than STAND OUTS on anyone elses teams. You wear the colors and do that stupid chomp but most of you dont even know what time kick off is on Saturday, its PATHETIC. Like I said, I like most of my life in Florida and went to school down there, I know what I'm talking about. you win 3 national titles in 100 years and think you are a powerhouse while most of your team is being thrown in jail and half the "fans" dont even know what quarter it is at the games because you are all drunk. "na na na na.....GATOR BAIT"....WHAT? That is the DUMBEST chant I've ever heard. Think about what you are saying MORONS. GATOR BAIT? BAIT?............BAIT? BAIT is used to CATCH something. So in other words, you call your opponents BAIT and your players are the dumb animals that run up to bite the BAIT and get caught............yeah, that chant just strikes fear into the hearts of every IDIOT out there.....WTF. "come on gators, get up and go!".....um......forgive me if I'm a little rude with this one but I think the whole country has done you idiots a solid not laughing at your uniforms all these years, they look like they were designed by queer eye or something, cursive "gator" on the side of a bright orange helment with that almost neon blue? Yeah, you guys are scary to say the LEAST. If that was not bad enough you all sing together, "come on gators, get up and go!!!!!", I imagine Andy Dick singing that every time I hear it. Your team is a joke, your fans are football STUPID and your games are mostly just a big redneck frat party. I've actually heard this from a Florida GRAD and "big gator fan",...and I quote, "we would have beat you if you wouldnt HAD scored that last touchdown"........YOU THINK? MORONS......
One last thing about that chant and those uniforms. There are other things that tie into both of those, how about SS on the sideline with that SAME young QB all those years that never played a snap but you never saw old Steve without his lil boy toy. And whats with your players kissing each other all the time? I mean, even the guys on ESPN have said something about it during games. If you ask me, something is way off down there, WAY off.
As Michigan fans get ready for year two of this new fangled offense, it strikes me that the old measures of success are no longer applicable.
In days of old when the ball was rarely in the air, just making receptions was a thing of beauty. But now with every other play being a swing pass or a slip screen, simply catching the ball is not enough.
Case in point, Marvelous Matavious Odoms. He, being the record holder of receptions, has yet to actually impress me. At least not on a consistent basis. Yes, he had 49 receptions. But what did he do with them? He averaged 9 yards per reception. He scored 1 touchdown. I yawned.
Because what you're not seeing in those stats is the number of drops he had. You're not seeing the number of times he gained 3 yards when we needed 4 on third down. And you're not seeing his pathetic work on returns.
Cumulative stats mean less and less these days. Back around the time I was born, teams played 10 games and maybe a bowl. Now some teams play 14 per year.
Texas Tech seems to set new passing records every year. But their quarterback went undrafted. For a while, John Navarre held most of the passing records at Michigan. John Navarre was probably the 5th or 6th best QB I've personally seen suit up for the maize and blue. (Brady, Griese, Harbaugh, Grbac, Collins, Henne, argue amongst yourselves)
The problem with these stats is that they only keep track of the good, without penalty of the bad. What would be much more telling are stats that include efficiencies.
"Aha, but what about the one hit wonders?!" I can hear you say. "What about the LB who catches 1 yard passes on the goal line for TD's? Should he be considered the best receiver?" No you fool. But he should be given props.
No. Stop thinking so one-dimensionally. This is a college full of engineers. So find one, buy him some beers, and get him to explain how one point does not a histogram make, my young padawan.
There is some consciousness of the need for better stats. Increasingly, commentators rely on things such as yards per carry or yards per attempt. These are better. It's two pieces of information combined into one. It's like Ernest Rutherford looking at the plum pudding model and saying, "Wait, we can do better!" But they're far from perfect.
This is why QB's have more complicated efficiency ratings. This is why Brian complains about redzone scoring efficiency. People know that flats stats are useless. (BTW redzone scoring efficiency should be points scored in the redzone per redzone trip. Yeah, it's not out of 100 %, but it's an easy number to understand. A team with a score of 3.5 is not as good as a team with a 6.8. Or if you don't have a kicker and go for two every time you could get a score of 8.0)
So let me be your Neil's Bohr and suggest some stats that can take us to a deeper understanding of a receiver's value in football. If you happen to work for ABC or ESPN, please send me proper compensation for when you utilize these in your graphics.
Some of these are not of my original creation. Like Newton with the Principia, I simply gather these ideas and put my own concise twist on them to go along with my own inventions.
a) Yards per thrown at. This has three pieces of information in it. I want to know how many times he catches it, but give him a penalty for drops, and find out what he does with it after catching it.
b) TD's per redzone thrown at. This tells you if the WR is a big target who can get open in close space or box out effectively.
c) Conversion Efficiency = (receiving yards minus (half the yards to go)) multiplied by the down number per thrown at. Gaining 12 yards on 4th and 10 is a 28, Gaining 6 yards on 1st down is a 1. 6 yards on 3rd and 5 is a 14. Gaining 3 yards on 3rd and 8 is a -3
d)Snag and Go = (Total receiving yards/(yards BEFORE the catch)) multiplied by (receptions per thrown at). This tells you if the kid is dependable, if he's got any shake and bake. The first ratio is high for a guy like Steve Breaston, but close to one for a guy like Jason Avant. But Avant would score higher on the second ratio, just not enough to overcome his lack of YAC.
So there it is, your new measures of receiver excellence. And if you think this is over the top, wait till you see what I've got in mind for QB's. Gametracker stats will have lots more colorful graphs.
And if I get bored enough this summer, I'll even prove that these stats work by going to mgovideo and getting numbers for Braylon, Mario, and Martavious, and show you just how much work the kid needs to do.
There is an interesting article in the Wall Street Journal about congress deciding the fairness of the BCS System.
If anyone is interested: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124692993074303505.html
Whenever the BCS comes up there is always a lot of talk and a lot of disagreement between what is "fair" and what is best for college football. I think most college football fans would agree that a playoff would be ideal. The argument against of course being it takes away from the most meaningful regular season in all of sports, where all of a sudden one or 2 losses doesn't knock a team out of a chance to win the national championship. I agree that a 16 or 32 team playoff takes a bit away from the regular season, and all of a sudden that O$U U$C game doesn't mean as much early in the season. Maybe there is a way to get the best of both worlds...
Thus, my proposal: How bout a 4 team playoff? The 4 best teams in the country in a semi final and a final. Correct me if I'm wrong but I don't remember there being a year where more than 4 teams had a legitamate beef about getting snubbed out of the BCS title game. With 4 teams fighting for the chance at the championship, the regular season remains just as important, while the Utah or Boise State of the season that goes undefeated will have a chance to earn a spot in the National Championship game even if they are 4th in the BCS rakings
Hi everyone. This is my first diary entry. It has absolutely nothing to do with Michigan, but I hope that you will find it interesting and would appreciate any feedback that you may have. So anyway, here it goes:
Dave Dombrowski has been the GM and President of the Detroit Tigers since 2002. He has presided over the worst season in team history and the team's first successes in over a decade. Along the way, he has made some great moves and some abysmal ones. What he has done, however, is consistently show that he has balls. Here is an evaluation of some of the most important events of his tenure.
Firing GM Randy Smith and taking over his duties (2002) - This move was obvious and necessary. Smith had managed to destroy any hope of short term success with a variety of stupid contracts (exp. Bobby Higginson for $11.75M) and necessitated a rebuilding effort.
Tabula Rasa (2003) - Dombrowski purged the team of almost all MLB (or at least MLB ready) talent, removing all bloated contracts, for the 2003 season as part of the rebuilding effort. However, in doing so, he produced the second worst team record-wise in MLB history, something completely unacceptable.
Signing Ivan Rodriguez (2003-04 offseason) - Dombrowski's first major signing was a huge success. Pudge, who was passed on by other teams due to injury concerns, was signed to a large contract that included safeguards if he wound up being unable to play for most of a season. Pudge proved instrumental to the 2006 pennant run.
Trade for Carlos Guillen (2003-04 offseason) - This was a great move. Guillen was instrumental to the team every year minus this year. Furthermore, he is a hard worker and is willing to play injured (which he did for a lot of last year and is why he's on the DL).
Signing Ugueth Urbina and Troy Percival (2003-04 offseason) - Percival was injured in early July, 2004 and didn't play for the Tigers ever again. Urbina is in Venezuelan prison for attempted murder. Needless to say, this was not a good move.
Signing Magglio Ordonez (2004-05 offseason) - A nearly identical situation to Pudge. Ordonez provided an even bigger offensive boost than Pudge. Ordonez was also considered to be a bigger risk as he was coming off of experimental knee surgery.
Trade for Placido Polanco (2005) - The Tigers gave up Ugueth Urbina and Ramon Martinez for a consistently good hitter and a solid defender. This was a great move. It didn't hurt the Phillies too much though, as they were making room for Chase Utley.
Signing Kenny Rogers (2005-06 offseason) - Rogers was another free agent passed on by a lot of teams due to concerns over his age, health, and temperament. He was integral to the 2006 AL pennant team, but faded afterwards. His signing was another great move.
Hiring Jim Leyland (2005-06 offseason) - Getting Leyland out of retirement has been a blessing.
Gary Sheffield (2006-07 offseason) - Dombrowski traded Humberto Sanchez, our top minor league prospect, along with two other prospects for Sheffield. Then, Sheffield was offered a large extension. This deal was a complete fiasco. While none of the traded prospects panned out, Sheffield's $14M contract for this year meant that we had no money to spend on any other top free agents, which is one of the reasons that the Tigers have so many holes this year.
Extensions for Jeremy Bonderman and Nate Robertson (2007) - These extensions cost the Tigers $19.5M this year and $22.5M next year. Both pitchers have major injury problems and are unlikely to ever become full time starters ever again. Both contracts seemed reasonable, but slightly risky at the time. They turned into disasters.
Trading Jair Jurrjens for Edgar Renteria (2007-08 offseason) - This was, hands down, the worst trade of the Dombrowski era. Jurrjens is currently a solid starter for the Braves and leads the Braves with a 2.91 ERA. Renteria performed horribly for the Tigers and was not re-signed for the next season.
Trade for Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis (2007-08 offseason) - This was an excellent trade. While Willis has not panned out, neither has any of the prospects we sent Florida. Meanwhile, we got Cabrera, who is now the top hitter on our team.
Extension for Miguel Cabrera (2008) - Assuming he doesn't sustain serious injury, Cabrera will likely be part of the core of our lineup for years to come.
Extension for Dontrelle Willis (2008) - An absolute disaster. The Sheffield, Bonderman, Robertson, and Willis contracts are the reason that the Tigers have been thus far unable to sign Verlander to a long term deal.
Trading Ivan Rodriguez for Kyle Farnsworth (2008) - While I don't disagree with trading Pudge, who wanted to be traded, trading for literally any other player on the Yankees roster would have yielded more benefit to the Tigers. Farnsworth had a bloated $5.5M contract, which was paired with his consistency in giving up runs in close games.
Trading Matt Joyce for Edwin Jackson (2008-2009 offseason) - This is perhaps the best trade of the Dombrowski era. Jackson has made the front end of the Tigers' rotation one of the most formidable in the Majors and has been instrumental to the Tigers remaining in contention. Joyce was a good outfield prospect, but the Tigers are full of outfield prospects anyway so his loss is negligible.
Anyway, that concludes the summary of Dombrowski's tenure with the Tigers. If anyone feels that I missed something important, please comment.
On a serious note this weekend we saw a great competitor pass. By all accounts Mr. McNair was a great man on many of the score cards we use to score men.
Cinderella Story – Check! Deciding to attend a traditionally black school, Steve McNair put I-AA Alcorn State on the map with a senior year totaling 5,799 total yards and 53 TDs. That year he proved that the little school can make people take notice finishing 3rd in the Heisman voting behind NFL RB greats Ki-Jana Carter and Rashaan Salaam. In fact he had a great run in the playoffs that year finishing the year with a game in which he threw for 514 yards and 3 TD’s but still came up short to a little known coach of Youngstown State, Jim Tressel.
Successful Athlete – Check! 1995’s 3rd pick in the draft, he waits two years behind Chris Chandler before getting his start in 1997. He proceeds to throw for the most yards since Warren Moon wore the baby blue, rush for the third most yards by a QB in NFL history, and sets a franchise record with only 13 ints. That would only be the beginning of a career highlighted by a Super Bowl appearance, 2003 Co-MVP of the league, 5 playoff appearances, and 3 Pro Bowls.
Man of the People – Check! Always willing to pitch in, his wife and he spent countless hours loading food, water, and clothes on trucks that he hired heading for Hurricane Katrina victims. In 2001 he founded the Steve McNair Foundation devoted to serving underprivileged children through programs and grants focusing on inspiring and empowering today's youth to utilize the educational, civic, and athletic opportunities available to them.
Family Man – Check! By all accounts he was a loving and caring husband who had four children that he adored and inspired. He was committed to his family and cherished his new found time in retirement to spend as a family man.
Everything going for him, and yet he throws it away on the fleeting thrill of a 20 year old waitress. I don’t find joy in another man’s failure, but instead use it as a reminder. Today I’m going to hug my children a little tighter, kiss my wife a little longer, and at the end of the day make sure my heart only lingers on the one God gave me.
There has been a lot of talk about RR's recruiting efforts, especially on defense. When the 2010 class arrives at Michigan there will have 3 DTs and a converted FB on scholarship. So how can RR no offer a DT from Detroit with offers from both O$U and Oklahoma? Hankins has been rumored to really like Michigan and would commit with an offer. It seems that RR is being more picky than we would be led to think.
With no bowl game to prepare for RR was able to get the recruiting process for 2010 in full swing earlier than he or anyone else wanted. This led to him offering approximately 160 recruits. This was pretty inconsistent with the way Michigan usually does business. I don't think RR offered that many players in 2009. Having that many offers to fill about 20-22 scholarships would seem reckless. This even led to RR telling a player he had offered that would have to wait and could not commit immediately. A lot of this is the result of such a subpar 2008 season that will hopefully not continue in the future. So it seems that RR has offered many more recruits then he needs, possibly some he really doesn't want, yet still no offer for Jonathon Hankins at a position of great need.
Word from the camp where the Hankins offer was decided is that he was still out of shape. Hankins was told to work on his conditioning and a offer could still be issued. So RR has offered over 160 recruits but not one in his back yard with offers from top schools. What gives? RR always talks about how he and Barwis want kids who love football and want to work hard. I am totally for that but at the same time you have to be a pragmatist. Isn't it better to gamble that Barwis can fix Hankins instead of taking a lesser talent? Its also possible that RR is holding out the offer like a carrot to motivate him, but that seems inconsistent with the slew offers he gave out.
For the most part people believe that RR knows what he is doing on offense and with recruiting on that side of the ball. The defense is more in the hands of GERG and other assistant coaches. I don't know much recruiting is delegated and whatnot but it is safe to say RR is not a proven defensive recruiter yet.