spoiler alert: i linked this
This is part one of the two part preview. This portion will cover the three contests that take place on Friday. I know a lot of people intend on getting out to Rynearson Stadium on Friday or Saturday to check out the teams and prospects as they open their seasons.
I’d continue to reference my 2010/2011/2012 rankings/watchlists for the time being. I’ve continued to update it as I’ve seen players who I think are deserving of being on the watchlists.
This Friday/Saturday at Eastern Michigan’s Rynearson Stadium the Big Day Prep Showdown is taking place. For more information on the event, check out the BDPS website. The schedule for the event is as follows:
FRIDAY, AUGUST 28TH, 2009
SATURDAY, AUGUST 29TH, 2009
MADISON HGTS. LAMPHERE V. WARREN FITZGERALD
ADRIAN V. MONROE
DET. KING V. MUSKEGON
SALINE V. BELLEVILLE
HUDSONVILLE V. LAKE ORION
ANN ARBOR HURON V. CHELSEA
INKSTER V. ANN ARBOR PIONEER
Obviously the most high profile game is the Saturday night contest pitting Michigan commitments Devin Gardner and Ricardo Miller against one another. However, there are many big name players and recruits who are taking part in the game. I’ll list some of the players to look out for if you are attending the event.
MADISON HGTS. LAMPHERE V. WARREN FITZGERALD
Ryan Horvath (2011 QB) – Threw for 12 TDs and 7 INTs as a sophomore. Returns for his junior season as Lamphere’s quarterback.
Mitch Kozlowski (2011 ATH) – All purpose guy for Lamphere last year, with 500 yards receiving, 300 yards rushing, and sharing kick return duties. This year, he has big shoes to fill with graduated 1,000 yard rusher David Shoeobttom moving on.
Jackson Lewis (2011 LB) – Looks to follow up a great sophomore year campaign with an even better 2009 season. Had many a 15+ tackle game last year.
Austin Gray (2010 LB, Iowa commitment) – Fitzgerald’s highest profile player, Gray spurned the Spartans of MSU to pick the Hawkeyes. Gray has averaged over 100 tackles in the past two seasons.
Larry Masters (2010 QB) – Threw for 16 TDs and only 4 INTs last season for the Spartans of Fitzgerald.
Edwin Limmitt (2010 RB) – Fitzgerald’s most prolific offensive weapon, Limmitt rushed for 1500 yards and 16 TDs last season.
Brown (2010 WR) – Masters’ main target, Brown caught 36 passes last fall.
In a game that was dominated by defense last year, Fitzgerald came out on top 16-3 based on 82 yards rushing from Edwin Limmitt. I expect a closer game this year, but a similar result.
DET. KING V. MUSKEGON
Dontavious Bryant (2010 FB/S) – Bryant was an all-Detroit honorable mention for King last year.
Martell Goodson (2010 LB)—Fearless hitter in run support.
Dennis Norfleet (2012 RB/CB)—Guy to keep an eye on on the hardwood and gridiron. Started as a freshman last season both ways for King.
Delector Durley (2010 DL)—The team captain holds a Central Michigan scholarship offer.
Sam Sillmon (2010 DL)—Very athletic jumbo athlete flies off the end as a speed rusher.
Robert Williford (2010 DL)—Just another member of a loaded defensive line for King.
Williams (2012 QB/ATH)—Struggled as a freshman passer last season, but showed
the athleticism to be a prospect to watch in the next few years.
JaMicah Cooper (2010 DB)—Very good cover corner at the high school level
Errin Briggs (2010 RB)—The senior runningback is expected to have a big year for Muskegon this fall, stepping in to the starting runningback spot
Offensive Linemen (2010 OLs)—Muskegon’s offense line is loaded in 2010, with three senior starters in Willie Coulter-Hill, Dejuan Howland, and Alvin Fletcher.
Muskegon spanked King in the Big Day Prep Showdown last year by a count of 35-3 in a year where Muskegon was supposed to be rebuilding. Apparently, they weren’t. Muskegon wins this contest again, by a similar margin. King will be improved, but not that much
HUDSONVILLE V. LAKE ORION
Logan Anes (2010 RB)—Replacing 1500 yard rusher Jordan Jonker won’t be very easy, but Anes will be up to the task. The Hudsonville staff prepared Logan with a solid junior season, where he rushed for 8 TDs and 600 yards.
Shane Trevino (2011 QB)—The junior takes over for
Michigan State walk-on Casey Blackport. (Note: Trevino was injured earlier this
week in practice, but it sounds like he will play on Friday).
Kim Bruce (2010 RB)—Ran for over 1,000 yards and 14 TDs last season and is back for his senior season.
Pat Fehlberg (2010 OL)—One of the best high school offensive linemen in the state.
Ben Walker (2010 OL)—Lake Orion’s strength lies in its two bookend offensive tackles, Walker and Fehlberg
Sean Charette (2012 QB)—Quarterbacked Lake Orion to the state championship game last year.
Vinnie Booker (2010 DB)—The star defensive back missed Lake Orion’s 2008 playoff run due to injury.
Kane Hayes (2010 DL) and Phil Serzo (2010 LB)—Two of
the stars for Lake Orion’s 2009 defense.
I think Hudsonville is going to be a little down this year and Lake Orion looks like a really good team. Lake Orion squeezes out a victory in their opener.Prediction: Lake Orion
EDIT: sorry for the lack of paragraph breaks, I'm using a Mac with Safari, and somehow screwed it up. Also, in response to Sgt. Wolverine, who wrote that censorship is an overused term, I agree.
My name is Gabriel Manga. I am about to start my senior year at U of M. My friend Jean-Luc Deschaine (U of M class of '09) and I are currently developing a project entitled L'Hockey Folie. Nearing the end of our studies we wanted to use some of what we have learned at U of M and through playing hockey all our lives to help children who otherwise would not have these same opportunities. Beginning in October, l’Hockey Folie will introduce the game of hockey to a group of under served children aged 6-10 from a district in Toulouse, France afflicted with high unemployment rates, poverty, and cultural isolation. By sharing a new sport with the participating young people, the project strives to enrich their lives by connecting them with a positive activity that we hope will last a lifetime.
Currently we are looking for people to donate used rollerblades, sticks, gloves, and helmets so that we can outfit these kids with the proper gear. Anything in usable condition would be greatly appreciated.
There are two ways to donate:
You can drop equipment off at our office located at :
127 Adams Ave
Ann Arbor, MI 48104
You can e-mail us at [email protected] to schedule a time for us to come pick up your gear (so long as you live within a reasonable distance from Ann Arbor).
The donation of your equipment can have a lasting effect on the life of a child in Toulouse. Please feel free to e-mail us if you have any questions or comments. You can find out more info from our website (linked above).
Thank you and Go Blue!
Gabriel Manga&Jean-Luc Deschaine
NOTE: I'm living here in North Carolina where it's all Carolina Blue and not Maize and Blue!! Since I bleed maize and blue, I'm always in withdrawal when it comes to the football team, Ann Arbor and the University in general. A client (who is a WVU grad) mentioned - nicely - the other day that he hates RR and wishes nothing but ill will for him and now the UM football team. Okay, I can understand how he feels (sales training) but I tried to impress upon him that one should always be on the lookout for a better job, girl, car, etc. and when RR saw the UM job open, of course he looked into it. Unfortunately he didn't see things my way but since he's a client I did give him some half-serious fluff about the WVU program and what a powerhouse it is now. Calmed him down, thankfully. After we chatted for a while longer, he told me about MGOBLOG (I had no idea). Now I'm in heaven...it's my homepage on my home computer now. Thanks Brian...keep it up.
"The Michigan swagger is back, and Charles is the one who restored it. The
feeling is like, 'We're better than you, and you aren't going to beat us.'"
--1997 Co-Captain Jon Jansen
This is the twelfth entry of the 2009 MGoShirt Alert, a design project that will enable MgoBlog readers to vote for upcoming designs in the new MGoBlogStore.
A week ago, I rolled out "The Desmond" design to then-record positive reviews, and although there were some random suggestions to tweak the shirt in minor ways, it remains a strong contender for the final vote into the MGoStore. In the same spirit of that shirt, then, I am proud to reveal "The Woodson:"
CLICK HERE FOR DETAIL
Beyond the Heisman, his resume includes: Walter Camp Player of the Year. 2x Chevrolet Defensive Player of the Year. 2x Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year. Bronko Nagurski National Defensive Player of the Year. Jim Thorpe Award. Two-time All-American (Unanimous Selection in 1997. Fourth overall pick of the 1998 NFL Draft. And, of course Team MVP of the National Championship season.
1997 was the most magical season I've ever had the pleasure of experiencing, and a significant part of that must be credited to #2. There was no telling what Woodson was going to do on any given week, but by God you always knew he was going to do something... and in the end it was enough to keep the Heisman out of the greedy fingers of one then Volunteer-wonder boy Peyton Manning.
Time to vote. What do you guys think?
|pollcode.com free polls|
|What do you think of MgoShirt #12?|
|Five Stars Four Stars Three Stars Two Stars One Star|
***** Five Stars: The highlight of Charles' college career was clearly the becoming the first primary defensive player to win Heisman.
**** Four Stars: Single best moment has to be winning the National Championship at the Rose Bowl vs. Washington.
*** Three Stars: Nope-- defeating OSU at home with a TD catch, a punt return for TD, and a pick in the endzone.
** Two Stars: The legendary interception on the sidelines in East Lansing takes the cake for me.
* One Star: Charles leaving a year early to put on a (gulp) Raiders jersey as the fourth overall NFL draft pick.
(It was very hard for me to list any of Charles' collegiate accomplishments as anything less than five-star, except for the Raiders thing of course. Like a trip to Atlantic City, I twinge whenever one of our boys gets picked up by Al Davis-- nothing good can ever come of it.)
Only three more shirts left-- I think tomorrow we're going to go with a reader suggestion from back in Week One. Until then, see you next time for another exciting edition of-- MGoShirt Alert!
The notion of the comeback is distinctively unfamiliar to a program that is first in all-time wins and winning percentage. But as we continue to rebuild in order to regain that top status, we will find ourselves, unfortunately, in the comeback position in many games this coming year. A lot of comebacks require a 2 point conversion along the way, and that in turn requires some decision making. Various interesting decisions arise as to 2 point conversions. I want to address a specific kind here – one that, in my opinion, just about every football coach gets wrong.
The Setting: It is the first game of Coach Rod’s era at Michigan. There are about 9 minutes left in the game, Michigan is down 25 – 10 against the Utes but marching down the field with surprisingly crisp execution. Then, Steven Threet hits Junior Hemingway in the corner for a 33 yd touchdown. Michigan has cut the 15 point deficit to 9. The score is 25 – 16. What now? Before the touchdown, everyone’s thinking we need a 7 point conversion, an 8 point conversion, and the defense not to give up any more points. So far, so good. But does the order matter? Yes! Not only does it matter, almost every coach chooses the wrong order! In his first game, Coach Rod also chose the wrong order, and went for the 7 point conversion before the 8 point conversion. Ultimately, it didn’t matter in that game, but that doesn’t mean it won’t matter in other games.
The Principle: It’s better to have a small chance to win than no chance to win. The 8 point conversion attempt must come first.
In Coach Rod’s first game, Michigan happened to score the second touchdown with 6:26 left in the game. So, Michigan had ample time to overcome Coach Rod’s mistake. As noted, choosing the right order in that game would not have made a difference. But suppose instead, that Michigan scored the second touchdown with 26 seconds left in the game. Now, if Michigan fails to convert the 2 points, Michigan is out of luck. To recap, MI scored TD + the kick after with 9 mins left. Then, MI scored w/ 26 seconds left, failed the 2 point conversion, game over.
Switch up the order. MI scored with 9 mins left, but now goes for the 2 point conversion right away and fails. The score is 25-16 with 9 mins left. The deficit is substantial but not insurmountable. To compare, 25-23 with 26 seconds left is much, much more substantial (i.e., almost no chance to win). It is better to have a small chance to win than no chance to win.
Essentially, in any comeback where the coach believes that a 2 point conversion is necessary to win the game, it is better to attempt it earlier than later. Put another way, the likelihood of converting the 7 point conversion and the 8 point conversion is the same in the two scenarios. It is more probable than not the 2 point conversion will fail. It is better to give the team more time to address that likely failure than less time.
I can think of two major objections to my position. First, attempting the conversion earlier and failing deflates the team’s momentum. Second, delaying the conversion is better because maybe the team won’t have to make that decision (i.e., fortuitous events such as a pick 6 make it unnecessary).
This post seems ridiculously long already, so I will stop here instead of diving into further analysis. I will note that I have thought about those two objections, and, one, I do not think they outweigh the force of my argument, and two, I do not think they are the rationale of coaches when they select, what I believe, is the wrong order.