I thought that myself when I read that article that talked about a Data Scientist(tm)
After my preliminary Diary, "Anatomy of a Recruiting Class: Bennie Oosterbaan's Last Class", I decided that I was going to take a different route in writing these. I am bunching teams together by coach, in order to give an idea of how each coach operated. I smoothed out my method of class analysis, as well. I am only considering freshmen, not walk-ons that start in their Sophomore or later seasons. As such, I actually wind up skipping a couple of early All-Americans.
The standard calculation I use for the capability of a recruiting class is the ratio of man-games started over total possible games played. Prior to 1965, there were 11 man-games played per game played, and after 1965 there were 22 man-games played per game played. Higher the ratio, better the class. In totaling how good a class was, I am using the formula:
M-G Ratio + .025 * All-Americans + .01 * Drafted Players + .1 * Heisman Players + .0001 * 3-year Players
From what I've come up with, a ratio of over .5 is considered to be a great class.
Chalmers "Bump" Elliot coached from 1959 to 1968, so his recruiting classes spanned the 1960-1969 Freshman classes. In his time as head coach, he only made one bowl game, in 1964.
1960: 60 Freshmen
1961: 24 Sophomores, 9 starts in 9 games.
1962: 23 Juniors, 37 starts in 9 games.
1963: 16 Seniors, 16 starts in 9 games.
1964: 4 Seniors, 10 starts in 10 games.
10 players made 72 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2136
15 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility.
Tom Keating, DT, Buffalo Bills, 1964
Class Score: .2251
1961: 61 Freshmen
1962: 25 Sophomores, 21 starts in 9 games.
1963: 21 Juniors, 48 starts in 9 games.
1964: 16 Seniors, 53 starts in 10 games.
1965: 0 Seniors
12 players made 122 starts, for a man-game ratio of .3961
14 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Robert Timberlake, QB, 1964
Robert Timberlake, K, New York Giants, 1965
Arnold Simkus, DE, Cleveland Browns, 1965
John Henderson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles, 1965
Class Score: .4525
Note: 1965 was the first year that offense and defense were separated, doubling the number of man-games played. There also were 10 regular season games from 1965 onward.
1962: 50 Freshmen
1963: 34 Sophomores, 25 starts in 9 games.
1964: 29 Juniors, 29 starts in 10 games.
1965: 27 Seniors, 46 offensive and 50 defensive starts in 10 games.
1966: 5 Seniors, 14 offensive and 23 defensive starts in 10 games.
16 players made 187 starts, for a man-game ratio of .3535
25 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
William Yearby, T, 1964&1965
Jack Clancy, E, 1966
Jack Clancy, WR, Miami Dolphins, 1966
Thomas Mack, G, Los Angeles Rams, 1966
Steve Smith, OT, San Francisco 49ers, 1966
William Yearby, DE, New York Jets, 1966
Class Score: .4710
1963: 48 Freshmen
1964: 28 Sophomores, 18 starts in 10 games.
1965: 27 Juniors, 47 offensive and 45 defensive starts in 10 games.
1966: 25 Seniors, 54 offensive and 33 defensive starts in 10 games.
1967: 2 Seniors
17 players made 197 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2814
24 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Richard Volk, DHB, 1966
Mike Bass, DB, Green Bay Packers, 1967
Jim Detwiler, , Baltimore Colts, 1967
Frank Nunley, LB, San Francisco 49ers, 1967
John Rowser, DB, Green Bay Packers, 1967
Rick Volk, DB, Baltimore Colts, 1967
Carl Ward, DB, Cleveland Browns, 1967
Class Score: .3688
1964: 53 Freshmen
1965: 28 Sophomores, 18 offensive and 15 defensive starts in 10 games.
1966: 24 Juniors, 26 offensive and 28 defensive starts in 10 games.
1967: 21 Seniors, 39 offensive and 52 defensive starts in 10 games.
11 players made 189 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2625
20 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
David Porter, , Cleveland Browns, 1968
Ray Philips, , New Orleans Saints, 1968
Rocky Rosema, LB, St. Louis Cardinals, 1968
Class Score: .2945
1965: 55 Freshmen
1966: 31 Sophomores, 15 offensive and 16 defensive starts in 10 games.
1967: 24 Juniors, 35 offensive and 23 defensive starts in 10 games.
1968: 22 Seniors, 41 offensive and 33 defensive starts in 10 games.
1969: 1 Senior, 9 offensive starts in 11 games.
12 players made 172 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2522
21 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Ronald Johnson, HB, 1968
Ronald Johnson, RB, Cleveland Browns, 1968
Tom Stincic, LB, Dallas Cowboys, 1968
George Hoey, DB, Detroit Lions, 1968
Class Score: .3093
1966: 50 Freshmen
1967: 30 Sophomores, 23 offensive and 25 defensive starts in 10 games.
1968: 33 Juniors, 40 offensive and 34 defensive starts in 10 games.
1969: 26 Seniors, 43 offensive and 44 defensive starts in 11 games.
1970: 3 Seniors, 2 offensive and 6 defensive starts in 10 games.
14 players made 217 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2924
22 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Thomas Curtis, S, 1969
James Mandich, E, 1969
Brian Healy, , Minnesota Vikings, 1970
Thomas Curtis, DB, Baltimore Colts, 1970
Garvie Craw, , Boston Patriots, 1970
Barry Pierson, , St. Louis Cardinals, 1970
Cecil Pryor, , Green Bay Packers, 1970
James Mandich, TE, Miami Dolphins, 1970
Class Score: .4046
1967: 36 Freshmen
1968: 23 Sophomores, 13 offensive and 20 defensive starts in 10 games.
1969: 17 Juniors, 39 offensive and 32 defensive starts in 11 games.
1970: 16 Seniors, 32 offensive and 34 defensive starts in 10 games.
1971: 1 Senior
11 players made 170 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2408
16 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Dan Dierdorf, T, 1970
Marty Huff, LB, 1970
Jack Harpring, , New York Jets, 1971
Jim Betts, , New York Jets, 1971
Don Moorhead, , New Orleans Saints, 1971
Marty Huff, LB, San Francisco 49ers, 1971
Pete Newell, , Detroit Lions, 1971
Dan Dierdorf, T, St. Louis Cardinals, 1971
Class Score: .3524
1968: 52 Freshmen
1969: 28 Sophomores, 24 offensive and 34 defensive starts in 11 games.
1970: 26 Juniors, 58 offensive and 56 defensive starts in 10 games.
1971: 21 Seniors, 81 offensive and 86 defensive starts in 12 games.
1972: 3 Seniors, 22 offensive starts in 11 games.
17 players made 361 starts, for a man-game ratio of .4826
21 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Thomas Darden, DB, 1971
Reggie McKenzie, OG, 1971
William Taylor, HB, 1971
Mike Taylor, LB, 1971
Paul Seymour, OT, 1972
Paul Seymour, TE, Buffalo Bills, 1973
Fred Grambau, , Kansas City Chiefs, 1973
Thomas Darden, DB, Cleveland Browns, 1972
Mike Taylor, LB, New York Jets, 1972
Reggie McKenzie, G, Buffalo Bills, 1972
Glen Doughty WR, Baltimore Colts, 1972
Tom Beckman, DE, St. Louis Cardinals, 1972
Mike Keller, LB, Dallas Cowboys, 1972
William Taylor, , Atlanta Falcons, 1972
Mike Oldham, , Washington Redskins, 1972
Guy Murdock, C, Houston Oilers, 1972
John Seyferth, , New York Giants, 1972
Class Score: .7297
1969: 36 Freshmen
1970: 23 Sophomores, 8 offensive and 4 defensive starts in 10 games.
1971: 19 Juniors, 36 offensive and 35 defensive starts in 12 games.
1972: 16 Seniors, 44 offensive and 47 defensive starts in 11 games.
1973: 3 Seniors, 10 offensive starts in 11 games.
15 players made 184 starts, for a man-game ratio of .2323
15 players played for all 3 years of their eligibility
Randy Logan, DB, 1972
James Coode, , Atlanta Falcons, 1974
Larry Cipa, QB, New Orleans Saints, 1974
Randy Logan, DB, Philadelphia Eagles, 1973
Bo Rather, WR, Miami Dolphins, 1973
Clinton Spearman, , Los Angeles Rams, 1973
Bill Hart, , Chicago Bears, 1973
Class Score: .3188
In order, the scoring of Bump Elliot’s classes is as follows:
Bump had 193 of 501 Freshman players use their full eligibility, 16 All-Americans and, 49 Drafted Players. His best recruiting class saw 5 (!!) All-Americans (1968), though they were awarded under Bo.
Tune in next time for an analysis of Bo’s classes, and their placement in the rankings.
Sportsbook recently released their O/U on wins for the upcoming colllege football season. http://www.sportsbook.com/livesports/indexmember.php?sportsname=football
Some lines of note...
Wisconsin: Over 8.5 (+135) Under (-170)
@OSU should be a loss, vs MSU and @Minn will most likely generate another loss. Vs Mich vs Iowa and @NW could easily bring out 2 more losses as well. I believe fresno state is decent this year also and could be an upset possibility. That being said I think the -170 line will scare many people away.
Notre Dame: Over 8.5 (-160) Under (+130)
USC=loss, @UM and vs MSU will be at least one loss i believe and possibly two. I believe this ND team is over-rated but there just isn't much on the schedule other than the 3 games i mentioned. But with the +130 line I think it could be a decent bet that they could drop a game like @Pitt or BC...
Michigan: Over 7 (+105) Under (-135)
I know a lot of people are being uber-cautious with their expectations but I see us going 6-6 as basically the lowest realistic possibility unless app st/toledo michigan-hating god is present every saturday, which is possible i suppose.
EMU, Ind, Del St.= if we lose any of those (knock on wood) a bet will be the least of my worries. WMU and Purdue, very unlikely that we lose both, I think most likely we take both. MSU is 20 times more win-able than any spartan fan will have you think, and Iowa is a winnable game as well. I personally expect a victory over ND this year based on the premise that we might have beaten them with Threetidan in South Bend last year if we didn't fumble the ball 9,548 times. In the big house and with forcier/denard I like our chances.
Between the 8 games already mentioned the most likely win number is 6 with 7 more likely tthan 5. @Wisc, @Ill, PSU, OSU I think more likely generates a win than doesn't. I think a push is pretty likely here but I personally see 8 as more likely than 6. I love the +105 on this bet as well.
Anyone else find any games they like or have any thoughts?
Asked by a judge for whom I intern to assemble a collection of newspaper clippings from the early 1940s pertaining to Detroit councilmen who were bribed and ultimately imprisoned [Edit - this project was solely for the judge's amusement, the idea was NOT to inform any current proceedings. This was NOT legal research.], I happened to notice the name "Harmon" on a 1941 Detroit Free Press paper:
The main article reads:
"Harmon Saves Press Agents; Meets Actress at Deadline
The Detroit Free Press - Friday, September 19, 1941
A motion picture actress arrived at City Airport Friday and --
surprise! Tom Harmon was there to greet her.
Harmon, an obliging fellow who seldom tells a press agent where to
head in, has in recent months been photographed meeting (1) Anita
Louise, who accompanied him to the U. of M. senior ball; (2) Elyse
Knox, a move starlet in whom he declared he really had a romantic
interest; (3) Miss Everlyn Keyes, Thursday's arrival.
Miss Keyes, a brown-eyed blond who will join Harmon Friday in a
personal appearance in connection with their current films, almost
arrived without benefit of the All-American halfback.
Ten minutes before plane time, a cordon of press agents was combing
the airport station for Harmon.
"I told him to be here," one of them said distractedly between the
search of the airport restaurant and the men's lounge. "Besides, he
got a wire from the coast.
Harmon arrived as the orchid-bedecked Miss Keyes alighted from the plain.
"Is it romance this time?" a newly arrived reported asked hopefully.
Both principals shook their heads.
"She probably has 5,000 fellows on the coast," Harmon said.
"There's no romantic content in our relationship at all," Miss Keyes said.
The press agents began a hunt for the limousine, complete with driver,
which had been ordered for the occasion. It was missing, so Miss
Keyes went to the Hotel Book-Cadillac in Harmon's roadster."
Good for him, eh? Oddly placed in the midst of this article, however, is another about Harmon:
"Draft Deferment Denied
GARY, Ind., Sept. 18 -- (UP) -- Tom Harmon, Michigan's football hero,
tonight was denied a request for a 3-A draft deferment and was subject
to immediate call to service provided he pass his physical
examination, local Draft Board officials announced."
Beyond Harmon himself, there's an interesting link between the two articles that I stumbled upon by chance when I Googled the three young ladies mentioned in the main article.
As far as I can tell, a 3-A draft deferment is contingent upon "hardship to dependents." Who might those dependents have been?
Well, when Harmon entered the military, it was at the expense of his engagement to Elyse Knox, the second woman mentioned in the main article; they called off their engagement upon his draft. Might Harmon have sought the deferment in order to maintain this engagement?
In any case, there's a happy ending: During Harmon's stint in the military, Elyse married and divorced. Upon Harmon's return, the two rekindled their engagement, and were wed. Her wedding dress was made out of the silk from the parachute Harmon used as he famously bailed out of his crippled plane. The pair stayed together until his death in 1990.
Anyway, I thought it was pretty cool.
I also liked when Harmon called Miss Keyes a slut.
Presser. Note the Minnesota replay on Saturday.
The following is a list of Michigan programming on the Big Ten Network for the week of July 20 – July 26. Please add these to your TV listings/website. This schedule can also be found at:
Tuesday, July 21
11:00 a.m. Women’s Gymnastics: Big Ten Championships (3/21/09)
2:00 p.m. Men’s Swimming & Diving: 2008 Big Ten Championship (2/28/08)
4:00 p.m. Men’s Swimming & Diving: 2009 Big Ten Championship (3/7/09)
6:00 p.m. Campus Programming: Out of the Blue – The Michigan Difference #107
Thursday, July 23
5:30 p.m. Campus Programming: Out of the Blue – The Michigan Difference #107
6:30 p.m. Conversations with Dave Revsine: Janet Guthrie
Friday, July 24
8:00 a.m. Campus Programming: Out of the Blue – The Michigan Difference #107
Saturday, July 25 – FOOTBALL REPLAYS: RIVALRIES / TROPHY GAMES
12:30 p.m. Big Ten Football Replay: Michigan @ Ohio State (11/22/08)
5:00 p.m. Big Ten Football Replay: Michigan @ Minnesota (11/8/08)
7:00 p.m. Big Ten Football Replay: Michigan State @ Michigan (10/25/08)
9:00 p.m. Big Ten Legends: Jim Abbott
All times Eastern
Even when the defense was able to make a stop, I have to lay a bit of the impetus of our statistical suckitude on the fact that Martavius Maximus Rex (or anyone else, for that matter) was unable to hold on to that damn porcine hide long enough to give our John Thompsons enough time to catch some oxygen. What do you think?
I simply have a hard time believing that it was all the fault of the bumbling Shafer or our bad secondary that led to the third and long conversions by the other offense; it seems much more plausible that our players were simply going on fumes. But, I'm still a weanling babe, with nary a hint of the experience of you mighty minds.
"Former Michigan offensive lineman Kurt Wermers was academically ineligible when he announced his transfer to Ball State last week, sources told ESPN.com.
Wermers cited disagreements with head coach Rich Rodriguez and Michigan's assistant coaches as the primary reason for his decision to transfer. In an interview with The Times of Northwest Indiana, Wermers said he didn't get along with Rodriguez's staff or the types of players they were recruiting.
He even echoed former Michigan offensive lineman Justin Boren, who cited eroding family values as a reason for his transfer to Ohio State.
"Coach Carr's staff was a whole different ballgame," Wermers told the newspaper, referring to former Michigan head coach Lloyd Carr. "It was like a family. But when Rodriguez came in it was a whole different feeling. It was more of a business.
"I figured I'd get out while I could."
But according to sources with knowledge of the situation, Wermers was already out.
His academic struggles would have prevented him from suiting up with the Wolverines. Wermers wasn't even enrolled in summer school at the time of his departure.
The 6-foot-5, 289-pound Wermers did not see action in any games for Michigan in 2008."
I would've put this on the board if I could and I don't see it on their yet, so I thought I might as well make a diary post of this.
Family Values, Bad Crowd, and Different Feelings my ass