the season has truly begun now
More happy fun news for the basketball program today! Press release:
Associate Head Coach Dunn to Take Indefinite Leave of Absence
ANN ARBOR, Mich. -- University of Michigan men's basketball coach John Beilein announced today (Tuesday, Dec. 29) Associate Head Coach Jerry Dunn will take an indefinite leave of absence from the
Wolverine program due to personal family matters.
"Presently, I have family matters that need my immediate attention," said Dunn. "Coach Beilein and the University have been gracious enough to allow me the time needed to do so."
"I fully support Jerry as he continues to focus on his family at this time," said Beilein. "We will be there and ready to assist as needed now and when he is ready to return."
Administrative Specialist Jeff Meyer will assume Dunn's duties during his absence from the program.
No word on what the "family matters" are, and I think it's probably best that we don't worry about speculating here. Best wishes to Coach Dunn, and hopefully he can get his family issues squared away ASAP and get back on the hardwood. In tandem with the bad news on Cronin earlier today, it's been a rough stretch for men's basketball.
Hopefully, a couple wins to start the Big Ten season will make us forget about any distractions, and the team can go on a run in the conference. A win against Indiana would go a long way towards restoring good vibes around the program.
Ohio St. Defense vs. BCS Teams outside of the Big 10, dating back to 2006.
Texas 2006 326 YDS UT started redshirt frosh Colt McCoy
FLA. 2006 370 YDS
WASH. 2007 346 YDS Washington was 4-8
LSU 2007 353 YDS
USC 2008 348 YDS
Texas 2008 468 YDS
USC 2009 313 YDS USC started a true freshman QB
AVG. 360.5 YDS A GAME
State won 2 of those games Texas in ’06 and the 4-8 Washington team from ’07. OSU is 2-5 vs. their
last 7 BCS conference opponents from outside the Big 10. They are giving up an
average of 360.5 yds and over 25 pts a game.
EDIT: I also found it interesting that, for a team with such a great rush defense, OSU did not have a single player in the top 70 in sacks, tackles or tackles for loss.
What do you guys think? Is this due to bad offenses? OSU keeping the defense off the field?
We currently have verbals from the following 25 prospects:
Ricardo Miller - Early enrolleeIt is well known that the following players are still under consideration for any remaining scholarships in this class:
Jeremy Jackson - Early enrollee
Jerald Robinson - Early enrollee
Devin Gardner - Early enrollee??
Stephen Hopkins - Early enrollee
Marvin Robinson - Early enrollee
Christian Pace - Early enrollee
Austin White - Early enrollee
Adrian Witty - Early enrollee
CB - Tony Grimes (4 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals)However, there may be a few more.
DE - Clarence Murphy (3 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals)
S - Sean Parker (4 star on Scout/4 star on Rivals)
OG - Torrian Wilson (3 star on Scout/4 star on Rivals)
DT - Big Tex Beachum (4 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals)
DT - Jonathan Hankins (3 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals)
DT - Michael Thornton (4 star on Scout/4 star on Rivals)
CB - Dior Mathis (4 star on Scout/4 star on Rivals)
CB - Rashad Knight (3 star on Scout//4 star on Rivals)
The front page of Scout has a picture of Tennessee commit MLB Michael Taylor (3 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals). Rivals shows OLB Darrin Kitchens (2 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals) as a Michigan visitor the weekend of January 8th. Sam Webb on his December 18 Recruiting Round Up on WTKA (part one&part two) indicated that Michigan is now in the hunt for Cincinnati verbal DT Jibreel Black (4 star on Scout/3 star on Rivals) and a 4 star DT currently committed to an ACC school (Darious Cummings, Fre'Shad Hunter, Kelcy Quarles, and Shawn Green are the only players in the Scout database that fit this criteria.) Finally, the Scout premium message board has headlines suggesting that there's a mystery Olineman, currently committed somewhere, that may be considering Michigan. Not to mention the coaching changes at both Notre Dame and Florida that may put players we on the board have never considered into consideration.
Adding the new rumors to the previous prospect list gives us at least 14 quality players that we are still recruiting.
This all looks great to me as a fan, but then I question how many of these stars can we fit in the class? Sam Webb states, in the December 18 podcast, with absolute certainty that the class only has room for 26? Which means only one of the above can join us without some departures from the first 25. The trouble with his conviction is that he was the source of the original misinformation that only 25 could join this class.
I believe he is wrong again. As I discovered when researching an earlier diary (NCAA Scholarship Limit Review), you can apply early enrollees to either the current class or the previous class if there is room. We know that Michigan ended up with 21 in the last class, meaning we can apply four of our seven or eight January enrollees to last year's class. So we can provide 25 scholarships for the coming class plus four to the previous class for a total of 29. Technically, we could offer 28 for this coming class, plus four for the previous class, but we could only provide scholarships to 25 of the 28. The extra three offers above the 25 are intended to deal with any non-qualifiers we may have. The 28 number becomes a possibility when rumors that a couple prospects from the original 25 may not qualify. Coach Rodriguez might decide to fill to 28 and assume three will end up in the next class (a la Adrian Witty) as either nonqualifiers or greyshirts.
That means we have four if we don't want to deal with any greyshirts or seven if we want to shoehorn them in. Who would we take? My four/seven would be as follows:
1 - Michael ThorntonThat would make for an amazing finish, that I'm sure most of us would be thrilled with. I realize Thornton is a long shot, but we're in the game. It is just as likely that we will end with a player or two we've not yet heard of.
2 - Sean Parker
3 - Tony Grimes
4 - Clarence Murphy
5 - Torrian Wilson
6 - Big Tex Beachum
7 - Rashad Knight
It is exciting to watch the rebirth of our program!!
Edit: The comments section has really got a lot of great information about some possible snake oil prospects.
I am an admitted Football addict, specifically Michigan Football. As a graduate of the university and lifelong fan, <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Michigan h always been my first love, but specifically the football program. While I’m a huge Michigan fan in every sport, with Basketball coming second, Football is by far the most important thing to me. I recently told my friend that I would rather have the 1# recruiting class in football (like, a fricken amazing class..Gardner, Lattimore, Luc etc.) than a Final Four appearance in Basketball. While I’ve thought about the severity of that comment, I still stand by it.
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That being said, I’ve been enjoying the basketball season thus far and recently thought about this while watching the MSU – Texas game last night.
What College Football programs have a “twin” in college basketball?
Michigan Football = Kentucky Basketball
I was thinking Ucla or Duke, but settled on Kentucky. Historically successful program, a school that is known for that respective sport. A strong history and one of the sport’s greatest upsets (Texas Western = The Horror). Legendary arena (Rupp = Mich Stadium), classic unis&colors, recent success (past 15 years) has been good but not amazing, and a very impatient and spoiled fanbase. Does the Gillespie era equal RichRod’s? I sure hope not because I want to and am confident that RichRod will make it happen – but at least we’ll have a Calipari like successful season in the possible first season post RichRod.
Notre Dame Football = Duke Basketball
Small, aristocratic private schools. Small towns that are actually pretty shitty (Sorry SB and Durham!) Strong history, classic unis, classic arena/stadiums. Strict academic restrictions. Each program’s chief rival has had great recent success (UNC and USC.) Some recent success by both programs, but they’ve largely been lacking lately. Overhyped recruiting classes dotted with douchebag players that you hate. “Clean Cut” players that are known for over achieving.
I was thinking UCLA here possibly.
Boise State Football = Gonzaga Basketball
Succesful mid major programs that have gone from “Cinderella” to consistently good teams. Crave national respect and spotlight, and they usually prove themselves. It’s tought to get other teams to play them. Northwest based teams. Mid major conferences, so the big stage is where they prove themselves.
Florida Football = UNC Basketball
Great recent success. “Sexy” schools for recruits. National Championships won recently. Tim Tebow is Tyler Hansbrough. Schools almost identical academically.
Oklahoma Football = MSU Basketball
Consistently good programs. Big time conference that they compete to win on a yearly basis. Great Coaches that are usually in the conversation for job openings, yet stay because why would they leave? The theme here is both programs are consistently good despite being not “sexy” in the eyes of recruits. Too many National Championships here recently, but they compete almost yearly and rarely fizzle.
Wisconsin Football = Wisconsin Basketball
They are basically the same, at least in my eyes.
That’s all I care to write at the moment….Comments?
Also, what other programs are like eachother?
Here, to the best of my knowledge, is our current roster breakdown. I've divided the spreadsheet into four categories, Confirmed Roster, Fifth Years, Recruits, and Questions. Confirmed Roster are players we are fairly certain will be receiving a scholarship next year. Fifth Years still have eligibility and may or may not be offered a scholarship next year. Recruits are current verbal commits. Questions are players that may or may not count against scholarships next year.
|Confirmed Roster||Fifth Years||Recruits||Questions|
|Sp Teams:||Sp Teams:||Sp Teams:||Sp Teams:|
|Total – 48||Total – 10||Total – 24||Total – 8|
|* = Redshirt|
As you can see, we have 48 confirmed players using scholarships next year, ten players with remaining eligibility who may receive scholarships next year, and eight players, under the Questions category, who could potentially receive scholarships next season. These three categories total 66 potential scholarship players. Subtracting 66 from the 85 scholarship max leaves 19 scholarships for recruits. Since we have already gotten commits from 24 players and we may add four more before we're done, we would need to find up to nine scholarships. That means that nine players on the Fifth Year list or the Questions list may not receive scholarships next season.
Let's review the eighteen players at risk of not receiving scholarships next year to identify the most likely candidates.
Among the eighteen, five are walkons (Moundros, Grady, Morales, Leach, and Kovacs); since walkons rarely get scholarships, most of these players probably assume they won't get one next year. However, it has been mentioned several places that Coach Rodriguez has indicated that Kovacs will receive a scholarship if one is available (if anyone has anything more concrete than that please post it in the comments). We can assume that we have four scholarships from this group for sure and possibly five, which brings us up to 23 or 24 openings.
The next group to consider would be the remaining Question players (Smith, Warren,&Cissoko). Of the three, Cissoko's scholarship is the only one we are certain is available since he was removed from the team and is unlikely to be reinstated until the start of next year, if at all. The coaches will know then if there's a spot for him. As of now, Brandon Smith remains on the team, but may confirm his intentions to leave before signing day, thus opening another slot. I doubt the staff would remove Warren's scholarship until they are certain he won't return, so as long as he doesn't contact an agent his scholarship is off limits. That means this group provides one for sure and possibly two scholarships, which brings our openings to 24 or 26.
The final variable group is the Fifth Years. There are ten players in this group that still have eligibility. I know Cone was honored at the Football Bust, so he is gone. Beyond that I'm not sure who has been invited back. Schilling will undoubtedly return but after that I'm not sure. I assume some of these players won't know if they will have scholarships until signing day. If anyone has any insight post it in the comments. With Cone's departure it gives us 25 or 27.
It looks like, depending on how many fifth years are invited back, we can make room for the 28 recruits we are all counting on. Assuming we get them all, what does that mean for next year's class size?
It looks like we will have four true seniors next year (five if Warren comes back), the remaining fifth year slots from this year (i.e. Schilling et al.), and seven redshirt juniors with a fifth year of eligibilty remaining next year. The math is difficult until we know the futures of this year's fifth years, the Smith, Warren, and Cissoko plans, and any surprise player departures, but I would guess that we will have around 16 slots for next season.
I hope this helps anyone who, like me, is trying to make it all make sense. I will edit the post if anyone notices anything wrong or can provide more information. Add your insights to the comments.
On the offense:
Is there a shot on the court that Beilein doesnt want his team taking? They spend 25 seconds working the ball around the perimeter, making absolutely no progress. Then they jack up an off-balanced shot. What exactly is Beilein coaching these kids to do on offense? They dont get players open, they don't get penetration, they don't set screens to the basket, they don't run pick and rolls. If theyre satisfied with just taking contested threes while falling to the side, why do they even bother running an offense? Not to mention, it seems like the players arent even trying to rebound. Granted weve been beat with quick transitions far too often, but do we really have to have 4 players sprint back on defense while our shot is still in the air?
The bottom line is that the three point system that beilein runs is built for second-tier talent. And Im not saying that were too good to be considered second-tier because were clearly not. But how can a team be consistent when they rely on the three? No team that takes 30+ threes a game will win a national championship, because the chances of winning 6 games in a row without having an off shooting day are pretty slim. In order to be consistent and compete effectively on a daily basis, you need an established post game, the ability to penetrate, good rebounding, and strong defense.
On the defense:
I don't think I've ever seen a team that gave up so many easy baskets. For those who haven't heard, we are dead last in opponents two point percentage (something like 52%).
In my opinion, the 1-3-1 is a terribly ineffective system, especially against good teams that arent going to panic when facing double teams. We don't defense the three, we dont defend the post, we dont stop penetration, we don't rebound, we dont force turnovers? So what exactly is the point of this system, if not to have the opponents big men stuff it in novaks face. I don't understand why a coach would be so attached to a non-traditional system that has never proven itself to be effective. Even at west virginia, belien's defenses were average.
To be fair though, based on today's play, it doesnt seem that this team can effectively run any defense, be it man or the 2-3.
On the 4 guard system:
It just flat out doesnt work.
Sims is not a center. Hes not a great rebounder and he isnt good at help D, which is important in a 1-3-1. He also cant defend bigger opponents.
Zach Novak is not a PF. Hes 6-5, 220. He can jump, but hes way too undersized to defend 6-9 260 PFs, and hes constantly being exploited on these grounds.
Stu Douglas is not a PG, he is a catch and release shooter. Id really love to see the statistic of what his shooting percentage is when he takes a single dribble vs when he shoots off a pass. Hes also entirely incapable of defending the opponents point guards.