it's a major award
With the departure of Harris&Sims, UM also loses 52% of its offense. Who will pick up the scoring slack for the Wolverines? The short answer is no one and everyone. At this point, it seems unlikely that anyone on the roster is capable of supplying 16 to 18 points per game. The more likely scenario is for balanced scoring, and not just from the 5 starters, but from as much as 11 deep. It is not as impossible as it may sound. We may have lost our big 1-2 scoring punch, but we also lost 50% of the shot attempts. That means more shots for the other guys next year and less standing around waiting for Manny to shoot the ball.>
What have we gained in 2010-2011? For starters, more height. We can field the 4&5 spots with 2 guys each that are 6’8” or taller.< More length means better D and better D means more offense. It also means better rebounding leading to more offensive opportunities. We gain everyone playing their natural positions (point guards to run the offense, scoring guards to shoot the ball and 6’8”+ guys (instead of 6’4” Novak) to guard the other team’s 4. With 6 new guys we also gain depth. And last but not least we gain chemistry. We all saw what teams with few stars (Butler, Northern Iowa, Cornell, etc.) can accomplish when they play hard and play together. T-E-A-M!
If you look at the scoring potential by position, it is reasonable to expect next years team to produce the same scoring ability. The chart below compares last years output by position with next years potential group of players. (Note: I have made some assumptions as to what positions individuals might play and the number of minutes and potential scoring average. My emphasis is more on the position’s potential considering who we have playing there and not so much on what any individual player might achieve). We will probably lose scoring at the 3 and 5, but could gain at the other 3 spots. No single player even needs to make a big leap in average. The biggest increase in this scenario is Vogrich going from 1.5 ppg to 5 ppg. No player has a higher average than 8 points (Douglass and Smotrycz).
Now, 6 of these guys are new and I have never even seen them play so I am assuming a lot. But, the thing that I like most is our potential depth. We could start a team of Morris, Douglass, Novak, Smotrycz and Morgan and spell them with Hardaway, LLP, Vogrich/Sykes, McLimans and Horford. We have shooters&slashers. We have big guys to pound the boards or to take their man outside and make them defend the 3 point shot. We will be very young and inexperienced, but hopefully they will have great chemistry and hunger. If they work hard together this summer, they could end up playing around .500 next year (and that could be better than the 2009 team did). And then in 2011 we add Brundidge and maybe another big. It’s a start.
|Position total||40||7.8||Position total||40||12||4.2|
|Position total||37||8.2||Position total||40||14||5.8|
|Position total||41.6||19.6||Position total||40||17||-2.6|
|Position total||41.8||8.8||Position total||40||12||3.2|
|Position total||42.1||20.7||Position total||40||10||-10.7|
|Source: michigan.rivals, michigan.scout|
|* Douglass (2009-2010) Min&Points split evenly between Pos. 1&2.|
|Tuesday 6:35pm ET, Ray Fisher Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI|
|Eric Katzman (2-1, 6.00 ERA)||vs||TBA|
|Stats||Audio (MGo)||BTN.com ($)|
|Notes: Michigan is 78-44 all time, Last year: 1-1 in DH @ND (my |
recap from last season).
|Wednesday 6:05pm ET, Frank Eck Stadium, South Bend, IN|
|Matt Miller (0-2, 7.01 ERA)||vs||TBA|
Michigan will host Notre Dame Tuesday to open a home and home series with the Irish, with the road game for Michigan coming Wednesday. The Irish aren't that good of a team this year, and that might be a bit of an understatement. At just 15-19, they are currently sitting around #201 out of 301 in pseudo-RPI. That said, they, and any college team for that matter, can still be a dangerous team during the mid-week.
Preview and thoughts after a jump:
As a follow up to yesterday's Illinois recap, the Big Ten Conference tabbed two Michigan players for POTW honors. Patrick Biondi won Player of the Week and Tyler Burgoon earned Pitcher of the Week.
Press release notes:
Burgoon remained unstoppable out of the bullpen, posting saves against Toledo (April 13) and Bowling Green (April 14) and the victory at Illinois (April 18) to secure the series victory for the Maize and Blue. On the week, Burgoon threw 8.0 innings, allowing just three hits and striking out 11 batters. His biggest performance came in the weekend finale when he came out of the bullpen and scattered three hits over 5.1 innings with seven strikeouts for his team-leading fifth victory.
Biondi had an historic week, beginning with breaking Bruce Fox's 55-year-old rookie record for stolen bases, swiping his 20th bag of the year in the victory over Toledo. Biondi reached base and scored to lead off all five games last week, posting a .526 average with three doubles, a triple and a home run. After becoming the first Wolverine since 2003 to lead off a game with a home run on Saturday (April 17), Biondi went 3-for-3 with two walks, coming up a home run shy of the cycle in the weekend's last game.
Michigan earned both weekly awards for the first time since April 15, 2002, when current MLB catcher Jake Fox (2001-03) and pitcher Rich Hill (2000-02) swept the awards for their performances, which also came in Champaign against the Illini.
Burgoon edged out Alan Oaks and Alex Wimmers of Ohio State who both had very impressive 8 inning starts a piece, and Indiana's Drew Leininger who went 7.2 innings giving up just one unearned run.
Biondi's weekend edged out Zach Hurley's 8/15 weekend with a triple and a homer and Ryan LaMarre's 10/19 week with a homer, a triple, two doubles, 10 runs, and 6 RBI.
On their Senior Night, the Wolverines were merciless against Purdue this Saturday, scoring a pair of goals in the first minute, and despite letting off the gas just a couple minutes into the game, never letting the Boilermakers recover. By the time the second quarter rolled around, Michigan had a 9-0 lead on their way to a 28-2 victory.
Purdue's first goal came on an empty net against a broken ride. A clearing pass for the Boilers missed its intended recipient, but rolled into the empty net. The second came long after Michigan had switched out most starters for backups and (slightly) reduced the intensity of their play.
Josh Ein led Michigan by scoring six goals, and Trevor Yealy put in five of his own. Freshman Thomas Paras scored four for himself, and also notched an assist. Brent Kirshner scored his first goal as a Wolverine. David Reinhard and Edward Ernst (pictured at right) combined to win 93.8% of their faceoffs(!). Junior Andrew Fowler played in net for the first three quarters, and freshman Conor McGee finished the game in the cage.
In all, this was such a breeze for the Wolverines, that there's almost nothing to be gained from watching it, aside from maybe which young guys get the most playing time.
I'll preview the Michigan State game in-depth later this week. The game against the Spartans will be played at East Grand Rapids High School on Saturday at 7PM.
Guess who's back? Courtesy of Illinois Baseball Report
Michigan (22-12) went into Champaign looking to keep pace with the league leaders and came out with a 2-1 series victory over the Illini to keep a hold of their first place tie with the Buckeyes at 6-3 in conference. The series definitely had some wild moments, including a Michigan offensive explosion on Friday accompanied by a sterling start from Oaks. That was followed up with a Michigan collapse on Saturday and a hard fought but ugly game on Sunday.
Full Recap after the jump:
With some action (finally) on the Michigan commitment front, it's an EXCITING update.
Action since last rankings:
4-13-10 Illinois gains commitment from Zeph Grimes.
4-15-10 Michigan gains commitment from Brennen Beyer. Wisconsin gains commitment from Sam Arneson. Notre Dame gains commitment from Kyle Brindza.
4-16-10 Indiana gains commitment from Zack Shaw.
4-17-10 Indiana gains commitments from Ralston Evans and Kyle Kennedy.
4-18-10 Indiana gains commitment from Max Pirman. Ohio State gains commitment from Jeremy Cash.
|Big Ten Recruiting Class Rankings|
|Rank||School||# of Commits||Rivals 250||Scout Average||ESPN 150|
I'll only make charts for the teams that currently have commits. Rivals 250 means that a given prospect is on the Rivals 250 to Watch, and ESPN 150 means that a prospect is on the Watch List for the ESPNU 150. Scout ratings are on the 5-star scale.
|#1 Ohio State - 9 Commits|
Buckeyes pick up safety Jeremy Cash.
|#2 Michigan - 4 Commits|
Michigan picks up bigtime instate DE Brennen Beyer.
|#3 Michigan State - 4 Commits|
Spartans gets passed by instate rival (who - shhh - has the same number of instate commits).
|#4 Notre Dame - 3 Commits|
Notre Dame picks up a kicker. He might skip his entire senior year(!) and enroll this fall.
|#5 Indiana - 8 Commits|
Hoosiers have a big weekend, picking up four new commits. It's hard to rank the Hoosiers among the other teams, because while they have the most commits, all the commits are by far the lowest rated.
|#6 Minnesota - 2 Commits|
No change for the Gophers.
|#7 Wisconsin - 2 Commits|
Badgers pick up another in-state player in Sam Arneson.
|#8 Illinois - 2 Commits|
Illinois picks up Zeph Grimes from South Carolina (and his 2012 teammate, Demetrius Williams).
|#9 Northwestern - 1 Commit|
Northwestern holds steady with one prospect.