Mason NEEDS this, Pistons, after all you've put him through
N.B.: I'm not politicking one way or another. My primary desire is to see Michigan improve as much as possible as fast as possible. I would *love* for this to be under Rich Rodriguez (I find the spread offense exciting and Gerg's hybrid defense, in theory, bad-ass) . Mainly, this was a chance for me to express a perspective/gripe from last year that's relevant to a number of recent posts proclaiming that an 8-4 record would secure Rich Rodriguez's future at UM. The team that earns an 8-4 record in 2010 might easily have gone 6-6 in 2009 or 2011.
At WMU all you have to do to go to a sporting event is to show your student ID and you get in for free, which is a nice money-saver for die-hard fans but doesn't give people a vested interest in being there. That may explain why in the 3rd period with the game tied at 2 a bunch of students left allowing us to move to the front row along the blue line. A lot of people just go to talk and hang out and then leave when they get bored, not caring about the game. I took the same friends to the Michigan-WMU football game this past season and they were impressed at how all the students paid for their tickets, stayed the whole game and paid attention. They liked the sense of community you get at Michigan, which seems to be a far cry from the Western Michigan experience.
The opposing fans were polite enough, the parking lot attendant gave me a lame "No Wolverines Allowed" line as I walked in, and one student said "What are you doing here?" but nothing too hostile. I guess I shouldn't complain about politeness from opposing fans, but it wasn't as wild as I expected after seeing the taunts we at U-M give to opposing fans (ugly parents, If you can't get in to college go to state) or the nasty things I've heard from MSU fans at games there. It was sort of disappointing actually.
Then there was the copying of Michigan's cheers. Whenever Michigan got a penalty they would start waving and then when the player entered the penalty box they would say "See ya bitch, you're a cheater!" My friends immediately turned to me and said 'what do you think of our chants?' I said they got that from Michigan, only ours was more elaborate. They said I'm just being arrogant. They were so proud of that chant. One person said "That chant got us banned from TV by the NCAA, it's the reason our games can't be televised." I said bullshit, Michigan fans say stuff way worse than that 10 times a game and they get on TV all the time, you're not on TV because you're Western (the truth) but that is their legend on campus. After Western scored they pointed at our goalie and said "Sieve Sieve Sieve It's all your fault..." After hearing that I was just offended, can't these kids come up with their own shit to say? That is word for word Michigan's chant. My friends just thought I was jealous of their schools creative genius (I think we took the word "Sieve" from an Eastern school, but we at least improved upon the chant with the "all your fault" part). The only thing I had never heard before was when they spelled out O-R-G-Y "What does that spell? Orgy! What does that mean? Teamwork Teamwork Teamwork" I thought that was alright but they probably got that from somewhere else too.
Michigan won a close game but with Western being a CCHA bottom-feeder, it was a bit too close. I'll take the win, but it was a disappointing experience as the visitor. Walking out after the game I didn't get the feeling of pride I get when walking out of Munn Arena with Michigan gear on after we beat MSU. It was just kinda 'so what'. Hockey is supposed to be the biggest sport at WMU because they get to play in the same league as the big boys. I got the feeling that most of the students there really don't care about their school's sports, and most probably cheer for Michigan or MSU as their primary team anyway.
NOTE: I started posting this as a comment under Brian's post, but it grew too long, so I started a Diary, plus I wanted to get some good feedback on my plan suggestion.
Some great ideas Brian, but I DON'T think your plan would be all that much better than what we got now. I agree that the current BCS needs to be replaced with a playoff system and my playoff plan is detailed at the end of this post. But first, here are my reasons why Brian's plan won't make us any better off:
1)The elimination of the autobids by the conference champions is a BIG red flag. If you are not going to reward the regular season conference champions, then why even have conferences? I mean, under Brian's plan, we should just go to a 116- (or whatever number) team conference and just forget about these regional conference distraction thingys. This doesn't sound like a good idea to me. I know Brian didn't suggest that we disband the conferences, but what's the point in having them, if there is no tangible reward to winning one? And yes, the current system does offer a reward for the conference champions (well at least for the BCS conferences it does).
2) Teams will play REALLY weak-ass non-conference schedules (even more than they do now). Under Brian's plan, the goal for each team will be to have the best regular season record as possible, kind of similar to how it is now. But with one exception, not teams are GUARANTEED to get an autobid if they win their conference. So if they stumble in the non-conference once or maybe 2 times, they still got a shot a BCS game due to the conference tie-ins. Under Brian's plan, as previously noted, this tie-in is eliminated. So, teams will feel that there is no need to play any tough non-conference games anymore, and just pad their stats against NW Lafayette State U and the like to improve their chances. Heck, some teams are doing this already, even with the BCS bowl tie-ins (see UM). But this will increase more under Brian's plan and it also would not be a good thing.
3) A six team playoff chosen by a committee is a good idea, but they would never choose a team from a mid-major conference, as we all know. There would need to be some type of Notre Dame type rule put into place the would guarantee a spot for these teams (and also one for ALL independents, not just ND). Without this, we are just rewarding the BCS schools again and again, and this is what we wanted to eliminate by going to the playoff in the first place. The current system at least provides some type of reward for great mid-major schools. But if you only are picking 6 schools using a committee, the members are going to fight hard for the conference champions every year, and you are going to be leaving the mid-majors out most of the time.
Now here is what I propose:
A 8 team playoff that is includes 6 auto bids for the BCS conference champions and 2 at large spots. The BCS conferences have total control over how they choose their respective champions, be it championship games like the SEC or stupid "you haven't been in a while, I guess it's your turn" tie-breakers like the Big 10. However they choose it, whatever, just choose one team. This will put leave the EMPHASIS on the regular season, and we can still say that every game counts and all that stuff we like to say when we compare why college football is so much greater that college basketball.
As for the last 2 at large spots, we will use the BCS (yes I said BCS) rankings to determine these teams from the remaining 100 or so teams left in the field, but only if we put the strength of schedule component back into the formula (more on this later). If the BCS is good for anything, it can definitely rank some teams in a somewhat comprehensive and objective fashion (at least I think it can?). Whichever two teams that are ranked the highest in the BCS polls after the end of the conference championship games, AND are not already qualified for the playoff because they won their conference outright will get the nods. Now, there is one caveat. There are certain exceptions that would cause certain other schools to have playoff seeding priority over a team in the field. If a mid-major team who has won their conference or ANY independent school, not just ND, has a end of season BCS ranking in the top 10, they are guaranteed a spot in the playoff system over a team in the field. This means that if a Boise State or TCU or Notre Dame finishes the year in the top 10 in the BCS (which would probably mean they had an excellent season) they would get an automatic slot over a team from the Big 10 or the SEC that had a very good year, but just didn't win their conference. Well, I guess you better win that conference then, huh? Again, it is important that the emphasis remains on the conference season.
Now, as for the non-conference season, my plan would allow teams to schedule big time matchups at the beginning of the season, because they would be rewarded for doing so by the strength of schedule component in the BCS formulas. Teams would also not worry so much about losing a game early on because they know that if they win their conference, they get a ticket to the BIG PARTY (ok, doesn't sound as good as the Big Dance, I know)!
I've been contemplating and refining this system for about a year or so, and I would really like to submit a formal plan to all the conference presidents sometime after I get it just right. Please provide any feedback that you think would be helpful. Thanks for the long read.
Good news came out of Indianapolis today as the NCAA will host two votes during their business sessions next week. Both votes are proposed overrides of votes that did not pass during their previous voting in August. The first is non-consequential for Michigan, but a collection of schools is still trying to get sand volleyball instated as a NCAA recognized sport.
The second override is a bigger issue and one that the University of Michigan is directly lobbying for, a change in the baseball schedule. Last year was the first attempt at the NCAA to have a universal starting date across all teams. The season was compacted to 13 weeks, with each team unable to play games until the last weekend of February. This was meant to give a fairer balance between southern and western schools who would start hosting games as early as January and northern schools who couldn't afford several road trips and couldn't host games (and still can't host games for the most part) until mid March.
The 13 week schedule did provide a bit more balance between teams, leading to a few more upsets from northern schools, but many of these were for the wrong reason. Packing 56 games into a 13 week period isn't easy. Teams, including baseball rich southern programs, had trouble finding enough pitching on their rosters to handle the rigorous schedule. With only 11.7 scholarships available, it's hard to get a pitching staff of more than 7-8 quality pitchers.
On top of this, baseball players were also missing quite a bit more class. The compacted schedule lead to many more midweek games. This involved more travel during the class week, and a strain on students' academics.
To fix these problems, the NCAA voted to add a 14th week to the season. There was a debate over where to add the week from the beginning. Southern power schools wanted the games added to the beginning of the season in February. Northern schools wanted the week added to the end of the season when academics wouldn't be affected, and so that they could play more home games and save on travel costs (both academic and financial).
In the end, the southern powers won. This season will start a week earlier, pushing the what-was season opening Big East-Big Ten Challenge into week two and leaving many northern schools scrambling to schedule trips to the south in February. Most schools that is.
The January 15th vote will need a 5/8th majority in order to override the rule. From the NCAA:
The Championships/Sport Management Cabinet opposed the legislation because it detracted from the competitive equity between northern and southern institutions.
The institutions that requested the override are all located in the North, including all 11 institutions in the Big Ten Conference. The institutions cited concerns about having to travel South to begin their seasons and incurring increased expenses for the programs and additional missed class time for student-athletes.
Many of the institutions calling for the override indicated they would an additional week at the end of the season, when spring classes are complete for many student-athletes.
The Division I Student-Athlete Advisory Committee is split on the issue. Some members agree that the weather could put Northern schools at a disadvantage, but others believe that spreading the same number of contests over a shorter time (13 weeks) would likely mean more midweek contests and more missed class time. Others noted that a longer season, potentially including more travel, could take a physical toll on student-athletes. The SAAC will revisit the issue at its meeting next week before the override vote.
I find it weird that the SAAC is talking as if it a week at the front of the season or no week added at all. The statement about adding a week adding a physical toll on students also seems like a loaded statement. The southern schools have long had seasons over 14 weeks long and is it better to have students traveling more in a shorter period and missing classes than it is adding one extra weekend? I can't see that argument standing up so well.
So what do we see for this year? Here's the schedule, home games in caps:
Sept. 4 ~ CONNECTICUT
Sept. 11 ~ Notre Dame
Sept. 18 ~ MASSACHUSETTS
Sept. 25 ~ BOWLING GREEN
Oct. 2 ~ Indiana
Oct. 9 ~ MICHIGAN STATE
Oct. 16 ~ IOWA
Oct. 30 ~ Penn State
Nov. 6 ~ ILLINOIS
Nov. 13 ~ Purdue
Nov. 20 ~ WISCONSIN
Nov. 27 ~ Ohio State
This is the same conference schedule as last year, in the same order. Only the stadiums are changing.
One key difference is all the non-conference games are on the front end. No baby seals on the menu in the midst of conference play. I see that as a good thing. It definitely didn't help last year -- the feast just seemed to leave the team lethargic the next week against Penn State.
Win or lose, UConn is a great way to prepare for ND the following week. The Huskies are probably about right in competitive terms for a hungry UM team coming off a disappointing season, so it should be a good, hard-fought game. Just what the doctor ordered. I give the Wolverines the edge at home.
Notre Dame is an unknown. New coaching staff, star quarterback and running back gone. Two very good seniors gone on the offensive line. Sound familiar? Nonetheless, they open against Purdue at home, so they will be primed and ready to go when UM comes in the next week. But I like having a tough early road game. Last year, the first road game was the first loss. There were no road wins. Four home games in a row is not a good way to start a season.
So even if Michigan goes 1-1 in the first two games, the team will at least know the drill when they go on the road to Indiana to start the Big Ten season. IU will be out for revenge, but let's say we score enough points to win going away, like 40 or something.
Thus, like last year, it's not inconceivable the team could have three wins going into Big Ten play, and four when they play State. The big difference being that this time Michigan will have the experience of a gut-check road game in South Bend under their belts, and after Indiana we are looking at back-to-back home games against State and Iowa. This is a much better outlook than last year, which was the opposite.
Iowa is homecoming, followed by a bye week and then a five-game grind beginning at Happy Valley and ending in the Horseshoe. This is a tougher way to finish the season than last year, but if we play Penn State at 5-2 again it will be a more seasoned, mature 5-2, with at least a few more wins to be expected. [That is, more than none!] Plus, there was no bye week last year. The team played every week. An extra week to heal at mid-season should help matters.
I doubt 9-3 is realistic, but 7-5 or even 8-4 seems possible. I expect a lot of carnage (i.e., parity) in the Big Ten this year, much like last year (UM's dismal results notwithstanding), so even 7-5 could mean a decent bowl berth.
The reasons this coming draft is inspiring so many to try to grab the brass ring are all the result of the expiring labor agreement between NFL Players and owners. First, it is likely that the next agreement will include a slotted rookie draft with lower starting salaries, like the NBA currently has, so some players may be entering during an uncapped year to maximize the pay in their first contract. Second, the next contract may extend the period before players can become unrestricted free agents, so they would like to get in now to start their counter toward that time. Finally, the number one reason college underclassmen are being advised to enter now is the potential lockout in 2011, players getting in now can ensure themselves a payday rather than risking a year without a season.
The prospects for a lockout are very real. The NFL Players Association is desperately trying to get the owners to negotiate a new contract but the owners are unwilling to meet. The owners are looking forward to the uncapped year, not so that they can spend like crazy, instead it provides them an opportunity to dump bad contracts without penalty while locking up their young stars. While many current NFL players have been looking forward to the uncapped year as a windfall, the owners included language in the contract that adds an extra transition tag to protect a teams best players and extends the unrestricted free agency period from four years to six for this coming season; locking up many of the league's best young stars when they expected their freedom.
Since we all know that most of college football's top players are merely using the NCAA as a launching pad to the NFL, they don't need too much encouragement to take a shot at the league. Here's a list of players that have already declared or indicated that they are strongly considering it (I included the Scout star ranking when they left high school or junior college):
|QB||Sam Bradford||Oklahoma||Declared||4 star|
|QB||Jevan Snead||Mississippi||4 star|
|QB||Ryan Mallett||Arkansas||5 star|
|QB||Jimmy Clausen||Notre Dame||Declared||5 star|
|QB||Case Keenum||Houston||2 star|
|RB||Jonathan Dwyer||Georgia Tech||4 star|
|RB||Evan Royster||Penn State||Declared||3 star|
|RB||John Clay||Wisconsin||4 star|
|RB||Brandon Saine||Ohio State||4 star|
|RB||Toby Gerhart||Stanford||3 star|
|RB||Jahvid Best||California||Declared||4 star|
|RB||DeMarco Murray||Oklahoma||5 star|
|RB||Harvey Unga||BYU||2 star|
|RB||Joe McKnight||Southern California||5 star|
|RB||Darren Evans||Virginia Tech||4 star|
|RB||Delone Carter||Syracuse||4 star|
|RB||Ryan Mathews||Fresno State||Declared||2 star|
|WR||Dez Bryant||Oklahoma State||Declared||4 star|
|WR||Arrelious Benn||Illinois||Declared||5 star|
|WR||Damian Williams||Southern California||4 star|
|WR||Dezmon Briscoe||Kansas||Declared||2 star|
|WR||Demaryius Thomas||Georgia Tech||3 star|
|WR||Golden Tate||Notre Dame||Declared||4 star|
|WR||Vincent Brown||San Diego State||3 star|
|WR||Chris Bell||Norfolk State||5 star|
|WR||Dane Sanzenbacher||Ohio State||4 star|
|WR||Mike Williams||Syracuse||Declared||2 star|
|TE||Rob Gronkowski||Arizona||4 star|
|TE||Aaron Hernandez||Florida||5 star|
|TE||Weslye Saunders||South Carolina||4 star|
|TE||Jermaine Gresham||Oklahoma||Declared||4 star|
|OT||Brian Bulaga||Iowa||4 star|
|OT||Anthony Davis||Rutgers||Declared||5 star|
|OT||Gabe Carimi||Wisconsin||3 star|
|OT||Jason Pinkston||Pittsburgh||4 star|
|OT||Bruce Campbell||Maryland||Declared||4 star|
|OL||Bryant Browning||Ohio State||3 star|
|OL||Justin Boren||Ohio State||5 star|
|OL||Maurkice Pouncey||Florida||4 star|
|OL||Mike Pouncey||Florida||4 star|
|DE||Carlos Dunlap||Florida||5 star|
|DE||Cliff Matthews||South Carolina||5 star|
|DE||Cameron Heyward||Ohio State||4 star|
|DE||Derrick Morgan||Georgia Tech||4 star|
|DE||Everson Griffen||Southern California||Declared||5 star|
|DE||Greg Romeus||Pittsburgh||2 star|
|DE||Jason Pierre-Paul||South Florida||5 star JC|
|DE||Thaddeus Gibson||Ohio State||4 star|
|DE||Adrian Clayborn||Iowa||4 star|
|DE||Justin Trattou||Florida||5 star|
|DE||Ryan Kerrigan||Purdue||3 star|
|DE||Kevin Basped||Nevada||2 star|
|DE||Dontay Moch||Nevada||2 star|
|DT||Gerald McCoy||Oklahoma||Declared||5 star|
|DT||Brian Price||UCLA||Declared||5 star|
|DT||Marvin Austin||North Carolina||5 star|
|DT||Allen Bailey||Miami (Fla.)||5 star|
|DT||Stephen Paea||Oregon State||3 star JC|
|DT||Abe Koroma||Western Illinois||Declared||3 star|
|ILB||Rolando McClain||Alabama||4 star|
|ILB||Scott Lutrus||UConn||2 star|
|ILB||Quan Sturdivant||North Carolina||4 star|
|ILB||Travis Lewis||Oklahoma||4 star|
|OLB||Greg Jones||Michigan State||3 star|
|OLB||Navorro Bowman||Penn State||Declared||4 star|
|OLB||Rennie Curran||Georgia||4 star|
|OLB||Bruce Carter||North Carolina||3 star|
|OLB||Von Miller||Texas A&M||4 star|
|CB||Joe Haden||Florida||Declared||4 star|
|CB||DeAndre Morgan||North Carolina State||3 star|
|CB||Ras-I Dowling||Virginia||2 star|
|CB||Donovan Warren||Michigan||Declared||5 star|
|CB||Kareem Jackson||Alabama||3 star|
|CB||Dominique Franks||Oklahoma||4 star|
|CB||Amari Spievey||Iowa||2 star|
|CB||Johnny Patrick||Louisville||3 star|
|CB||Chimdi Chekwa||Ohio State||2 star|
|CB||Jimmy Smith||Colorado||3 star|
|CB||Kendric Burney||North Carolina||3 star|
|CB||Devon Torrence||Ohio State||4 star|
|S||Eric Berry||Tennessee||Declared||5 star|
|S||Morgan Burnett||Georgia Tech||4 star|
|S||Reshad Jones||Georgia||4 star|
|S||Major Wright||Florida||5 star|
|S||Chad Jones||LSU||5 star|
|S||Deunta Williams||North Carolina||4 star|
|S||Jermale Hines||Ohio State||4 star|
As you can see, of the 87 players on the list 21 have already made their intentions known. The 2009 draft had 46 early entrants, but only nine had declared before January 1.
So how will this impact the Big Ten?
There are 20 Big Ten players on the list and four of those have already declared. Nine of the players play for Ohio State. It is unlikely that all of the players above will enter the draft, however it is likely many will. If you combine this group with graduating seniors the power in the Big Ten could change dramatically. Here is a list of contributors that will be gone from each team in the Big Ten:
|RB||Daniel Dufrene*||Demetrius McCray*||Brandon Minor|
|RB||Bryan Payton*||Carlos Brown*|
|WR||Arrelious Benn**||Trey Stross||Greg Matthews|
|WR||Chris Duvalt||LaTerryal Savoy*|
|TE||Michael Hoomanawanui||Troy Wagner||Tony Moeaki|
|OT||Rodger Saffold||Kyle Calloway||Mark Ortmann|
|OG||Jon Asamoah||Pete Saxon||Andy Kuempel*||David Moosman|
|OG||Mike Reiter*||Dace Richardson|
|C||Eric Block||Rafael Eubanks|
|DE||Antonio James||Greg Middleton||Chad Geary*||Brandon Graham|
|DE||Doug Pilcher||Jammie Kirlew||Adrian Clayborn**||Adam Patterson*|
|DT||Rahkeem Smith*||Travis Meade*|
|LB||Will Patterson||A.J. Edds|
|LB||Justin Carrington*||Pat Angerer|
|CB||Dere Hicks||Amari Spievey**||Donovan Warren**|
|S||Donsay Hardeman||Austin Thomas||Steve Brown|
|P||Anthony Santella||Zolton Mesko|
|Michigan State||Minnesota||Northwestern||Ohio State|
|WR||Blair White||Ben Kuznia*||Andrew Brewer||Ray Small*|
|WR||Kevin Frymire||Dane Sanzenbacher**|
|TE||Nick Tow-Arnett||Jake Ballard|
|OT||Rocco Cironi||Matt Stommes*||Kurt Mattes*||Jim Cordle|
|OG||Brendon Moss||Desmond Taylor*||Bryant Browning**|
|C||Joel Nitchman||Andrew Moses*|
|DE||Trevor Anderson||Cedric McKinley||Corey Wootton||Cameron Heyward**|
|DE||Colin Neely||Barrett Moen||Thaddeus Gibson**|
|DE||Derrick Onwuachi*||Lawrence Wilson*|
|DT||Michael Jordan*||Eric Small||Adam Hahn||Todd Denlinger|
|DT||Garrett Brown||Marshall Thomas*||Doug Worthington|
|LB||Brandon Denson||Simoni Lawrence||Austin Spitler|
|LB||Greg Jones**||Rex Sharpe*|
|LB||Adam Decker*||Nate Triplett|
|CB||Jeremy Ware||Traye Simmons||Sherrick McManis||Chimdi Chekwa**|
|CB||Ross Weaver*||Marcus Sherels||Devon Torrence**|
|S||K. Davis-Clark*||Brad Phillips||Kurt Coleman|
|S||Ashton Henderson*||Brendan Smith||Anderson Russell|
|P||Blake Haudan||Jon Thoma|
|QB||Daryll Clark||Joey Elliott|
|RB||Evan Royster||Jaycen Taylor*||John Clay**|
|WR||Brett Brackett||Royce Adams*|
|WR||Graham Zug||Aaron Valentin|
|TE||Mickey Shuler||Mickey Turner|
|OT||Dennis Landolt||Zach Jones|
|OG||Lou Eliades||Zach Reckman|
|C||Doug Klopacz*||Jared Zwilling|
|DE||Jerome Hayes||Keyon Brown*||O'Brien Schofield|
|DT||Jared Odrick||Mike Neal||Daniel Moore|
|DT||Ollie Ogbu||Dan Cascone*|
|LB||Sean Lee||Jason Werner||Jaevery McFadden|
|CB||Knowledge Timmons||Brandon King|
|CB||A.J. Wallace*||David Pender|
|S||Cedric Jeffries*||Torri Williams||Chris Maragos|
|P||Jeremy Boone||Chris Summers|
* indicates non-starting contributor
** indicates early entrant
Source: www.rivals.com, www.foxsports.com, www.scout.com
Mgoblog readers can extrapolate the data anyway you choose, but a few things to note. Only two teams lose fewer player than the 12 that Michigan loses; Northwestern loses 11 and Wisconsin only loses nine. Penn State loses 27 contributors while Ohio State loses 21 and Michigan State loses 18. These departures don't include any transfers, nor do they include any disciplinary departures (see Spartans).
We all know that good teams reload and often players on the bench outshine the player they replace, but I am happy to see how few holes we will need to fill relative to the rest of the conference.
It will be an interesting off season. The NFL has made it a little more interesting. We will know how many players are truly leaving on January 15, the last day to declare for the draft.