shocked gambling establishment etc
A lot of interesting notes from a game I am still replaying in my head.
Another ground game worth 12 PAN, just like last week. My database goes back to the 2003 season and during that time there have been a total of 107 games where a player has recorded a PAN of 12 or higher. Of those 107 times, there are 10 players who have done it at least twice (4 have done it three times). The only players to have put up a dozen on the ground twice in one season versus BCS teams, Denard and two others, Jerome Harrison at Washington State vs Stanford and UCLA in 2005 and Chris Barclay at Wake Forest vs Clemson and Maryland in 2003.
The passing was obviously hit or miss for Denard on Saturday. The opening quarter started very strong with a +5 PAN to start things off. From the start of the second quarter until the final drive, the rating plummeted to a –8 during that stretch only to be brought back with a +4 through the air on the final drive.
The Special Teams
Will Hagerup did not have a beautiful looking day as many of his punts looked like shanks or line drives but his day not as ineffective as it appeared. He had five punts under 40 yards on the day, but only one of them was truly damaging. Two were fair caught inside the 15. Two of the others went out at the 20 and 24 which, although painful to watch, were about the effect as his 49 yard kick through the end zone. On top of that, he only allowed 9 yards of return on the day, all on his first kick which still netted 40 yards. All told, his punting performance had a PAN of –0.2, which came back to zero when adding in Denard’s quick kick. That said, his PAZ (Points Above Zoltan) was about –100.
Kicker: the sample size is small but the start could not be much worse for Michigan. So far this year Gibbons is –5 PAN, the second worst of college football team. Only Toledo’s –7 is worse.
Who knows what’s up with this group. It’s hard to say right now. Smith and Shaw saw their qualifying carries cut from 29 against UConn to 12 against Notre Dame. Against UConn both went +2 PAN while against ND Smith went –1 and Shaw –3. This weekend saw only four carries go for positive value (not positive yards) and one of those was the sole Hopkins carry.
This game is a very difficult game judge the defense on. There were a lot of really great moments (3 interceptions!) and a lot of really bad moments. Based on Notre Dame’s starting field position, they would be expected to score 25 points on the game, 27 if you count the two end of half drives. In that regard Michigan’s defense was slightly above average and if you add in the three interceptions there were some things to hang their hat on.
The two big pass plays were obviously killers, costing Michigan 12 points, as did the QB switch. ND was –9 PAN without Crist in the game and +16 when he was in, with most of the value coming from the two big pass plays.
The three interceptions helped Michigan dominate the starting field position. Michigan’s starting position put them in line for 32 points on the game, 7 more than ND. This was the 11th largest spread of field position for the weekend (OSU was first with +15 against Miami (YTM)).
There are two main reasons Denard and the offense were able to put up such large PAN numbers but not outscore their expected points based on field position. The first is the two missed field goals which deflated the total points scored despite the offense getting them into position. The second is penalties, offensively Michigan’s five penalties cost the team a full touchdown and in each of the five occurrences helped prevent any further first downs on the drive.
On defense Michigan’s penalties helped make things a little too dangerous at the end of the half, but Michigan still managed to break even on the day on the defensive side of the ball.
Great dramatic game. Glad we won. Here's some final thoughts on the game:
I was right about a lot of things, and wrong about a few things in my scouting report.
- ND doesn't have the right linemen for their offensive scheme yet
- ND WR merely serviceable due to inexperienced QB play
- Crist overthrows on the fly (except for one major exception!)
- Te'o was a beast
- Roh was a beast
- Allen was very dangerous
- Lots of tricky ways to get the RB the ball (shovel pass, counter draw, shotgun quickpitch)
- Wood muffed a kickoff (just like last week) and didn't factor into the passing game.
- ND corners good on run support
- ND outside backers lost contain
- Our D reacted well to familiar plays they see in practice.
- Weird things happen in south bend (phantom TD that should have been a touchback)
- We won a shootout (not really THAT many points, but lots of yards by both teams), by a close margin (not exactly one point)
- Crist is a much better athlete than given credit for as shown by his first TD scramble that was called back on a penalty. Had one good read on the option.
- Rudolph was not slow (at least in a straight line)
- Te'o didn't miss many tackles (except on Denard, but that was due to speed, not jukes)
- ND corners were not burnt deep. We didn't really try any one on one matchups, because that's the way our scheme was for this game. They did play soft giving us lots of 8 yard comeback routes. But our big pass plays came on busted coverages and playaction suck-ins, not speed on toast.
- Crist missing half the game. As big as he is, didn't think he'd get dinged up.
- With Crist out, ND pretty much ditched the spread for a while and went to more under center power formations.
- ND's D-line was much better than anticipated.
- Our secondary played much better than expected! (but that's not saying much)
- Our WR did a great job of holding onto the ball even when taking big hits.
- We are making up for last year in the turnover battle.
- I never thought that any ND coach could be as amusing as Jabba the Weis, but Brian Kelly's facial expressions were priceless.
And now for the fun stuff
If it was a scripted hug, RR wasn't in on it. Don't know what got to Tate, but whatever it was, I'm glad it happened.
Slow Linemen take away a big chunk of the "spread" playbook
Here's ND's first attempt at a wide screen. Notice that 4 of the offensive linemen aren't even getting to the play, and the fifth is taking his defender with him.
This leaves one defender completely unblocked. Combine that with Rudolph being a better receiver than blocker and you get massive fail. The whole point of a screen is to get your linemen down field to block the 2nd and 3rd levels. But ND's linemen are still too slow for that.
So later in the game, instead of running the bubble screen like you should to the sideline, ND calls for the middle screen.
But we're running a zone blitz (disguised nicely) and Herron bats the ball.
The wide screen would have prevented the batted ball because of the angle created. But when you don't have the right personnel to get down field...
Our Defense blew up some familiar plays
When you see a play over and over again in practice, the reads become reflexive and it's easier to defend. Here's a sweep play that could have gotten big yards for ND.
They pull two o-linemen around the outside, so we should be outmanned on the corner.
Roh does a good job of holding his ground making it a longer way to go. Then Floyd? who is playing rolled up, makes an excellent play by taking on the lead blocker. Our middle backers see the pulling action and flow instinctively with the ball carrier.
But what really blows up the play is Ezeh getting on his horse and flying through the gap before Allen can get to the edge. If he's a step slower, then the play gains at least 10 yards down the sideline, and maybe goes all the way. But because of the quick recognition, it results in a TFL.
Here's a play that shows what a beast Roh is turning into.
It's just a simple base zone read option, but the QB isn't making a read on the play because he's too inexperienced. There's no way he should have handed off the ball. Keeping it or throwing the flare would both have been better options. But check out Roh!
He fights through a double team to make a TFL.
And he was being held!
Roh did get pancaked once when he did a spin move right into one of the hulking guards, and he missed a couple of tackles, but he was in the backfield most of the day.
Speaking of Beasts. There's this kid, maybe you've heard of him, called Denard. People say he's fast. Errrrmmm... yeah. So what does speed do to a defender?
It makes them look stupid! Check out the angle the ND OLB has to take to account for warp drive. And
Too bad for them that Denard doesn't run in straight lines
WOW! Just a nice little 30 yard gain, when there was a completely unblocked defender.
But what's the difference between a nice gain and a homerun?
Answer: DOWNFIELD BLOCKING! On the 87 yard TD, there was just great downfield cut blocks.
And He can pooch punt!
You da man!
I thought we did a really nice job containing him. But he showed flashes. Here's a play were Mouton was a step slow to react or didn't read the pre-snap alignment.
Allen lines up a half yard behind the QB signaling either pass or inside run.
The left guard pulls but Mouton doesn't immediately recognize it. (he had a very nice day, just a little slow on this one play)
ND does a very good job of holding. But on this instance it didn't affect the play, so I don't care. Mouton still has a chance to make the tackle,
but Allen has enough ball skills to get by him and pick up a nice gain.
On the next play he made 3 people miss with a jump cut and a spin, and then he ran over Cam Gordon, causing the announcer to repeat his favorite "Quick Twitch" line.
He really got things going in the second half, nearly breaking one for the distance on a shotgun quickpitch.
We can has functional DB's?
JT Floyd got an INT when Montana misread the coverage, which like, WOOOOOO!!!!!
Don't you just love Frosh QB's? I mean, when they play AGAINST us, not FOR us.
The Kid from Hawaii
Teo was a beast for ND all day long. Here's an example of him reading the screen and just flying to Shaw almost before the ball can get there.
Teo pretty much single-handedly destoryed our screen game.
My name is JONAS!
Jonas Mouton had a pretty good game. Here he is against that same play as before.
Ezeh was faking a blitz before the snap, but you get virtually the same action.
Mike Martin takes on the double team, preventing the center from getting to the second level. Mouton fills the hole and hits Allen head on before he gets a chance to even make a move.
And Kovacs was there to clean up, since at that point we had 8 in the box against the ineffective Montana.
Mouton's pass drops look to be much improved. He got the INT on the flea flicker, and he tipped the ball to Kovacs after our first missed FG attempt. He also layed some lumber on a number of hits. Not perfect, but much improved from last year. I credit GERG!
ND's D-Line was pretty strong
At least when Denard wasn't making them look silly. I think Molk was having trouble with the size of and strength of the ND nosetackle. Here he is getting pushed back in a short yardage situation.
He almost gets pushed all the way back into Vincent, but the little guy picks up the first down.
Here's another play where Molk (who is a pretty darn good lineman) had trouble with the nosetackle.
It's a QB sweep to the left. And it looks pretty well blocked.
But the playside guard didn't get enough of a chip on the nosetackle as he released to get on Teo.
And Molk can't keep him engaged enough.
Their D-Line play probably explains why the other running backs couldn't do much. Here's Shaw making a bad read on an earlier zone dive.
First off, Denard should have thrown the flare, since Teo was playing run all the way. But it might have been a called run, not an option since there's no double team.
Our left tackle has given up inside leverage, but for some reason Shaw cuts left, instead of to the right.
On this play, Patrick actually gets a good drive block opening up a lane, but to no avail.
Kinda hard to blame kelly for losing that game, but ND fans did anyway. Sure he did Weis them at the end of the first half (bwAHahahahah! I love that his name has turned into a verb!) But he's playing with personel (especially linemen) that don't fit his system. And his starting QB missed half the game.
So, what do you do when three different QB's throw interceptions and you end both halves of the game with an uncatchable ball into the cheap seats?
You make faces.
First I was like
Then I was like.
First I was like...
then I was like...
And then I was like....
PLEASE SOMEONE MAKE A GOOD ANIMATED GIF OF THIS! I hate microsoft and can't get moviemaker to import .mp4 files.
The Phantom TD
I'm kinda glad that the refs didn't call Jones on this douchebag move. Not that dropping the ball makes you a douchebag, but dropping it so that you can put your hands up to your ear in a douchebag manner makes you a douchebag. Because if the play had been called CORRECTLY, there would be even MORE whining from the notre lame fans.
Tips for MSU:
Crist holds the ball too long because of inexperience and he's not confident (or accurate) enough to stick the ball into coverage to take advantage of physical mismatches. But he's a good scrambler who looks to make the long pass when coverage breaks down. Probably worth keeping DB's back and giving up some smaller runs by him.
Use combo coverages to always have a man near Floyd and Rudolph. Floyd will get discouraged if he's not a big part of the game. But rolling corners up into the flats worked well for us. We got at least two INTs because of the underneath zone.
Always key on Allen when he's in the game, He's the most dependable part of their offense, and if you can neutralize him, you're really limiting what they can do.
GET A HAT ON TEO! And drive block him. He caused Denard's fumble by coming off of vincent smith's block and pursing from behind. Vincent actually had a decent block oh him, but couldn't sustain it.
With State's power running game, I'd run it right at him! He's super fast, but not as big as some other linebackers.
Slow developing plays and cutesy draws won't work as well against their strong D-Line. And their corners come up well on outside runs. Quick hitting iso's, dives, and inside traps are your best bets. When they start to pinch or go to 8 man fronts, I'd work the veer option on the edge to take advantage of their OLB. (don't know if state has this in their playbook)
Good luck spartans.
This weekend, believe it or not, seemed to be almost as big of a boost for Michigan in the recruiting department as the first. Denard Robinson is becoming a household name, and turning the heads of high school players all over. This update will be a little different than most, as I'll provide some reactions and quotes from various Michigan recruits.
6'2", 185 lbs.
Mauk is a 2012 prospect from Ohio who has taken in both of Michigan's games so far this season, the first as a Michigan recruit and the second as a guest of Notre Dame. Maty has an interesting recruitment ahead of him as his brother Ben played at Cincinnati for Brian Kelly, but the majority of his family are Michigan fans. MaukL
I like the coaches at both schools, and I talk to both of them quite a bit. My family has liked Michigan since we were kids, and my offensive line coach (Tony Osbun) actually played at Michigan, too.
Mauk's parents and Osbun were in attendance at the UConn game, and everyone came away impressed with the victory. Maty reported that he ran a 4.5 forty during his last attempt, and now has over 900 yards passing and 9 touchdowns in two games.
[Michigan's] offense was clicking a little bit more in the Notre Dame game. I'd feel good in either offense, because we run a five wide spread now, and if we're not passing then I'm the one that runs the ball. Winning for Michigan is a good thing, I'm just going to keep building relationships.
Mauk said he probably won't make his decision early on, and wants to see who ends up being interested in him. Since he can't get a written offer until August, it probably doesn't matter anyway. He's very interested in Michigan, and for him to see two wins in a row in person is a good thing.
6'4", 230 lbs.
Red Bank, New Jersey
Michigan wants a tight end in this class by have whiffed on a number so far. Tabb is very interested in Michigan. I would even go as far as saying M is in his top two right now. He originally wanted to make his decision before the season started, but that got pushed back and it looks like it will be pushed back again:
I'll have all my official visits set up in the next few days. My mom wants them set up, so I need to get that done. Michigan will get one of the officials though.
North Carolina is the other school Tabb is very interested in. If they bring the hammer on UNC, and Michigan's self-imposed sanctions aren't significantly increased, advantage Michigan.
Other Reactions and Notes:
Deion Barnes - The defensive end from PA has Michigan in his top five and has been very impressed with Michigan so far.
Denard Robinson had 500 total yards, that dude's a beast. I need to take a look at how the defensive ends did though.
He was excited, but still wanted to see how the defensive line looked in the wins. Remember, I said before that the coaches told him to wait until the end of the season to take his official visit. I don't know why, it could be so they know where they stand with Zettel.
AJ Jordan - The Trotwood wide receiver was at the UConn game and watched the Notre Dame game on TV. He was also very impressed with the offense. It can only help that he's been watching friend and former teammate Roy Roundtree make plays.
They looked good. I'm not sure when I'm going to get back up there, but I know I'm going to Wisconsin on September 18th. We'll see how that goes so I can compare.
Again I've said this before but I think Wisconsin has the slight lead right now. I think Michigan is closing the gap, but this visit next week to Wisconsin could swing the pendulum in either direction.
- Darian Cooper - He didn't get a chance to watch the game because his team had a game themselves. He did see highlights though, and heard about the stats. He had a similar reaction to most of the others, and was impressed. Cooper has a lot of interest in Michigan, but like many other is watching from afar to see what happens this season. Remember he's become good friends with current Michigan commit Delonte Hollowell, and will be staying with him this winter. If by winter time Michigan is having a winning season, expect the interest level to rise dramatically for Cooper.
Anthony Zettel - He's stated before that he will wait until the end of the season to make his decision, largely stemming from the rumors about job security for Rich Rod and his staff. The wins have not gone unnoticed for Anthony.
I watched the whole [Notre Dame] game on TV, it was pretty cool. I was supposed to go to Iowa this weekend, but I couldn't make it. The winning is helping Michigan a bit, but it's still pretty close. It's Michigan, Penn State, Iowa, and Michigan State right now.
Anthony is playing everything close to the vest right now, but I have a feeling the winning is helping a lot more than "a bit." He's not sure if he's rescheduling the Iowa visit, but he "thinks so." He will however be at Michigan in a couple weeks, most likely for the MSU game.
- Vincent Valentine - A 6-foot-3, 300-pound 2012 defensive tackle from Illinois who holds a Michigan verbal offer says he is definitely interested in Michigan. Valentine also said he's going to try to make it up for a game this season, but he's unsure of which one. Vincent will have plenty of offers to choose from, and plans to take his time.
- Nacho Garcia - First, this. Nacho, who's real name is Abraham, is a 2012 offensive tackle prospect from Florida. Recently featured in an Andy Staple's article for Sports Illustrated, Garcia says he has early interest in Michigan. Nacho is a whopping 6-foot-6, and 339-pounds entering his junior season. He won't rush into anything, but said that everyone knows who Jake Long is, and he knows that Michigan always has a great offensive line. Just a name, and a great one at that, to keep an eye on.
These were some of the recruits I spoke with about their reaction to Michigan's performance. Others weren't as noteworthy, or didn't have as much to say, but trust me they're all watching.
Michigan is 2-0, ranked in both polls, and off to a much needed great start to the season. However, as Michigan fans, we are all proceeding with caution due to the events of last year. Everyone knows the story, 4-0 start and then a 1-7 finish. Why should we think this year is any different? There are a lot of similarities between this year and last. Why not take a look at some:
Michigan is off to a 2-0 start, including a heart pounding, come from behind win on the last drive of the game against Notre Dame.
Michigan has a chance to get to 4-0(like last year) and then 5-0. They would go into the Michigan State game unbeaten and ranked, similar to last year.
Like last year Michigan has a Quarterback emerging as a star in the college football world after 2 weeks. Last year was Tate Forcier, this year it is Denard Robinson.
So why should we think this year is any different? It looks like we are following almost the same story line as last year. I will tell you why 2010 is nothing like 2009.
The book is still out on whether or not UConn is a good team. However, they are from a BCS conference, and coming off a bowl win. There is no way you can compare a win against Western Michigan or Eastern Michigan (which Michigan had in 2009) to a win against UConn. The win against UConn is just a better win, and Michigan smacked them around pretty good.
This year the Notre Dame game was on the road. Everyone knows home field advantage is big in college football. Michigan did not win one road game last year, not one. That includes teams like Illinois. So to get a road win against Notre Dame is a huge step in the right direction.
Tate Forcier had a good start to last season, and had a lot of great reviews and hype. However, he never did anything like Denard Robinson has done this year. Not any record breaking performances, he was good, but what Denard has done in week 1 and week 2 is absolutely special, and something I have never seen before.
The offense is just better than last year. The offensive line is stronger, more experienced and everyone is more experienced in the system now. When you watch this offense, you see a team that is clicking, and running the offense the way you want it to be run.
Denard is exactly the kind of QB Rich Rodriguez needs to run this system. As good as Tate Forcier was at the start of last season, he does not have the same skill sets as Denard does to run this offense.
Both quarterbacks (Tate and Denard) are now sophomores. They have a year of experience in the system now and will obviously be improved from last year. This should mean less of the turnovers(none in the first two games) that plauged Michigan last year. Where that also helps is if Denard were to get injured, we are stronger at back up than last year. When Tate got hurt last year we had an inexperienced Denard to back him up. Obviously as we watched, it was not a very good situation. Now if Denard gets injured, you have a sophomore QB who started 12 games last year, and a Freshmen who enrolled early ready to go behind him. The QB situation is WAY better than last year, even if Denard were to get injured.
Looking at the upcoming schedule. Last year after the 4-0 start Michigan played MSU and Iowa on the road. Lost one in overtime, and the other by 2 points. This year both teams travel to Ann Arbor. That is not to say this means Michigan will win for sure, but I like Michigans chances at home against these teams better than on the road. After that, Michigan plays Penn State, who last year was an 11-2 team, with a lot of depth and experience. This year they are a young team trying to find their way and the book is still out on them. I like Michigans chances against the 2010 Penn State team better than the 2009 Penn State team. Also this year, Michigan will get Wisconsin at home instead of on the road. The only thing I do not like is seeing OSU in the shoe, instead of the Big House.
Nobody will deny that so far, 2010 looks similar to 2009. However, it is a new year, and a new set of circumstances. We should all take a breath and realize that similar does not mean the same.
I have too many thoughts on my mind after enjoying the thrilling win at ND, I decided to try to plot them down in one diary entry.
It is so enjoyable for me to watch Michigan play this season because of many things but none more important than our offense and the predictability of our defense. This team really reminds me of the 2000-2001 team under Lloyd Carr and quarterbacked by Drew Henson and starring A-Train. That team had a great high powered offense and a very generous defense, it got so bad that we gave around 50 some points to NorthWestern, but in return scored 50 some points against them (no need to bring back memories of unnecessary fumbles and the nightmares after that game). That team though was not supposed to be bad on defense but it was (it had flashes of brilliance with 2 shutouts and 2 near shutouts against bad offenses), this team on the other hand is actually expected to be miserable on defense, but is actually more than half decent up to this point.
If you think about it, denard had 500 + yards against Notre Dame accounting for most of the offense but we ended up with 28 points, add to that 3 turnovers created by the defense and a couple of critical stops and voilà, we have a W.
Just to draw some statistical comparisons between this year’s team and that 2000-2001 team:
The 2000-2001 team had the following averages:
Points scored per game = 33.7
Points against per game = 19.08 (note that they had 2 shutouts against IU and MSU and 2 near shutouts against Bowling Green and Rice)
Turnover Margin = +1.08 (Big Ten Leaders)
Passing Efficiency = 155.3 (Big Ten Leader and Michigan Record)
(I looked around and couldn’t find historical data for yards per game on offense and defense online, please help with this)
just to refresh your memory that offense had Drew Henson, A-Train, David Terrel, Jeff Backus and Steve Huchinson. And the defense had a star in Victor Hobson.
This year’s 2010 stats 2 games in:
Yards per game = 502.5 (14th nationally)
Yards against = 439 (101st nationally)
Points scored per game = 29 (62nd nationally)
Points against per game = 17 (39th nationally)
Turnover Margin = + 2
I know that the current season stats are not really representative of much considering they were just 2 games against probably average teams, but they are the only indication we have for the rest of the season. The alarming number is actually the points per game which is low compared to yards per game, that means we’re getting a lot of yards but not scoring. 14th nationally in yards but 62nd nationally in scoring, which is with a positive turnover margin, although missed FG kicks will have to contribute to that statistic. On a positive note though we are 39th nationally in points against for now, a sign of a bend but don’t break defense.
In the past my fear with Michigan was actually the part where Michigan had the ball, I was always scared of fumbles, interceptions, and a 3 and out. I used to feel more comfortable when the defense was on the field. Today, it's a different story, Michigan has a pretty dependable offense that is actually aiming to run up the score and hoping to score on every drive (contrary to most of Lloyd Carr's offenses, 'btw I love Carr') and has a defense that is supposed to give up scores, but in general they hope to do so on long drives rather than short ones so they give their offense some time to rest up and get ready for the next attack. (Just to clarify this point, it's much more comfortable for me to watch this offense play than many of the offenses of the past 10 seasons. Exceptions on offense would be the 2000 team and the 2006 team) I finally feel the feeling that UCLA fans in 1998 had, big offense, no defense! This really plays into the rule that 'the best defense is a good offense'.
As for watching the defense, it's actually kind of fun, 2 games, the same outcome, the defense has proven that they have a bend but don't break quickly mentality. They don't mind giving up 500000 yards a game as long as they don't give up more than 25 to 28 points a game. The offense has to pick up from there and score 30 to 35 points a game (the more the better). For this season at least we can't look at the game as a win if we score anywhere less than 21 points if not more. Which is great for us, the fans, that means the offense's plan is to score on each drive and not really slow down until they are up by 50 late in the fourth quarter, because a young defense can give up so many points in a 10 minute span, it's crazy!!
Only 2 games have passed and we are all optimistic now, and that is ok, I love to be optimistic for Michigan actually. The team actually deserves national respect. If we can pull off big wins in the next 3 games, Michigan could be in a much better position to deal with the Big Ten teams than last season. I hope they do and I hope we win the close ones this season. I love this offense, this coach and even the attitude of the fans this year, it is the best start of a season for me since 1997, because its unexpected. In general, its fun to have a dependable offense and predictable defense, that way there isn’t much frustration for the fans. So this team has a similar offense to the 2000 team, but doesn’t have the expectations on defense that that team had.
All I can say right now to all the fans out there is simply Go Blue and Hail to the Victors. Good luck Maize and Blue, and keep the W's coming.
Denard probably has had as statistically dynamic a two-game start to his starting career as any other QB in college football history, I imagine. Hard to top 885 yards. Especially against two BCS-level opponents.
Got me thinking: how long did it take Terrelle Pryor to reach 885 total yards after becoming OSU's starting QB? And just to cut him some slack for starting as a true frosh in 2008 (in 4th game), am also comparing Denard's start against Pryor's second season start (2009):
2008 (true frosh)
In backup duty in three games to start the 2008 season, Pryor amassed 87 passing yards and 129 rushing yards, for 216 total yards. He started the fourth game of the season, and has been starter ever since. It took him SIX games to amass 885 total yards of offense:
PASS YARDS / RUSH YARDS/ TOTAL YARDS SINCE STARTING
139 / 66 - 205
70 / 97 - 372
144 / 20 - 536
97 / 27 - 660
116 / 72 - 848
226 / 6 - 1,080
Pryor finished 2008 with 1,582 total yards in 9 starts = 176 total yards per start.
2009 (true soph)
Inconsistency again dogs Pryor, but it took him four games to amass 885 yards:
174 / 30 - 204
177 / 36 - 417
262 / 110 - 789
82 / 59 - 930
Pryor finished 2009 with 2,535 total yards in 13 games = 195 total yards per start.
2010 (true junior_
After two games, Pryor has amassed 610 total yards = 305 total yards per start. Likely to reach 885 sometime during third game.
By contrast, Denard is averaging 443 total yards per start. Average likely to plummet the next two weeks, as it's hard to imagine RR playing Denard more than a quarter this Saturday vs UMass, or much more than a half next week vs Bowling Green.
What's all this mean? Two-thirds of four-fifths of eff-all. Extrapolating statistical outliers early in a season and believing the results are possible to achieve is foolhardy business. How many times have we heard, say, in April or May how so-and-so is on pace to hit 100 homers this season or hit .400.... And we all roll our eyes.
Can't hate these comparisons anyway. FWIW.