in town for free camps
Let me start by prefacing this with a warning: This will not be a revolutionary or even original way of thinking about the BCS and a potential playoff system in College Football. This is merely one mans attempt to waste time and figure out what he believes should be the system to determine a champion in the sport that he loves. Also, unfortunatley there will not be any fancy statistics that prove that what I am saying is better than the BCS or anything like that.
So, I believe that there are 3 major considerations that need to be undertaken in forming a college football postseason:
1. To determine a fair and correct champion
2. To keep the integrity of the regular season alive
3. To keep the tradition of the Bowls alive
The reason why I like the BCS in its current form is because it accomplishes objectives 2 and 3, while usually (but controversially) accomplishing objective 1. However, as time has passed, I believe that objective 1 has become less and less acheivable in the BCS system because, among other reasons, the human bias for and against certain conferences. There is no doubt that the SEC is the top conference in the land. Is it however, so far and away better than the B1G, Pac12, Big12, ACC and Big East that there should be an in-conference rematch for the national championship? I believe that the answer is, in almost any case, no.
Now that we have determined what I believe to be the most glaring flaw in the BCS system, we move to creating an alternative. This alternative must complete all 3 objectives in a significantly better way to be worth a change in format.
The way I look at college football, the regular season is in fact, a playoff. To add a full playoff system like that off the NFL would greatly diminish regular season games and would take away a fundamental element of college football that differentiates it from the NFL: The importance of every game. I dont think that a team should be able to lose more than one, or in rare, rare cases 2 games and be in consideration for a national championship. If we lived in a world where a team could simply win its conference and be into the playoff system, we would see OOC games be rendered virtually meaningless. We would also see teams that lock up a birth in their conference championship games be less motivated to win on that special rivalry weekend that closes out the regular season. This takes away the passion, intensity and importance of every week and would be a travesty in my opinion.
Similarly, the Bowl season is one of the greatest postseason experiences in sports. Charles Woodson clenching that rose between his teeth after beating Ohio State in 97 and all such experiences would disappear in a full playoff. Also, New Years Day (or this year 2-Jan) isnt the same without a full day of important Bowl games.
So onto my proposal...
Add one more BCS game to the mix with the Cotton Bowl. The two teams that play in this game are at large teams from any conference. We use the BCS formula and existing conference tie-ins to determine who is sent to the 5 BCS Bowl games. These 5 games are all played in sequential order on 1-January every year. The morning after these games, some type of formula similar to the BCS determines what 2 teams play for the national championship. What this formula looks for is strength of schedule through out the season combined with a heavier emphasis on the teams preformance in its bowl game. This makes sure that every game is still important, makes sure that the bowl games keep their tradition and importance and gives us one more ulta significant data point per season to determine who plays for a national championship. The 2 teams selected then play for the National championship a week later in a rotating stadium among the 5 BCS games.
The BCS bowls would also be picked by a comittee who tried to create matchups we would like to see.
So in this system the BCS would have played out something like this in 2011/2012:
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin v Oregon
Orange Bowl: West Virginia v Clemson
Sugar Bowl: LSU v Michigan
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State v Boise State (or Alabama v OkSt)
Cotton Bowl: Stanford v Alabama (Or Boise State v Alabama)
If I had to guess the National Championship, it would still probably be Alabama v LSU in a rematch but we would get to see how they fared against other opponents before sending them to an automatic rematch. In all honesty, they were the 2 best teams this year. This scenario does make a rematch a little more interesting this year, I think, and in most years would pick the 2 best teams overall to play for the championship.
Obviously this sytem has flaws as well but this was mainly an excersize to explore another option.
Brian's front page post got me riled up enough to try to bang out a diary over my lunch hour. Please critique and suggest ways to make it better in the comments, I might mess up some numbers as I'm doing this quickly from memory. Here we go:
What is the most entertaining playoff in all of sports? March Madness. (MM for short in the diary) The NCAA already hosts (and keeps the revenue from) a ridiculously exciting tournament every year that has huge interest and kills productivity all over the US. It leaves us with an NCAA National Champion - something we don't currently have in football. So, since the NCAA has a very successful playoff structure, my playoff proposal is to simply scale it down and apply it to football:
BCS Problems: Small group picked, way of picking extremely messed up (see coaches' poll numbers etc.) Voters decide only 2 teams to "decide it on the field". Teams 3-8 in any given year are pissed, Ticket sales are down, TV #s are down, the NCAA receives no money from it, conferences lose money on it, etc.
MM Problems: Low attendance at early rounds, the refs still love Duke, Teams #65-68 (or whatever, I think of it as a 64 team tournament) are pissed and... ??? Please add more in the comments, I'll add them.
Remember, the NCAA takes 430 some BBall teams and slots 64 (ish) into a tournament. I'm going to attempt to do that with 120 football teams into 8-12. (Once I drew up my proposal I had 11... which seems like as weird a number as 65 or 68). May I present... December Madness
Schedule: Conf Champs all decided 1st week of December. 2nd week is Bye week/play in game. December week 3 is 8 team tourney. Week 4, 4 teams left. New years day (ish) Champ Game. December Madness
What works well from March Madness and we're going to try to take with us:
Conference Champ Auto Bids - 33 in Bball, we'll take 5 in Football. B1G, SEC, ACC, BigXII and PAC12 Champs - you're in the tourney. Lets the Conference championship game matter (Like the BBall Conference tourney). I also wouldn't be adverse to a "play in game" or two for the little-guy conference champs.
Selection Committee: They do it in hoops, do it here. The polls still matter as that'll be part of the "resume" like RPI and Sagarin ratings are in bball. You could use the polls to help rank the tournament (like in basketball). There would be 3-6 "At Large" bids used here to get your 8 - 12 teams. Would the last team left out be pissed? Yes sir. Sucks for the 65th basketball team too. One week into an awesome tournament no one cares.
Site Locations: Here's where I'm not 100% sure on what to suggest. I've been to NCAA Regional games and they're always half empty. It's hard enough to have fan bases travel to 1 bowl game much less the 3 it'll take in my proposal so at least Round 1 is a home game. Conference Champs get to host the home games, rotating 1 every 5 years on the road (Pic below). The big Bowls will host Round 2 and the Championship rotating every year (I realize that's 3 games for the current Big 4 Bowls... but the last bowl can choose any two teams not in the tournament to invite. the 1 bowl can get shafted every 4 years).
money grabs bowl games are free to invite whomever they want to whatever they want. I love that Lloyd got carried off after we beat florida, teams not in the tournament should be able to end their season with a win. Hey, there's still an NIT out there.
Hopefully this graphic works and sums up my proposal nicely. Why is this a bad idea? The NCAA already does most of it. What do you think?
|Play In Games (2nd week Dec)||1st Round (3rd week Dec)||Final 4 (4th week)||Champ Game|
|At Large #1||NYD Ish|
|AT||Game 1 Winner|
|AT MWC Champ||AT||SEC Champ|
|Large 2||B1G Champ|
|AT||Game 2 Winner||AT Sugar Bowl|
|Big East Champ||AT||B1G Champ|
|At Large 3||PAC12 Champ|
|AT||Game 3 Winner||AT ROSE BOWL|
|At Large 4||AT||Big12 Champ|
|ACC Champ||AT Fiesta Bowl|
|(ACC Hosts next year, someone else gets shafted. Rotates)||(Orange Bowl hosts national title next year, someone rotates off)||(Again, site rotates between bowls)|
Hearing Daniel Horton speak on "Inside Michigan Basketball" brought back some memories, good and bad. It made me think about how far the program has come, and the obstacles that they have overcome.
Inexplicably, my Michigan basketball fandom originated from watching this guy
Jack up contested 3 pointers that would make Tim Hardaway Jr. blush. Dom Ingerson was like the NFL Braylon Edwards of college basketball. He couldn't hit a 3 pointer for his life unless he was falling out of bounds with three guys draped over him. My fandom grew out of free tickets and a love for the University of Michigan. I suppose thats why Brian's wording, "Right now we're going through the last vestiges of having no expectations because we have no program" made me just a little bit angry. Because I can remember when we had no program. I remember when beating Bowling Green was a big deal. I was there, and it was actually quite a while ago.
There were starts and stops along the way. When Daniel Horton came on the scene and ripped off 13 wins in a row including Michigan's only contest against baby brother
finishing third in the big ten conference, I thought the program had arrived. Several thousand key injuries, a costly suspension, and several broken promises from Bill Martin later, and hindsight tells a different story.
That beautiful sparkling player development center standing next to Crisler. That tells me that the program has arrived. You see, that practice facility was promised to Tommy Amaker in 2001. And when Daniel Horton came back to Crisler and remarked, "This was promised to us as freshmen. We were going to be using this facility as juniors" it brought back all the old anger. I cannot blame Tommy Amaker for telling him that, as it was the same line of garbage Bill Martin was selling him. Years later in a rivals article about the big house renovation, Martin would comment on the (then)dilapidated state of Crisler Arena, stating "I know what side my bread is buttered on. If basketball recruits care about facilities, they wont come to Michigan."
Oh how far we have come. Can you imagine David Brandon saying that? Just look around that arena. Look at that gorgeous scoreboard, every inch of it flat panel display. At the brand new block "M" adorned seating. Look at that shining glass-encased practice facility. Go ahead tell me that Martin layed the groundwork for it. Then I'll remind you that he promised it a DECADE ago. Think for a second where the program would be if he had kept his promise. I know, I know, he had the Ed Martin scandal to think about. But look at USC. Look at OSU. If I'm not mistaken, OSU's basketball program actually got STRONGER in the wake of their scandal. USC's football team seems to be doing just fine. You are blaming the wrong Martin.
But enough of the old anger. Four years ago this young man stepped onto the Crisler floor for the first time
I'm going to say that the moment Novak walked out onto the floor, that was the moment Michigan had a program again. That team went on to beat #4 UCLA, #4 Duke, beat Clemson in the NCAA tournament, until finally conceding a tight game to the #2 Blake Griffins and their ridiculous officiating crew.
Just look at where Michigan Basketball is today, and what they have overcome. I dont think they have played a home game this year in front of less than 10,000 fans. Thats a testament to both the marketing department and the team on the floor. Just standing there in that mostly-dead crowd at the Wisconsin game. Having witnessed Michigan totally embarrass a ranked Wisconsin team. And it didn't even seem like a big deal. Like it was expected. How far we have come. And what fun we have to look forward to in the coming years. I guess what I am trying to say is...
How much fun is this?
As we approach the finish line for recruiting, I thought it might be interesting to compare the Top 100 players for each of the top 3 recruiting sites.
As fans, we tend to favor the particular site that ranks our recruits the highest. I thought it might be interesting to see how many players are universally lauded.
Seven of our current commits are in the Top 100 of at least one site, but surprisingly only two* of our current commits made all three lists. Scout would seem to be our favorite service this year since they have five our our current commits on their list.
Other schools of note for their success:
- Alabama has ten recruits that make at least one of the lists.
- Florida State has seven recruits that make at least one of the lists.
- Texas has eleven recruits that make at least one of the lists.
- Miami (YTM) has six recruits that make at least one of the lists.
B1G Members & Notre Dame:
- Iowa has only one recruit that makes at least one of the lists.
- Michigan State has only one recruit that makes at least one of the lists.
- Northwestern has only one recruit that makes at least one of the lists.
- Notre Dame has seven recruits that make at least one of the lists.
- Ohio State has five recruits that make at least one of the lists.
- Penn State has two recruits that make at least one of the lists (one is Armani Reeves).
- Wisconsin has three recruits that make at least one of the lists.
With just a few weeks until signing day there are still 35 uncommited players that make one of the three top 100 lists.
The composite list in alphabetical order by School of interest:
|Name||Pos||School||Hometown||Schools of Interest||247 Rank||247 Rating||Rivals Rank||Rivals Rating||Scout Rank||Scout Rating|
|Amari Cooper||WR||Northwestern||Miami, FL||Alabama||N/A||N/A||62||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Chris Black||WR||First Coast||Jacksonville, FL||Alabama||27||5 stars||37||4 stars||92||4 Star|
|Cyrus Jones||ATH||Gilman||Baltimore, MD||Alabama||93||4 stars||N/A||N/A||46||5 Star|
|Eddie Williams||ATH||Arnold||Panama City Beach, FL||Alabama||13||5 stars||23||5 stars||54||4 Star|
|Geno Smith||CB||St. Pius X||Atlanta, GA||Alabama||39||4 stars||61||4 stars||82||4 Star|
|Kenyan Drake||APB||Hillgrove||Powder Springs, GA||Alabama||73||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Landon Collins||S||Dutchtown||Geismar, LA||Alabama||3||5 stars||15||5 stars||12||5 Star|
|Reggie Ragland||ILB||Bob Jones||Madison, AL||Alabama||66||4 stars||83||4 stars||36||5 Star|
|Ryan Anderson||WDE||Daphne||Daphne, AL||Alabama||51||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|T.J. Yeldon||RB||Daphne||Daphne, AL||Alabama||16||5 stars||24||5 stars||59||4 Star|
|JaQuay Williams||WR||Sandy Creek||Tyrone, GA||Auburn||N/A||N/A||78||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Ricky Parks||TE||Callaway||Hogansville, GA||Auburn||67||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Tanner Mangum||PRO||Eagle||Eagle, ID||BYU||43||4 stars||42||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Bryce Treggs||WR||St. John Bosco||Bellflower, CA||California||N/A||N/A||73||4 stars||47||5 Star|
|Ellis McCarthy||DT||Monrovia||Monrovia, CA||California||31||4 stars||17||5 stars||33||5 Star|
|Jordan Payton||WR||(Oaks Christian HS)||Westlake Village, CA||California||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||91||4 Star|
|Shaq Thompson||ATH||Grant Union||Sacramento, CA||California||10||5 stars||7||5 stars||11||5 Star|
|Zach Kline||PRO||San Ramon Valley||Danville, CA||California||72||4 stars||63||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Carlos Watkins||DT||Chase||Forest City, NC||Clemson||40||4 stars||86||4 stars||65||4 Star|
|Chad Kelly||QB||St. Joseph School||Buffalo, NY||Clemson||87||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Germone Hopper||WR||Phillip O Berry Acad Of Tech||Charlotte, NC||Clemson||N/A||N/A||67||4 stars||97||4 Star|
|Travis Blanks||DB||North Florida Christian||Tallahassee, FL||Clemson||N/A||N/A||41||4 stars||88||4 Star|
|Brian Poole||DB||Southeast||Bradenton, FL||Florida||N/A||N/A||85||4 stars||28||5 Star|
|D.J. Humphries||OT||Mallard Creek||Charlotte, NC||Florida||9||5 stars||3||5 stars||19||5 Star|
|Jessamen Dunker||OT||(Boynton Beach Community HS)||Boynton Beach, FL||Florida||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||66||4 Star|
|Jonathan Bullard||SDE||Crest||Shelby, NC||Florida||44||4 stars||20||5 stars||31||5 Star|
|Kent Taylor||TE||Land O' Lakes||Land O'Lakes, FL||Florida||N/A||N/A||56||4 stars||86||4 Star|
|Chris Casher||WDE||WP Davidson||Mobile, AL||Florida St.||37||4 stars||43||4 stars||64||4 Star|
|Dante Fowler||WDE||Lakewood||Saint Petersburg, FL||Florida St.||50||4 stars||35||4 stars||79||4 Star|
|Jameis Winston||DUAL||Hueytown||Bessemer, AL||Florida St.||4||5 stars||10||5 stars||20||5 Star|
|Marcus Maye||S||(Holy Trinity Episcopal School)||Melbourne, FL||Florida St.||N/A||N/A||51||4 stars||94||4 Star|
|Mario Edwards||SDE||Ryan||Denton, TX||Florida St.||6||5 stars||4||5 stars||7||5 Star|
|Mario Pender||RB||Island Coast||Cape Coral, FL||Florida St.||36||4 stars||33||4 stars||50||4 Star|
|Ukeme Eligwe||LB||Stone Mountain||Stone Mountain, GA||Florida St.||N/A||N/A||38||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Justin Shanks||DT||(Prattville HS)||Prattville, AL||Florida State||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||90||4 Star|
|Markuss Eligwe||OLB||(Stone Mountain HS)||Stone Mountain, GA||Florida State||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||77||4 Star|
|John Theus||OT||The Bolles School||Jacksonville, FL||Georgia||8||5 stars||11||5 stars||4||5 Star|
|Jonathan Taylor||DT||Jenkins County||Millen, GA||Georgia||62||4 stars||55||4 stars||81||4 Star|
|Keith Marshall||APB||Millbrook||Raleigh, NC||Georgia||11||5 stars||31||4 stars||5||5 Star|
|Justin Thomas||ATH||Prattville||Prattville, AL||Georgia Tech||94||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Ryan Ward||OL||Providence Catholic||New Lenox, IL||Iowa||N/A||N/A||84||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|A.J. Leggett||CB||South Miami Senior||Miami, FL||list||96||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Andrus Peat||OT||Corona Del Sol||Tempe, AZ||list||17||5 stars||14||5 stars||3||5 Star|
|Arik Armstead||OT||Pleasant Grove||Elk Grove, CA||list||1||5 stars||29||4 stars||1||5 Star|
|Avery Young||OL||Palm Beach Gardens||Palm Beach Gardens, FL||list||N/A||N/A||60||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Aziz Shittu||DT||Buhach Colony||Atwater, CA||list||79||4 stars||27||5 stars||68||4 Star|
|Bralon Addison||WR||(Hightower HS)||Sugar Land, TX||list||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||89||4 Star|
|Brian Nance||OLB||Trinity||Euless, TX||list||88||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|D.J. Foster||ATH||Saguaro||Scottsdale, AZ||list||N/A||N/A||53||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Darius Hamilton||SDE||Don Bosco Prep||Ramsey, NJ||list||19||5 stars||5||5 stars||24||5 Star|
|Davonte Neal||ATH||Chaparral||Paradise Valley, AZ||list||86||4 stars||N/A||N/A||80||4 Star|
|Devin Fuller||ATH||N Valley Reg H Old Tappan||Westwood, NJ||list||21||5 stars||34||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Dorial Green-Beckham||WR||Hillcrest||Springfield, MO||list||2||5 stars||1||5 stars||2||5 Star|
|Eddie Goldman||DT||Friendship Collegiate Academy||Washington, DC||list||5||5 stars||2||5 stars||40||5 Star|
|Elijah Shumate||S||Don Bosco Prep||Ramsey, NJ||list||82||4 stars||N/A||N/A||60||4 Star|
|Javonte Magee||DT||Sam Houston||San Antonio, TX||list||35||4 stars||N/A||N/A||85||4 Star|
|Jeremy Liggins||ATH||Lafayette||Oxford, MS||list||99||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Joel Caleb||WR||Clover Hill||Midlothian, VA||list||57||4 stars||71||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Joey O'Connor||OL||Windsor||Windsor, CO||list||N/A||N/A||87||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Jordan Diamond||OT||Simeon||Chicago, IL||list||60||4 stars||N/A||N/A||42||5 Star|
|Jordan Jenkins||WDE||Harris County||Hamilton, GA||list||38||4 stars||65||4 stars||30||5 Star|
|Josh Clemons||OLB||Lowndes||Valdosta, GA||list||63||4 stars||19||5 stars||51||4 Star|
|Joshua Garnett||OT||Puyallup||Puyallup, WA||list||47||4 stars||28||4 stars||38||5 Star|
|Kwon Alexander||OLB||Oxford||Oxford, AL||list||78||4 stars||N/A||N/A||35||5 Star|
|Kyle Murphy||OT||San Clemente||San Clemente, CA||list||7||5 stars||22||5 stars||18||5 Star|
|Leonard Williams||DE||Mainland||Daytona Beach, FL||list||N/A||N/A||70||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Mike Davis||RB||Stephenson||Stone Mountain, GA||list||65||4 stars||95||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Nelson Agholor||ATH||Berkeley Prep||Tampa, FL||list||28||4 stars||12||5 stars||25||5 Star|
|P.J. Williams||S||(Vanguard HS)||Ocala, FL||list||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||99||4 Star|
|Ronald Darby||CB||Potomac||Oxon Hill, MD||list||64||4 stars||72||4 stars||13||5 Star|
|Stefon Diggs||ATH||Good Counsel||Olney, MD||list||23||5 stars||8||5 stars||9||5 Star|
|Todd Gurley||RB||Tarboro||Tarboro, NC||list||49||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Tracy Howard||CB||Miramar||Hollywood, FL||list||45||4 stars||16||5 stars||43||5 Star|
|Wayne Morgan||CB||Erasmus Hall||Brooklyn, NY||list||97||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Yuri Wright||CB||Don Bosco Prep||Ramsey, NJ||list||25||5 stars||57||4 stars||75||4 Star|
|Zach Banner||OT||Lakes||Lakewood, WA||list||N/A||N/A||40||4 stars||39||5 Star|
|Avery Johnson||WR||Blanche Ely||Pompano Beach, FL||LSU||N/A||N/A||75||4 stars||14||5 Star|
|Gunner Kiel||PRO||Columbus East||Columbus, IN||LSU||12||5 stars||18||5 stars||16||5 Star|
|Torshiro Davis||OLB||Woodlawn||Shreveport, LA||LSU||71||4 stars||N/A||N/A||96||4 Star|
|Wes Brown||RB||(Our Lady Good Counsel HS)||Olney, MD||Maryland||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||58||4 Star|
|Sheldon Dawson||ATH||Ridgeway||Memphis, TN||Memphis||90||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Deon Bush||DB||Columbus||Miami, FL||Miami (FL)||N/A||N/A||68||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Duke Johnson||APB||Norland||Miami, FL||Miami (FL)||29||4 stars||N/A||N/A||21||5 Star|
|Jelani Hamilton||DE||St. Thomas Aquinas||Fort Lauderdale, FL||Miami (FL)||N/A||N/A||90||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Randy Johnson||RB||Miami Norland||Miami, FL||Miami (FL)||N/A||N/A||39||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Raphael Kirby||LB||Stephenson||Stone Mountain, GA||Miami (FL)||N/A||N/A||89||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Tyriq McCord||DE||Jefferson||Tampa, FL||Miami (FL)||N/A||N/A||74||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Chris Wormley||SDE||Whitmer||Toledo, OH||Michigan||58||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Erik Magnuson||OT||La Costa Canyon||Encinitas, CA||Michigan||61||4 stars||49||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|James Ross||MLB||(St. Mary Preparatory School)||Orchard Lake, MI||Michigan||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||76||4 Star|
|Joe Bolden||OLB||(Colerain HS)||Cincinnati, OH||Michigan||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||95||4 Star|
|Kyle Kalis||OT||St. Edward||Lakewood, OH||Michigan||48||4 stars||21||5 stars||32||5 Star|
|Ondre Pipkins||DT||Park Hill||Kansas City, MO||Michigan||91||4 stars||59||4 stars||100||4 Star|
|Tom Strobel||DE||(Mentor HS)||Mentor, OH||Michigan||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||73||4 Star|
|Aaron Burbridge||WR||Harrison||Farmington, MI||Michigan State||70||4 stars||100||4 stars||62||4 Star|
|Channing Ward||WDE||Aberdeen||Aberdeen, MS||Mississippi||41||4 stars||88||4 stars||41||5 Star|
|Quay Evans||DT||(Morton HS)||Morton, MS||Mississippi State||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||29||5 Star|
|Ifeadi Odenigbo||DE||(Centerville HS)||Centerville, OH||Northwestern||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||70||4 Star|
|Deontay Greenberry||WR||Washington Union||Fresno, CA||Notre Dame||20||5 stars||69||4 stars||52||4 Star|
|Jarron Jones||DT||Aquinas Institute||Rochester, NY||Notre Dame||26||5 stars||N/A||N/A||56||4 Star|
|Keivarae Russell||APB||Mariner||Everett, WA||Notre Dame||80||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Ronnie Stanley||N/A||(Bishop Gorman HS)||Las Vegas, NV||Notre Dame||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||78||4 Star|
|Sheldon Day||DT||Warren Central||Indianapolis, IN||Notre Dame||75||4 stars||N/A||N/A||45||5 Star|
|Taylor Decker||OT||(Butler HS)||Vandalia, OH||Notre Dame||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||74||4 Star|
|Tee Shepard||CB||Washington Union||Fresno, CA||Notre Dame||52||4 stars||82||4 stars||48||5 Star|
|Se'von Pittman||DE||McKinley||Canton, OH||Ohio St.||N/A||N/A||81||4 stars||57||4 Star|
|Adolphus Washington||WDE||Taft||Cincinnati, OH||Ohio State||22||5 stars||36||4 stars||15||5 Star|
|Brionte Dunn||RB||(GlenOak HS)||Canton, OH||Ohio State||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||26||5 Star|
|Tommy Schutt||DT||Glenbard West||Glen Ellyn, IL||Ohio State||100||4 stars||52||4 stars||44||5 Star|
|Noah Spence||WDE||Bishop Mcdevitt||Harrisburg, PA||OhioState||14||5 stars||9||5 stars||6||5 Star|
|Alex Ross||RB||Jenks Hs||Jenks, OK||Oklahoma||30||4 stars||N/A||N/A||93||4 Star|
|Derrick Woods||WR||Inglewood||Inglewood, CA||Oklahoma||N/A||N/A||98||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Durron Neal||WR||DeSmet||Saint Louis, MO||Oklahoma||76||4 stars||47||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|John Michael McGee||OL||Texas||Texarkana, TX||Oklahoma||N/A||N/A||91||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Taylor McNamara||TE||Westview||San Diego, CA||Oklahoma||N/A||N/A||97||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Byron Marshall||RB||Valley Christian||San Jose, CA||Oregon||92||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Isaac Seumalo||OG||Corvallis||Corvallis, OR||Oregon St.||33||4 stars||96||4 stars||83||4 Star|
|Armani Reeves||CB||Catholic Memorial||West Roxbury, MA||Penn State||59||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Eugene Lewis||WR||(Wyoming Valley West HS)||Plymouth, PA||Penn State||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||63||4 Star|
|Rushel Shell||RB||Hopewell||Aliquippa, PA||Pittsburgh||54||4 stars||45||4 stars||17||5 Star|
|Chris Muller||OL||Boyertown Area Senior||Boyertown, PA||Rutgers||N/A||N/A||79||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Brock Stadnik||OT||Western Guilford||Greensboro, NC||South Carolina||74||4 stars||N/A||N/A||84||4 Star|
|Shaq Roland||ATH||Lexington||Lexington, SC||South Carolina||32||4 stars||80||4 stars||34||5 Star|
|Anthony Alford||QB||Petal||Petal, MS||Southern Mississippi||69||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Alex Carter||DB||Briar Woods||Ashburn, VA||Stanford||N/A||N/A||66||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Barry Sanders||RB||(Heritage Hall Schools)||Oklahoma City, OK||Stanford||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||53||4 Star|
|Noor Davis||OLB||Leesburg||Leesburg, FL||Stanford||56||4 stars||46||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Adrian Colbert||S||Mineral Wells||Mineral Wells, TX||Texas||89||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Camrhon Hughes||OT||(Harker Heights HS)||Killeen, TX||Texas||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||72||4 Star|
|Cayleb Jones||WR||Austin||Austin, TX||Texas||N/A||N/A||26||5 stars||23||5 Star|
|Connor Brewer||PRO||Chaparral||Paradise Valley, AZ||Texas||84||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Curtis Riser||OG||DeSoto||DeSoto, TX||Texas||83||4 stars||94||4 stars||27||5 Star|
|Johnathan Gray||RB||Aledo||Aledo, TX||Texas||15||5 stars||6||5 stars||8||5 Star|
|Kendall Sanders||ATH||Athens||Athens, TX||Texas||N/A||N/A||64||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Kennedy Estelle||OT||Dawson||Pearland, TX||Texas||68||4 stars||50||4 stars||49||5 Star|
|LaDarrell McNeil||S||Wilmer-Hutchins||Dallas, TX||Texas||98||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Malcom Brown||DT||Brenham||Brenham, TX||Texas||18||5 stars||30||4 stars||22||5 Star|
|Thomas Johnson||WR||Skyline||Dallas, TX||Texas||46||4 stars||32||4 stars||71||4 Star|
|Matt Davis||QB||(Klein Forest HS)||Houston, TX||Texas A&M||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||55||4 Star|
|Trey Williams||APB||Dekaney||Houston, TX||Texas A&M||24||5 stars||13||5 stars||10||5 Star|
|Dominique Wheeler||ATH||Crockett||Crockett, TX||Texas Tech||85||4 stars||77||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Michael Starts||OG||(La Vega HS)||Waco, TX||Texas Tech||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||69||4 Star|
|Darreus Rogers||WR||Carson Senior||Carson, CA||USC||55||4 stars||N/A||N/A||87||4 Star|
|Jabari Ruffin||OLB||Downey||Downey, CA||USC||81||4 stars||58||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Jordan Simmons||OG||Crespi Carmelite||Encino, CA||USC||95||4 stars||25||5 stars||61||4 Star|
|Kevon Seymour||CB||Muir||Pasadena, CA||USC||N/A||N/A||93||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Max Tuerk||OL||(Santa Margarita Catholic HS)||Santa Margarita, CA||USC||N/A||N/A||48||4 stars||98||4 Star|
|Travis Wilson||PRO||San Clemente||San Clemente, CA||Utah||77||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Brian Kimbrow||RB||Memphis East||Memphis, TN||Vanderbilt||N/A||N/A||99||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Eli Harold||WDE||Ocean Lakes||Virginia Beach, VA||Virginia||42||4 stars||44||4 stars||37||5 Star|
|Kwontie Moore||ILB||Norfolk Christian||Norfolk, VA||Virginia||53||4 stars||76||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Cyler Miles||QB||Mullen||Denver, CO||Washington||N/A||N/A||54||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
|Bart Houston||QB||(De La Salle HS)||Concord, CA||Wisconsin||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||67||4 Star|
|Dan Voltz||OG||Barrington||Barrington, IL||Wisconsin||34||4 stars||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|Vince Biegel||LB||Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln||Wisconsin Rapids, WI||Wisconsin||N/A||N/A||92||4 stars||N/A||N/A|
* Edit - Corrected an error in the Rivals list and resorted by School of interest. Thanks to RickH for pointing out the error (I left off two players on the Rivals list which moved all the players below them up two spots.)
Matthews (NC) Butler wide receiver Uriah LeMay is off to a fast start in his recruitment, garnering over 20 scholarship offers and being named to the ESPN 150 Watch List, and his latest offer came from Michigan last week. LeMay, who stands at 6'2", 188 pounds, also has notable offers from Arkansas, Auburn, Clemson, Florida, FSU, Georgia, LSU, Miami (YTM), Mississippi State, North Carolina, Ohio State, Penn State, Tennessee, and Virginia Tech, among several others. According to his Scout profile, the junior had 43 receptions for 842 yards and 14 receiving touchdowns to go along with 38 rushes for 397 yards and 5 rushing touchdowns in the 2011 season. I caught up with Uriah this evening, and here's a full transcript of the interview:
ACE: First of all, how did you find out about your Michigan offer, and how does it affect your recruitment going forward?
Really I'm just staying the same course that I have since the summer, just evaluating each team and giving everybody a shot. The Michigan offer, when it came in, was a big shock. I was just sitting there in English class and Coach Montgomery pulled me out. It really got me excited and there were a lot of Michigan fans in my English class at the time, so it was a big discussion later on during the day.
ACE: Is Coach Montgomery your main recruiting contact at Michigan?
ACE: What other teams have been contacting you the most in your recruitment? Do you have an early list of favorites or is it wide open right now?
URIAH: It's pretty wide open right now. [My recording cut out here, unfortunately, so I didn't catch the next sentence, but he doesn't have any favorites at the moment. He did say to 24/7 that Alabama, Arkansas, and LSU are recruiting him the hardest as of last week ($).]
ACE: Just to go back and recap your junior season, how would you say that went for you, and what kind of numbers did you put up?
URIAH: Number-wise I did pretty good. I think I had 1,000+ all-purpose yards and 19 touchdowns. As far as the season went we came just short of the goal, we lost in the third round of the playoffs, I think two games before states, which is not something you want to do, but it wasn't too bad a way to end number-wise and it was a good development year.
ACE: Your older brother [class of 2011 QB Christian LeMay] was recruited by Georgia, correct? [Uriah: Yes.] Has he given you any advice in terms of going through the whole recruiting process?
URIAH: He's been really helpful for me going through the process. Any time I have a question I can always give it to him. Most of the time what he'll tell me is, if I like a school, if I visit, or if I have a conversation with one of the coaches, make sure your conversation is open, make sure you go back and visit the school, just to get a different and second opinion and evaluation on it, because anything can look good the first time you see it. He'll tell to make sure that everybody and the coaches are open with you, to be open with them about yourself, and to make sure you make the best decision for yourself when it comes down to it at the time.
ACE: In terms of making that decision, do you have an idea for a timelime right now?
URIAH: For right now, the way things are going, it looks like I'll be committing at one of the All-American games. But if not then, definitely around signing day. [UPDATE: I talked to Uriah's father, and he says that they're looking at a summer decision date instead of waiting until the All-American games to make a choice, so this one could wrap up sooner than initially expected.]
ACE: If you had to scout yourself, what would you say are the biggest strengths in your game, and what are the areas that you're working on for your senior year and then on to the next level?
URIAH: My strengths would have to be size, physicality, aggression, and hands, as well as the ability to stretch the field and make plays at random times. Things that I'm going to want to be working on are just the fundamentals, that's one thing you can't really ever get enough of doing, back to the basics—footwork, speed drills, hands drills, all that kind of stuff.
ACE: In terms of setting up your summer schedule, are you planning on making any junior days or visits, and are you looking at Michigan as a possible visit destination?
URIAH: Yes, after the offer we're starting to put into the planning to make it down there. I'm trying to visit schools on the East Coast and then go out to the Midwest and visit some of those schools if we can. But then after that, that'll probably be it for this summer.
Before we dive into the details, here are some things that you should know so that you can understand what’s below better:
1. * : When you see an asterisk by a number, know that it means that I included at least 1 Jr who I am projecting or has said that they will leave in those numbers. When you see a * by a name, it means that the player is a Jr projected to leave or is leaving.
2. 17 starters is the number that you want to return if you want to have at least the same amount of wins as the previous year. So the greatest number of starters that you would want to leave would be 5. After 5 starters leave, you expect to lose more games than the previous year. (Note: That number is from memory, I could not find the diary with that number so if someone could link to that in the comments, that would be great.)
3. I used the depth chart from each team’s Rivals site and the NFL draft projections from http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/prospectrankings. If a player was around the top 3 at his position, I projected him to leave unless, obviously, he’s already said that he’s coming back.
Now for a chart, keep in mind that the numbers are in terms of players lost. Remember, losing more than 5 total starters is not a good thing. The chart breaks it down into lost starters on offense, defense and then total.
Continue on for a more in depth look at each team. This includes starters lost by position, list of each starter lost, some notes on back ups, notes on new coaches or leaving coaches, and other general observations on each team. After the draft, I will break down each team in terms of percentage of yards, TDs, tackles, interceptions, forced fumbles, etc. lost with each starter.
**If I didn't include a leaving starters, leaving/new coachs, or if someone I've included has said they're coming back to school, please let me know so that I can fix it.**
5 Starters lost: 1 RB*, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 C
*Trent Richardson, RB
Darius Hanks, WR
Marquis Maze, WR
Brad Smelley, TE
William Vlachos, C
Quick Notes: Replacement TEs will be a true sophomore. Richardson is a top 5 pick and was a Heisman candidate, he’ll be tough to replace.
8 Starters lost: 1 NT, 3 LB*, 2 CB, 2 S*
Josh Chapman, NT
Jerrell Harris, LB
Courtney Upshaw, LB
*Dont’a Hightower, LB
*Dre Kirkpatrick, CB
DeQuan Menzie, CB
Mike Barron, S
*Robert Lester, S
Quick Notes: The talent Alabama will be losing is ridiculous. Everyone they’re losing will be playing in the NFL. At least half of them are ranked in the top 3 at their positions. Yeah, Alabama will replace that talent, but there is no way that the talent coming in is greater than the talent going out. 2 possible LB replacements will be JRs. The rest of the possible replacement LBs will be true sophomores.
Offensive Coordinator is leaving.
13 starters lost.
8 Starters lost: 1 QB, 1 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 C, 1 RG, 1 RT
Tim Jefferson, QB
Asher Clark, RB
Jonathan Warzeka, WR
Zack Kauth, WR
Joshua Freeman, TE
Jeffrey Benson, C
A.J. Wallerstein, RG
Kevin Whitt, RT
Quick Notes: Back Up QB is graduating too.
9 Starters lost: 2 DE, 1 NT, 3 LB, 2 CB, 1 S
Zach Payne, DE
Harry Kehs, DE
Ryan Gardner, NT
Jordan Waiwaiole, LB
Brady Amack, LB
Patrick Hennessey, LB
Anthony Wright, CB
Josh Hall, CB
Jon Davis, S
No Changes. (Note: These guys are going on to do something greater than playing football, a thank you to all of them and to everyone else serving.)
17 starters lost.
5 Starters lost: 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE
Jonathan Hernandez, RB
Tom Gilson, WR
Julian Talley, WR
Jesse Julmiste, WR
Emil Igwenagu, TE
3 Starters lost: 1 DT, 2 LB
James Gilchrist, DT
Tyler Holmes, LB
Shane Vivieros, LB
New head coach (Former ND OC). Also first year in the FBS.
8 starters lost.
4 starters lost: 1 WR, 1 OT, 1 OG, 1 C,
Michael Floyd, WR
Taylor Dever, OT
Trevor Robinson, OG
Mike Golic Jr., C
Quick Notes: You all know about the talent of Michael Floyd, and no, I’m not talking about drunk driving. Losing him is a huge, huge, huge loss for ND, especially with the QB questions that they have. It looks like the replacement OT and OG could be true sophomores.
6 starters lost: 1 DE, 1 LB, 2 CB, 2 S
Ethan Johnson, DE
Darius Fleming, LB
Gary Gray, CB
Robert Blanton, CB
Harrison Smith, S
Jamoris Slaughter, S
Quick Notes: Manti Te’o is returning. That’s huge for ND.
New Offensive Coordinator, RB coach, OL coach, and QB coach. Also Brian Kelly is still there.
3 Starters lost: 1 WR, 1 OT, 1 OG
Justin Siller, WR
Dennis Kelly, OT
Nick Mondek, OG
4 Starters lost: 1 DE, 1 LB, 2 S
Gerlad Gooden, DE
Joe Holland, LB
Albert Evans, S
Logan Link, S
7 starter lost.
4 Starters lost: 1 RB, 1 WR, 1 OT, 1 OG
Jason Ford, RB
A.J. Jenkins, WR
Jeff Allen, OT
Jack Cornell, OG
Quick Notes: A.J. Jenkins is a pretty big loss for Illinois.
4 Starters lost: 1 DE*, 2 LB, 1 CB
*Whitney Mercilus, DE
Trulon Henry, LB
Ian Thomas, LB
Tavon Wilson, CB
Quick Notes: Mercilus is the #3 DE, if he leaves, which is likely, it’ll be a huge loss for Illinois.
You know the deal with Zook, he’s gone so there’ll be a new HC and a new coaching staff.
8 starters lost.
6 starters lost: 1 QB, 2 WR, 1 OG, 1 FB, 1 RB*
Kirk Cousins, QB
B.J. Cunningham, WR
Keshawn Martin, WR
Joel Foreman, OG
Todd Anderson, FB
*Edwin Baker, RB
Quick Notes: Replacement QB will be a Jr or Sr. B.J. Cunningham is a beast, losing him really hurts. Replacements will be Arnett, providing the NCAA grants a waiver, or will be a Jr or a few sophomores. Losing Baker is another hit to MSU’s offense
2 starters lost: 1 DT*, 1 S
*Jerel Worthy, DT
Trenton Robinson, S
Quick Notes: Worthy’s back-up is graduating too. Robinson’s replacement will be a Jr or sophomore. The defense looks to be much the same as it was last year.
As of the time of this writing, rumors of Narduzzi to Texas A&M continue to run rampant. Losing him is huge.
8 starters lost.
2 starters lost: 1 OT, 1 C
J. Hardrick, OT
Mike Caputo, C
Quick Notes: Offense looks to be as potent as you can be with a QB who throws like a girl.
4 starters lost: 1 DT, 1 LB, 1 CB, 1 S
Jared Crick, DT
Lavonte David, LB
Alfonzo Dennard, CB
Austin Cassidy, S
Quick Notes: Nebraska loses their top 3 players on D. Tough to replace losses like that.
New DL coach.
6 starters lost.
7 starters lost: 1 RB, 1 WR, 1 FB, 1 TE, 2 OG, 1 C
Duane Bennett, RB
Da’Jon McKnight, WR
Eric Lair, FB
Collin McGarry, TE
Chris Bunders, OG
Ryan Orton, OG
Ryan Wynn, C
Quick Notes: Ouch.
6 starters lost: 2 DT, 1 LB, 1 CB, 2 S
Anthony Jacobs, DT
Brandon Kirksey, DT
Gary Tinsley, LB
Troy Stoudermire, CB
Shady Salamon, S
Kim Royston, S
Quick Notes: Ouch again. Minnesota looks to stay Minnesota.
13 starters lost.
6 starters lost: 1 QB, 2 RB, 1 WR, 1 OT, 1 OG
Dan Persa, QB
Jacob Schmidt, RB
Drake Dunsmore, RB
Jeremy Ebert, WR
Al Netter, OT
Ben Burkett, OG
Quick Notes: Losing Persa is pretty big but Colter filled in pretty well for him this year.
3 starters lost: 1 DT, 1 CB, 1 S
Jack DiNardo, DT
Jeravin Matthews, CB
Brian Peters, S
9 starters lost.
4 starters lost: 1 WR, 2 OT*, 1 OG,
Marvin McNutt, WR
*Riley Reiff, OT
Markus Zusevics, OT
Adam Gettis, OG
Quick Notes: Losing McNutt is pretty big for Iowa.
6 starters lost: 1 DE, 2 DT, 1 LB, 1 CB, 1 S
Broderick Binns, DE
Mike Daniels, DT
Thomas Nardo, DT
Tyler Nielsen, LB
Shaun Prater, CB
Jordan Bernstine, S
Quick notes: Defense looks to worsen with the loss of 6 starters and the DC.
New DL coach. New DC.
10 starters lost.
5 starters lost: 1 RB, 1 WR, 2 OT, 1 C
Dan Herron, RB
DeVier Posey, WR
Mike Adams, OT
J.B. Shugarts, OT
Michael Brewster, C
Quick Notes: New offense, new schemes, new plays, etc. Remember the offense without Posey and Herron? Couldn’t score if they were playing a middle school football team.. Remember the offense without Posey? Not much better. Now they’ll have a new offense without 3 new starters on the OL and without their 2 biggest playmakers on offense.
0 starters lost.
Quick Notes: The defense that we owned this year looks to be the same next year.
New HC, mostly new coaching staff.
5 starters lost.