so much for that
Posts by formerlyanonymous
Baseball: Game, Tournament, Season Come to a End
Simply Beautiful
In a little over two seasons of Michigan baseball coverage, I've seen highs and I've seen lows. In 2008, Michigan had an outstanding class of upperclassmen, perhaps their best since the 1980s. When they left, some to graduation, others who left early to the draft, Michigan was left with a huge void. In one year, Michigan went from a first place team in the Big Ten to one of the worst teams in the conference.
The 2010 season was supposed to be the first step to rebuilding. Michigan had two powerful senior captains. They had Ryan LaMarre, a guy now looking at being drafted in the first two rounds of the MLB draft. The pitching depth was there. They may have lacked the big star on the mound, but they were going to be good.
On Saturday, Michigan faced Iowa in a chance to make the Big Ten Tournament Championship. The game went much like the rest of the season. Michigan opened with a bang. The offense exploded. After it went quiet, the pitching held strong. But when the pitching left, so did much of Michigan's hopes for the NCAA.
Recap, and a look back at the big picture… or excel graph. However you want to look at it…, and a look forward after the jump.
The Wolverines had a 7-1 lead going into the bottom of the 6th. Sinnery was still in, having given up just one run on just 7 hits, but having given up 5 walks. Most watching probably thought Michigan was in the drivers seat.
Much to the chagrin of Michigan fans, the pitching ran out. To make things worse, the defense faltered. Even Dufek, a guy who hadn't had an error all Big Ten season was guilty. Michigan was desperate to advance, stretching Sinnery to his limit. Unfortunately, by letting him go, all the momentum was gone by the time that hit.
Iowa would score 10 runs over the last 3 times at bat. Sinnery, Gerbe, and Wood were helpless to stop them. Neither Gerbe or Wood was particularly sharp. Both threw 29 total pitches, with Gerbe connecting for 19, only 16 for Wood. While they only allowed one walk, they hung plenty of big ones for the Hawkeyes to hit.
Despite not winning the tournament, Michigan was well represented on the All-Big Ten Tournament team:
- Bobby Brosnahan, P
- Mike Dufek, 1B
- Anthony Toth, 2B
- John Lorenz, 3B
- Ryan LaMarre, OF
That's 3/4 of the infield and one of the 4 starting pitchers on the team. Domination. Except kind of not really.
With the loss, Michigan was eliminated from the Big Ten Tournament. The season was all but over. Monday, it came to a finite end. With an RPI around 70 and no automatic bid, Michigan had no real chance to be picked as an at-large to the NCAA tourney. On Monday's selection show, there was no Michigan. It was over.
Good Byes
With the season at a close, we give thanks to those who will be leaving us. The only definites are the seniors. Chris Berset, Mike Dufek, Mike Kittle, Nick Urban, Alan Oaks, Eric Katzman, Vinnie Sarafa, and Jeff DeCarlo will all be missed. And as for "Evil" Katzman, Eric's evil twin, you had a good ride; may you stop tormenting Eric in his future endeavors.
With the draft upcoming, Michigan will most likely have a few more good byes. Ryan LaMarre has a lot of buzz surrounding him – to the tune of a 1st or 2nd round pick, a huge jump from the 6-10th rounds to start the season. Tyler Burgoon is also going to be a likely early departure. The small righty has started to generate some draft buzz himself as a solid relief prospect with a plus fastball and slider.
To all those that leave, good luck and god speed.
The Season in a Nutshell
Contrary to some, this season was everything it was expected to be. Coming in, Michigan wasn't supposed to win the Big Ten. They were supposed to contend, but they lacked the experience and the proven pitching staff to win it all. If anything, they were supposed to return to the level expected of Michigan. Michigan is expected to compete for the Big Ten crown. They're expected to be at least on the bubble for an NCAA berth. In the end that's right where they ended up.
![]()
The Clear Breaking Point
Still, some still have to be disappointed with the injury to Ryan LaMarre. In just the third game of the season, Ryan made a diving attempt at a ball on Texas Tech's field turf, one he wouldn't just spring up from. The thumb was broken, and so was Michigan's offense without its star.
The above graph shows just how defunct things got. The initial explosion was followed by a crater. Michigan's team batting average was at .252 to end the Big Ten/Big East Challenge. The on base percentage bottomed out at .343. The slugging reached rock bottom against Louisville, reaching a .361. This was 2 games after it was up in the .700s.
This graph shows the team ERA with the same scaled RPI. Downward trends are good times. Games like Indiana 3 (22 ER – right after the 5.19), those are bad. Things that stay about the same are somewhat indifferent. From this, Michigan looks to have done well against teams they should. I'd argue that some of the Big Ten was a bit further down the RPI ladder than normal this year just because the teams that finished the year hot had epically bad starts to their season.
What I do find disappointing is how well the pitching was doing during the offensive drought. I'm not disappointed with the pitching, but to have had that all squandered early. Had Michigan had that same pitching down the stretch, we'd be talking Big Ten Champs. Hell, if we could have just had the hitting we had against Indiana (also without LaMarre) throughout his absence, we may even be talking a #2 seed in the NCAAs. Instead, we've got nothing but another long off season.
Looking to Next Year
Michigan will lose a lot this off season, but it keeps quite a bit as well. Michigan returns Anthony Toth, John Lorenz, and Derek Dennis on the infield. That's got me excited. Lorenz and Dennis showcased their potential this weekend, both making the Big Ten Tournament teams. They also executed back-to-back homers in the elimination game against Iowa. Consider that a sign of how good Michigan will be next year.
On top of that, Patrick Biondi and Coley Crank also return to the lineup. Biondi will continue his centerfield duties, and I think we can expect Crank to move behind the dish as the full time catcher. Here's hoping his summer is spent improving defensively. Let's also hope this was just a building year for his offensive prowess. The guy is going to be a monster.
So that leaves Michigan with three regular positions to fill, and a new designated hitter. The easiest position to peg is first base. That race will be between to-be-junior Garrett Stephens and to-be-sophomore Cam Luther. Both are big power guys, but they just haven't found a place to play yet. Stephens was destroying his summer league last year, but he's been stuck behind Crank and Dufek at DH and first respectively. His numbers haven't been great either, but I don't know what else to expect from a guy who gets most of his ABs as a pinch hitter.
Cam Luther was another big piece of last year's prize recruiting class. He made four appearances this year, but spent a good portion of them striking out. In 7 plate appearances, he struck out 6 times. He walked in the final appearance of the season, dating way back to the Coastal Carolina series. With a long summer season ahead of him, he'll start to work out the kinks.
That leaves two outfield positions wide open for next year. Unfortunately, it's unclear who will take over out there. Kevin Krantz made a few starts out there during LaMarre's injury, and he started to come around nicely before fracturing his thumb and ending his season. He's a converted shortstop who doesn't seem to be taking over for Dennis any time soon. Another option is Tyler Mills. Mills was recruited as a pitcher, but he's made a few appearances in left this season. He fits the "quick" model that Rich Maloney has gravitated to over the last few years.
The other options are both incoming freshman. One is former Yankee Paul O'Neill's nephew Michael O'Neill. O'Neill has been a centerfielder for his high school career and has blazing speed. The other option from the incoming freshmen is Adam Robinson. Robinson is another quick guy that is described by his "grit" and "determination."
What worries me most is on the mound. Michigan will lose Oaks, Katzman, and most likely Burgoon. Luckily, the bullpen does return several key guys. If you asked me right now, the rotation to start the year will look something like Matt Miller, Bobby Brosnahan, and Brandon Sinnery. I'm not sure who will be the ace, but probably one of the formers. I wouldn't be surprised to see either Kolby Wood or Matt Gerbe become the closer. Ballantine and Clark will probably continue to grow in the bullpen. After that, Michigan still needs 2-3 guys to step up. There's a couple of freshmen coming in, but there's no telling just how well they'll perform.
In terms of next year's schedule, not much is known yet, but we can take a couple stabs at guessing. Obviously the season will open with the Big Ten/Big East Challenge, and with Michigan being one of the favorites to compete again next year, I have to guess we'll see a mix of the best Big East teams. Maloney has already hinted that Stanford is the big name weekend. With a younger team, I can't expect the extreme scheduling to continue, but you never know.
Once returning back to Ann Arbor, the conference schedule should stay the same with Michigan State being a mid week series only. Texas Tech will also be coming to Ann Arbor for a mid-week series, I assume in the place of Notre Dame. This could shape up to be pretty tough on the young guys already.
The Immediate Future
Two things are coming up in the next month. Michigan's outgoing players will be hitting up the Major League draft. We'll have coverage here as things come up. The other is summer league baseball. That coverage will be MUCH less intense. Once I get where everyone is going, I'll put up a small blurb about that. From there it's a monthly, maybe bi-monthly, update on how their summers are playing out.
Right now, I know Toth and Dennis are playing for the Wareham Gateman of the Cape Cod League, the former team of Ryan LaMarre. Hopefully they'll have a bit better season than LaMarre did.
Thanks for this season guys. May you all return healthy for the Big Ten title next year.
- formerlyanonymous's blog
- Login or register to post comments
Baseball BTT: It's Iowa Again
|
Michigan |
vs |
Iowa |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Saturday 3:35pm ET |
||||||
| TBA | vs | TBA | ||||
| Stats | Audio | TV:BTN | ||||
|
Notes: Michigan is 102-45 all time. Iowa is 2-1 in the tourney, 0-1 vs UM. |
||||||
|
Season Series |
||||||
|
2-5 |
3-5 |
|||||
Michigan lost to Minnesota 4-3 in 11 innings in one of the most thrilling Big Ten Baseball games in this writer's recent memory. The loss was pretty tough to take, but at the same time, Michigan doesn't seem to be stunned. The Wolverines will face Iowa in the loser's bracket for a chance to face Minnesota again in the Championship rounds.
Follow the jump for extremely abbreviated preview.
Minnesota Recap
| Box Score | R | H | E | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | ||||
| Minnesota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | ||||
This game was absolutely ridiculous. The tension and drama was thick all the way through. It have everything, great pitching, timely hitting, the occasional wild pitch for a run. The game track was all over the place. In the end, Tyler Burgoon couldn't get himself out of an inning and Matt Miller lacked his top control. Michigan fell in extras. It was your prototypical Michigan versus Minnesota game from this year – closely contested and kept the fan on the edge of their seat.
Bobby Brosnahan pitched a great game for the maize and blue. His 6.2 innings of 5-hit baseball should have been enough to win. He gave up just one run while walking 3 and striking out 5. Unfortunately, for those who follow my twitter feed, the eventual exit was beginning to become plain to see. Despite his stellar 1-2-3 6th inning, his control hinted that the end was near. Sometimes, I wish I just wasn't right about things like this.
Brosnahan did in fact struggle in the 7th, giving up a run on 2 singles and a walk. With the score at 3-1, Maloney went straight to Burgoon. While he was able to get Michigan out of the 7th, his 8th would be Michigan's demise. Tyler allowed 2 singles to start the inning, and with 2 strikes, he hit O'Shea for a crucial turn in momentum. After two outs, Burgoon gave up another single to score a run. With that the game was tied. Minnesota had almost all of the momentum, and things looked in doubt.
Matt Miller came in at this point and wasn't the dominator Michigan fans had seen the last two weekends. Those at the bar with me could even see that it took two batters every inning before Miller could find his control. That spelled bad news in the 9th, 10th, and the game winning 11th.
After Michigan failed to break through against Minnesota's closer Matyas for the 3rd inning in a row, Miller gave up a single and a walk before giving up the walk off single to Kyle Knudson.
This was a pretty bad loss, but if anything, it was a huge waste of a great start by Bobby Brosnahan. There were a combined 29 runners stranded in the game, 15 Gophers and 14 Wolverines. It's tough to lose that way.
Overall, two things stand out to me. Biondi didn't reach base. In the preview, I said he needed to reach twice for Michigan to be in good shape. It didn't happen. The other thing is Tyler Burgoon's continued struggles. He was singled to death again. It's tough to watch that as none of the hits were that hard, they just found holes. It seems to me that fatigue has set in on his arm. His slider isn't as crisp as it was a few weeks ago. It was tough to see him not be able to finish.
This was a tough loss, but not overwhelming. The boys will be back tomorrow.
Notable Stars
- Ryan LaMarre – 3/6, RBI, 2B (only extra base hit by either team)
- John Lorenz – 3/4, HBP. He was also the buzz of the bar in showing off his cannon at third.
- Bobby Brosnahan – 6.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 5 K
Notable Goats
- Tyler Burgoon – 1 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K
- Matt Miller – 2.1 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 6 BB(!), 0 K, 20 strikes in 50 pitches, Loss.
- Coley Crank – 1/6, R, 4 LOB
- Patrick Biondi – 0/5, 2 LOB, SACB. He did make a spectacular catch as well.
Iowa Preview
We've looked at Iowa a few times now, so I'm going to give you past reading for the vitals:
- Regular Season Iowa Preview
- Regular Season Iowa Recap
- Big Ten Tournament Iowa Preview
- Big Ten Tournament Iowa Recap
What should you take from all that? The Iowa series was somewhat fluke-ish. I really think Michigan was the better team, but the double header momentum carried over a bit too strongly. Iowa also beat Purdue 8-3 in Friday's losers' bracket. Nothing to take out of it as they knocked around Purdue's 4th starter, which is no one you would see on a normal weekend. They posted up 7 runs in the first against a Purdue reliever of dubious value as a starter. The Hawkeyes won. They are now out of pitching.
I have no idea who Iowa throws tomorrow. I would absolutely not flinch if they threw any one of their starters who have already thrown. I wouldn't flinch – as a matter of fact, I'd cackle with glee – if they threw some random guy that I've looked over because he has only thrown 3-5 times this season. It's that time of the tournament for Iowa to throw the kitchen sink. They could throw a guy on 2-3 days rest, they could throw a nobody. Michigan should do well on offense. Hopefully it's not so much that they lose focus and sleep walk to start the late game.
Prediction
Michigan. Win. Big. Again.
If Michigan can pull it out, they'll face Minnesota in the championship round. Michigan will have to win 2 games in a row, the night cap of a double header on Saturday and again on Sunday. That's a tall task, but at least Michigan has 2 starters left in Sinnery and Katzman. Iowa has no one and Minnesota has a mid week guy.
I have no idea what to expect of Sinnery or Katzman, but I'm banking on Michigan's offense going big or going home.
Go Blue. Beat Everybody.
- formerlyanonymous's blog
- Login or register to post comments
Baseball BTT: Iowa Recap & Minnesota Preview
|
Michigan |
vs |
Minnesota |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Friday 7:00pm ET |
||||||
| Bobby Brosnahan | vs | TJ Oakes | ||||
| Stats | Audio | TV:BTN | ||||
|
Notes: Michigan is 85-86 all time. Minnesota is 1-0 in the tourney. |
||||||
|
Season Series |
||||||
|
7-14 |
4-5 |
2-1 |
||||
Michigan defeated Iowa in an absolutely dominating performance, winning 18-4. With the win, Michigan moves on in the winner's bracket to face the #1 seed Minnesota Golden Gophers. For Iowa recap and a look at Minnesota, follow the jump.
Iowa Recap
| Box Score | R | H | E | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | |||
| Michigan | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | x | 18 | 21 | 1 | |||
W – Oaks (6-5)
It was a hot day in Columbus, but not as hot as our offense:
Box Score Screen Grab
To be fair, that's the same SID intern that wrote about orange groves and how well manicured the opponent's field was in the notes on the Buckeye's loss to Webber International.
If there's one thing I'll give Alan Oaks, it's that he just gets better throughout a game. In the first inning, those watching the game would see Oaks hit a batter on the first pitch and then slip his foot over the rubber, bouncing a ball just short of the dirt. In the second inning, he launched a pitch off the screen behind the plate… about 20 feet behind the batter. The widescreen camera couldn't even pick it up.
But then, after a quick second to recollect his thoughts, Alan found his curve ball, the offense exploded for not one, but two big innings, and life was good. Oaks continued his "effectively wild" streak, walking 3 and hitting two, but his inconsistency also kept the Hawkeyes off balance. Several times, the Iowa bats were well ahead of the pitch, leading to easy fly balls and the occasional chopper to the infield.
Meanwhile, the offense was on its game. The 21 hits registered was a season high, but more importantly, the as many as 12 run lead was enough to allow Rich Maloney to throw freshman Kyle Clark and insert a couple of back ups late in the game so they could get their inaugural Big Ten Tournament jitters out of the way in garbage time.
So many great days at the plate as Michigan singled through every hole in the infield at will, so let's just take a quick run through in the stars.
Notable Stars
- Ryan LaMarre (pictured above and to the right) – 4/6, 4 RBI, 2 R. In the zone.
- Coley Crank – 3/5, 3 RBI, 2 R, K, 2B
- Mike Dufek – 3/4, 2 RBI, 2 R, 2B, Sac Fly
- Nick Urban – 3/4, 3 RBI, 2 R, 2B, HR, HBP
- Derek Dennis – 3/3, 2 RBI, R, 2 HBP
- Alan Oaks – 7 ip to save the bullpen. Also played the jester as he Bull Durham'd one to the backstop. Also made a key bases loaded double play to stab a liner right at him and flip to first. Huge momentum point in the game.
Notable Goats
- Chris Berset – Only starter not to get a hit. He did have 2 sac flies and scored a run.
- Anthony Toth – error for an unearned run (Did go 2/5 with 3 R, RBI)
Minnesota – Reviewing the Recap
The series against Minnesota was Michigan's second series loss of the year, and man was there some heart breaking. After a wholesale pitching collapse in a game one that saw Eric Katzman make his weekend debut, Michigan looked to have game two in the bag. After pulling off the suicide squeeze to take a 4-2 lead into the bottom of the ninth with Tyler Burgoon on the mound, the Gophers singled Michigan to death, earning a walk off on a 3-2, 2-out Schultz liner up the middle.
The final game was a pitchers' duel featuring Michigan's projected starter in the Big Ten Tournament. After Brandon Sinnery posted up a shaky 5.1 inning start, today's projected starter Bobby Brosnahan came in for the final 3.2 innings of shut out relief. Michigan would win 2-1 with the game winner coming in a Ryan LaMarre home run. Brosnahan would get the win.
Michigan regulars against Iowa:
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Biondi |
13 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
3 steals |
|
Toth |
9 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
SACB |
|
LaMarre |
12 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
HR, GDP |
|
Berset |
12 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
|
|
Crank |
9 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
7(!) Ks |
|
Dufek |
9 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2B, SACF |
|
Urban |
9 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
2 2B, HR |
|
Lorenz |
11 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2B, SACB |
|
Dennis |
11 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
SACB |
Yeah, I had to point out those 7 Ks for Crank twice. Urban and Lorenz started their recent hot streaks in Minnesota, so hopefully they let it continue to ride.
Minnesota in the Tourney
Minnesota being the one seed also had a bye in the first round. In the second round, they faced Indiana. The Gophers survived a close one 10-8. Minnesota scored 8 in the first 2 innings, then saw the lead slowly dwindle. Indiana came within a single of tying it, but closer Scott Matyas shut the door for his 7th save.
Seth Rosin had the start and went 7.2 innings. He was roughed up for 7 run and should be out of commission until Sunday if necessary. Matyas should be alright to throw against Michigan, but I wouldn't expect him to go more than an inning.
Key Matchups
Two things I'll be keeping my eye on are Brosnahan's excitement and Biondi getting on base. Brosnahan will be making his BTT debut, and this will be a bit more intense than almost any other start he's made this season. Hopefully going in the second game, he won't have any early jitters, and more importantly, he needs to keep his composure if he gives up a hit or two – or worse, Michigan makes a few bonehead errors on the rough Bill Davis turf.
To summarize my theory on Biondi reaching base:
if Biondi == on_base
then Michigan_score++
end if
Biondi was just breaking out of his 0/28 slump when he faced Minnesota last time. This time around, he's coming in much hotter. If Biondi gets on base at least twice in this game, I'm liking Michigan's odds.
Predictions
This is a tough game to gauge. Both pitchers are freshmen making their Big Ten Tournament debuts in a night game in Columbus. TJ Oakes of Minnesota did throw in Columbus last Friday, so he's at least familiar with the field and the atmosphere (or lack thereof).
I think Minnesota has the edge in the starting pitching department, but Michigan definitely has the edge in the bull pen. On offense, Michigan is definitely the hot team. So my head is telling me Michigan pulls out a moderately low scoring affair.
Despite this, my gut leans toward starting pitching in a tournament like this. Pitching and defense wins championships, and I think Minnesota has an advantage there. I'm going to predict Minnesota wins 6-4.
Michigan will need the D to win (Photo by MGoBlue.com)
I'm not sold on that prediction at all, but I'll stick with the initial gut feeling. So for those who can make it out to Columbus, get there and root on the team. For those who can't, the game will be on the Big Ten Network at 7pm. Watch it.
Go Blue. Beat the Gophers.
- formerlyanonymous's blog
- Login or register to post comments
Baseball BTT: Tournament and Iowa Preview
|
Michigan |
vs |
Iowa |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Thursday 3:35pm ET |
||||||
| TBA | vs | TBA | ||||
| Stats | Audio | TV:BTN | ||||
|
Notes: Michigan is 101-45 all time. Iowa is 1-0 in the tourney (not reflected above) |
||||||
|
Season Series |
||||||
|
2-5 |
3-5 |
7-5 |
||||
Michigan will open up their portion of the Big Ten Baseball Tournament Thursday against Iowa. The winner advances to the semi-finals of the championship round, the loser falls into a pit of despair also known as the loser's bracket.
Iowa owns a 2-1 record against the Wolverines, but they've already thrown their ace Jarred Hippen in order to get to this game. Michigan comes in fully rested and with all its pitchers at Rich Maloney's disposal.
A brief review of the regular season meeting and some thoughts on the tournament after the jump.
Reviewing the Recap
Michigan's series against Iowa was extremely disappointing. After the opener was delayed by rain, the double header on Saturday started bad and went to worse in a hurry. From the recap's series thoughts:
Obviously this was a huge let down to drop the series. Unfortunately, the worst case scenario for Friday happened. I kind of had a feeling it might, but I assumed it was just my normal pessimism. It wasn't. I'm not sure if there's specific blame any one can place. I'd call it a team effort. The leadership both of players on the field and coaches couldn't pick it back up in game two, and that's just something that has to be treated differently next time we face a double header.
Alan Oaks was a huge culprit of the game one close loss to Iowa. In 5 innings, he gave up 5 hits and 5 runs while walking three and striking out three. This came just one week after a premature announcement on my part that Alan might be back to his early season form. With Oaks likely to get the start against the Hawkeyes, how he starts is definitely the key to the game. If he walks a couple of batters in the first 2 innings, prepare yourselves for rough seas ahead. If the outside corner is a bit loose with the home plate umpire, expect good things.
In the other two games, Michigan let Iowa run away with the momentum in the second game of the double header. Bobby Brosnahan had a start much like Oaks and Michigan was unable to get the offense going. Nick Brown of the Hawkeyes put forward a good start, spreading 5 hits and 2 runs over 6.2 innings, walking two and striking out 5. He will probably be who Michigan sees on Thursday. His last start was against Purdue, lasting 6.2 innings, giving up 7 hits but only 1 run on 2 walks and 4 strikeouts. Brown does lean toward being a ground ball pitcher, but it's around a 2:1 ration ground balls to fly outs.
Game three was a bit more offense geared, with Brandon Sinnery putting forward a solid 4 innings in the start, and Burgoon spreading 3 runs over 5 innings with 5 Ks. Phil Schreiber threw for Iowa, giving up 6 runs (2 earned) over 5 innings with 8 hits, 2 walks, and four strikeouts.
Michigan regulars against Iowa:
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | K | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Biondi |
11 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
SACB |
|
Toth |
14 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2B, CS |
|
LaMarre |
11 |
3 |
8 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2B, 3B, HR, SB, SACF |
|
Berset |
10 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 2B, 2 GDP |
|
Crank |
11 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
3B, HR, CS |
|
Dufek |
13 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
HR, |
|
Urban |
10 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
|
|
Lorenz |
9 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 2B, CS |
|
Dennis |
|
|
|
|
|
|
DNP |
Had Michigan, you know, won this series, LaMarre might have been Big Ten player of the Week again. This was also the start to Biondi's average dropping from .386 to .327. Dennis missed the entire series with an undisclosed shoulder injury.
Iowa in the Tourney
Iowa played one game so far, beating Purdue 7-4. That marks Iowa's 4th win in a row against the Boilermakers in exactly one week's time. In their opener, Iowa started their ace Jarred Hippen, who went 7.1 innings, giving up 10 hits and 4 runs while striking out 5 and walking none. This allowed Iowa to conserve their bullpen, throwing Zach Robinson just one inning and using closer Kevin Lee only 2/3 of an inning to get the save.
The Hawkeye bats have been extremely hot over the last week and a half, and that hot streak carried over into the tournament. Leadoff man and centerfielder Kurtis Muller was held hitless but he still scored two runs. Zach McCool and Mike McQuillan both went 1/4, with McCool collecting 2 RBI and McQuillan one. Ryan Durant went 2/4 to continue his recent streak as well.
It's also worth noting that in the defeat of Purdue, the Boilermaker coach Doug Schreiber made one of the strangest decisions I've seen any coach make in quite some time. Schreiber decided to save his ace and Big Ten strikeout leader Matt Bischoff for the second round. That blew up in his face as his second starter Matt Morgan started to fall apart in the 5th inning.
Morgan had a great start against Minnesota, leaving in the 8th win the win intact. His 2 runs on 6 hits, one walk, and 7 Ks should have been enough to win had it not been for the Purdue bullpen struggles. So saving Morgan, not Bischoff, for the second round would have made plenty of sense.
So instead of throwing his best to avoid the loser's bracket, the Boilermakers will have to win 6 games in the next 4 days to make the NCAA tournament.
Because of this ridiculous decision, I consider Iowa lucky to be playing us.
Key Matchups
Assuming Alan Oaks to be the starter, the key match up becomes Oaks against Iowa's 1-4 hitters. If Alan can get through the lineup the first two times unscathed, I think Michigan should be sitting pretty. If Oaks throws 6+ innings, I think Michigan wins this game.
Iowa's bullpen may not have been used much yesterday, but they did use their only true relief threats yesterday. It'll be interesting to see if they perform on a high level on back to back days. Michigan's hitters need to take advantage of Iowa's young starter, whoever that may be, and try to get to the bullpen early. Cue captain obvious comment.
A last key, the playing surface at Bill Davis. There have been some tricky hops in the first two games, and that won't be any better tomorrow. Here's hoping Derek Dennis plays well.
Prediction
I think Michigan wins this game with a score around the 8-5 range. I'm leaning to a bit bigger lead, but that hasn't really been Michigan's game this season.
For those of you who catch the game on the Big Ten Network, be sure to tune into the late game as well. Indiana will play Minnesota, and Michigan is almost assuredly going to play one of those two somewhere along the line. Michigan absolutely lucked out in getting a bye, and they got even luckier that the second round of the tournament has ended up in this match up.
I would have hated to see Michigan face Bischoff and Purdue, and getting Iowa instead of Northwestern seems like a blessing. Not to mention Minnesota has to face the only team in the tournament that I think is capable of gorilla balling Minnesota into the losers' bracket, leaving a potential Michigan versus Indiana match up in the semi-finals and the Hoosiers out of pitching.
Can the luck continue? Can Michigan make their own luck? Only time will tell.
Game is at 3:35p ET on the Big Ten Network. I'll be hopefully commenting live from Buffalo Wild Wings as it's the only place around that I can get wifi, beer, and the BTN for quite a long drive.
Go Blue. Beat Iowa.
- formerlyanonymous's blog
- Login or register to post comments
Baseball: Penn State Recap
Michigan took two of three games at Penn State this weekend to claim a #2 seed in the Big Ten Tournament. While all three games had many great positives, the ending to game two is how this series will be remembered. Michigan held a 4 run lead going into the bottom of the 9th, and the bull pen collapsed.
Weekend recap, series thoughts, and a look at the Big Ten bracket after the jump
Game One
| Box Score | R | H | E | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | |||
| Penn State | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | |||
W – Oaks (5-5)… Save – Burgoon (10)
This might have been one of Michigan’s best played games of the year. Alan Oaks made a beauty of a start, going 7 innings and giving up just 3 runs. I’ll take that every time out. Better news, though, was that Oaks walked only two batters, his lowest total in a few weeks. It was a big boost for Michigan, saving most of the bullpen for later in the series. Oaks had only two major mistakes. Both were solo homers, including one to Big Ten home run champ Ben Heath. As solo home runs, they were minimal damage. The other run was scored to open the game, giving up a double and single, which happens.
On offense, Michigan had things clicking, particularly in the middle of the order. Berset, Crank, Urban, and Lorenz all had 2 hits a piece. Michigan also set it’s season high with triples in a game, with LaMarre, Urban, and Lorenz each tallying one.
This game really cruised by, finishing in just over 2.5 hours. With the win, Michigan also clinched a spot in the Big Ten Tournament.
Notable Stars
- Alan Oaks – 7ip, 6 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 K, Win
- Tyler Burgoon – 2 ip, 2 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 3 K
Notable Goats
- Olive Garden Fettuccini Alfredo – Reports had several players a bit sick before the game.
Game Two
| Box Score | R | H | E | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | |||
| Penn State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 0 | |||
L – Gerbe (2-1)
There are some games played every season where I can’t end with anything other than a bunch of four letter words not worth repeating. This was one of those games.
Michigan, leading 5-1 in the bottom of the ninth, looking to seal the game that already saw Bobby Brosnahan unable to secure a win despite throwing 6.2 innings and giving up just one earned run. Michigan was just 3 outs with nearly the entire bull pen at it’s disposal, and Penn State had already made all of the mass defensive changes of a team ready to raise the white flag.
Michigan could not seal the win. Kolby Wood, after throwing a solid 1-2-3 8th inning, the couldn’t get any of the first four batters in the 9th out. He would give up 3 singles and hit a batter.
Matt Gerbe would be pulled after a RBI double and a walk. Sinnery replaced him, recording the lone out of the inning. After getting a fielder’s choice ground out from Dennis to Berset at the place to prevent a run and a foul pop up, Sinnery was removed for Katzman – a move I didn’t like at the time. With two outs and a full count – exactly the same situation to end the Minnesota walk off, Steranka grounded up the middle. With the runners moving, Biondi didn’t really have a chance on the guy at the plate.
Penn State walked off to victory 6-5. Michigan went from a sealed #2 seed in the Big Ten Tournament to perhaps losing it.
But there were some highlights offensively, enough so that despite that punch to the face, I feel obliged to include them here. Michigan did manage 14 hits on the game, led by Anthony Toth’s 3 hit game. LaMarre, Berset, Dufek, and Lorenz each had 2-hit games.
Michigan did leave quite a few runners on base with 9 total, but this wasn’t the difference in the game. That definitely falls on the bull pen outside of Sinnery.
Notable Stars
- Bobby Brosnahan – 6.2 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K (3 of those were Ben Heath)
- Brandon Sinnery – 0.2 IP, 0 H, 0 R
- Anthony Toth – 3/5, R, RBI
- Mike Dufek – 2/3, 3 RBI, 2B
Notable Goats
- Wood, Gerbe, Katzman’s 9th inning – 0 IP, 5 R, 5 H, BB, HBP, L
- Coley Crank – 1/5, K, 5 LOB
- Lorenz – Error for an unearned run
Game Three
| Box Score | R | H | E | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | |||
| Penn State | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | |||
W – Miller (3-2)
This game started with an ominous feeling to it. The feeling that Michigan was going to back itself into the tournament with no momentum ran heavy. After a quick first inning start, starter Brandon Sinnery gave up the lead. When Michigan tied it to start the 2nd, Sinnery gave up another run to give the lead right back. Things just didn’t look good as the offense started sputtering, stranding base runners and hitting into crippling double plays. The horizon looked bleak.
Then, for the second weekend in a row, Michigan was bailed out by the arm of Matt Miller. The unsung hero of last week’s epic comeback was just as strong this weekend against Penn State. With one out and two runners in scoring position, Miller would strike out Steranka for a crucial out, and after walking Heath intentionally, would get an easy ground ball to Dufek, stranding 3 Penn State runners. The tide of the game was changing.
Over the next 7 innings, Matt Miller was masterful. He allowed zero runs on just 5 hits, walking 2 and striking out 6. His fastball was pure gas. He topped out several times at 97, with many of the fastest coming in this 3rd-5th innings of work. The guy was a horse.
I’m really surprised Miller didn’t get the start in the first place. If the 5.2 strong innings against Northwestern weren’t enough, especially given that Brandon Sinnery threw the night before, I would have assumed that Miller earned the #3 starter spot. After today, the only way he’s not the third starter is if Michigan needs him in long relief in either of the first two games. The guy has earned it.
Luckily, the offense also realized the gem that Miller was putting forward. After a few innings of struggling, the team pieced together a 4-run 7th inning to take the lead for good. As it has been much of the last week, everything got going with great production from the bottom of the lineup. Lorenz got things going with a 1-out double to the centerfield wall. After a pair of hit by pitches and a foul out, the two out rally was started.
Ryan LaMarre broke through with a single up the middle. Two runs would score as the throw from the centerfielder was well wide, moving both runners up a base. Berset followed that with a 2-RBI single of his own down into the left field corner. That would be all the insurance Matt Miller would need.
Notable Stars
- Matt Miller – 7.2 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 6 K. HUGE W.
- Ryan LaMarre – 2/3, 3 RBI, R, BB, sac fly
- Anthony Toth – 1/4, 2 R, RBI, 2 K, 3B
Notable Goats
- Rich Maloney? – Starting Sinnery seemed weird to me. Having thrown the day before, it seemed like the plan might have been to go to Miller all along. If it wasn’t, I’m not sure I’m a huge fan of starting a guy the day after he is used in the pen, even if it is for 2 batters and however many warm ups he took waiting to get in the game.
- Coley Crank – 0/4, BB, 2 K, 3 LOB
Series Thoughts
Thank goodness for happy endings. After Michigan’s game two loss, there was much doom and despair on my part. All of the momentum Michigan had was sucked out in devastating fashion. The confidence I had in Gerbe and Wood? Dashed to next to nothing. That was a bit of an overreaction, and after sleeping on it, I think I’m just back to the point before the recent run. Our bull pen is still pretty good, but they have their off nights. It happens, and unfortunately it all happened at once. I still think Sinnery should have had the last batter in game two, and I still don’t think he should have started game 3. It was a risky gamble in both cases, and Maloney almost came up 0/2. Luckily, Rich had an ace in the hole with Miller coming out of the pen.
Our offense was really good almost all weekend. They shelled up over a few inning stretches, but nothing was worrisome. Crank had a pretty rough last two games, but hopefully that isn’t a long lasting thing. I fully expect him to tear it up next week.
Speaking of tear it up, John Lorenz and Nick Urban have been all stars the last two weeks. Their success has been just as vital as LaMarre, Berset, and Dufek. With Biondi taking some serious steps back from his early season form, the load has been spread much more evenly and it’s worked wonders. I might even call Michigan the second best offense in the tourney behind Indiana.
Looking Ahead
It’s tournament time! With Michigan’s win, they have received a #2 seed and the CRUCIAL bye. That means Michigan won’t be facing anyone’s ace on Thursday as the four teams without byes try to avoid the loser’s bracket. With Michigan lacking a defined ace, they’ll need that break so the offense can hopefully mount up solid numbers and whoever starts Thursday will have some breathing room to work with.
As for the bracket:
Michigan will face the highest seed to win out of Wednesday. My guess is Northwestern is that seed. It’ll be interesting to see if Indiana can outslug the Wildcats. The Hoosiers have a ton of momentum after sweeping Illinois, but the Illini pitching staff isn’t Northwestern. Jokisch for Northwestern went a complete game last week, and Leininger went 8. Both have a solid guy to turn the game over to in Snieder and Squires respectively.
The other game features a rematch from this weekend. Bischoff and Purdue lost to Hippen and Iowa in the first game of a double header. That game could go either way, and despite Iowa taking 2 of 3 from the Boilermakers this weekend, I still favor Purdue. Hippen, as big of a fan as I am of the kid, threw a complete game last week. He’ll be on short rest. I don’t think that bodes well.
There are plans in the works for a Big Ten Tournament Live Blog on Tuesday night featuring a few of the other baseball bloggers. If it happens, I’ll have something up before then. If not, which is likely as most of the bloggers’ teams were eliminated, previews will start Thursday.
- formerlyanonymous's blog
- Login or register to post comments
Baseball: Penn State Preview
|
Michigan |
@ |
Penn State |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Thursday 6:35pm ET |
||||||
|
Alan Oaks (4-5, 3.81 ERA) |
vs |
Mike Wanamaker (4-3, 6.68 ERA) |
||||
| Stats | Audio | Video($) | ||||
|
Notes: Michigan is 34-42 all time, Last year: 1-2 series loss. |
||||||
|
Michigan |
@ |
Penn State |
||||
|
Friday 5:35 ET |
||||||
| TBA | vs |
Steven Hill (2-6, 5.75 ERA) |
||||
| Stats | Audio | Video($) | ||||
| Notes: | ||||||
|
Michigan |
@ |
Penn State |
||||
|
Saturday 1:05pm ET |
||||||
| TBA | vs | TBA | ||||
| Stats | Audio | Video($) | ||||
| Notes: | ||||||
Michigan is on the road for the Big Ten finale. With just a game separating Michigan from first place Minnesota, they'll be giving it all with the Big Ten Title on the line. The Wolverines need just one win to clinch a spot in the Big Ten Tournament, but they'll need quite a bit more to secure a coveted bye, presented to the top two teams in conference.
Brief look at the Ball State game and a Penn State preview after the jump.
About that Ball State game
Michigan took a mid-week game 16-10 against a pretty good Ball State game on Tuesday. It was yet another come from behind type victory as Michigan fell behind early with a struggling Kyle Clark and some mediocre play early. After Michigan fell behind 4-1 in the 3rd, they would see the offense explode over the next three innings. The Wolverines scored 3 in the third, 7 in the 4th, and 4 in the 5th.
Several seniors saw time late in the game including Jeff DeCarlo, who had a Jeff DeCarlo type outing (his academic prowess will be missed), Vinnie Sarafa, the bull pen catcher, and Mike Kittle who was on fire. Kittle got the start with Toth moving to short and Dennis getting the day off. Kittle went 4/5 on the day with a double, a run scored, and 2 RBI. Huge day for Mike to show that he's ready off the bench if we need him down the stretch.
Six different Wolverines had multiple hits. It was pretty ridiculous. Biondi had 3 with 3 runs, Toth had 4 with 2 runs and an RBI. LaMarre went 4/6 with 3 runs, 3 RBI, and a double while playing centerfield (for the scouts in attendance). Crank hit another homer on a 2/6 day with 6 RBI, and most notably, a very solid day playing catcher instead of DH'ing. Berset went 1/4 with 3 runs and an RBI. Lorenz with 2/5. Nick Urban had what has to be his 6th different game where he goes 1/2 with 2 walks.
It was a hit fest, but it meant nothing. Now, on to Penn State.
OMG THERE'S A PROMO VIDEO
Penn State's Season
The above graph comes from Happy Valley Hardball, the blogging home to the Nittany Lions. In the graph, you can see how Penn State's RPI has faired this season, as well as compare this season to 2008 and 2009. We're interested in the 2010 green line, currently sitting around the 170 mark (out of ~300).
So what do we see? Well, early in the season, Penn State played one of the toughest schedules in the nation. Their second and third weeks of the season were spent in Texas, taking on teams like Texas A&M and Texas State, both top 50 teams. They also took on two quality teams from the Southland Conference in McNeese State and Lamar, as well as top 100 Dallas Baptist. The problem, Penn State went 2-7 with wins over McNeese and DBU only. The next two weeks saw a split with meh opponents and a series win over Hofstra, a bad team.
Then came the Big Ten season. PSU would lose series to Illinois and Northwestern before hitting their season low, being swept by Purdue. After that, the Lions bats got hot. Penn State would take 2 of 3 from the Buckeyes in Columbus, then sweep Michigan State in Happy Valley.
Things have since normalized as Penn State has lost series to Iowa at home and were swept by Minnesota in the Metrodome. They didn't play a midweek game this week, so they enter the Michigan series on a 5-game losing streak.
Penn State on the Mound
The Penn State ace should be a vaguely familiar name for those who have followed the Big Ten over the last few years. Mike Wanamaker busted onto the Big Ten scene in 2008 as a junior, proving to be one of the best pitchers in the conference and earning 2nd Team All Big Ten as a starter. After sitting out a redshirt year in 2009 due to an arm injury, he's returned this year, picking up around where he left off. On the year, in 10 starts, he's 4-3 with 62 innings pitched. His opponent batting average is pretty high at .333, but he hasn't given up many homers (just 5) this year. His strikeout numbers also aren't what they were before his Tommy John surgery, posting just 46 on the season.
On Friday, Michigan will see Steven Hill. Hill was a reliever to start the season, but he's earned his way into the rotation. On 20 appearances this season, he's made 7 starts. In his 61 innings, he's struck out 40 and walked only 18. He also sports a high opponent batting average - .359. Hill was actually a preferred walk-on for the football team, but it's a near zero chance that he'll actually see the field there.
As for Saturday, there's no telling who will get the start. Calvin Grumley made the start in game three against Minnesota, lasting just 3 innings while giving up 3 runs on 3 hits, walking four and striking out three. The week before, Penn State's primary reliever David Lutz made only his 2nd start of the season, lasting 5 innings in an eventual Nittany Lion loss to Iowa at home; this came one week after he threw a complete game win against Michigan State in his first start of the season.
No idea who to expect, much less how good they might be in what could potentially be Penn State's last gasp to gain a BTT spot. As they say in The Waterboy, "Last game of the season, can't hold anything back."
As far as the bullpen, Lutz has been a favorite this season. He's 4-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 33 appearances stretching 65.2 innings pitched (both team highs). After that, three's several guys with plenty of appearances, most of them aren't that great statistically. Mike Pierce is 1-0 in 14 appearances with a 4.20 ERA. The rest are a hodgepodge of reliever/starter types.
Penn State at the Dish
Penn State's offense, and for that matter, it's pitching staff, are both anchored by a Johnny Bench candidate (who will lose to Chris Berset). Ben Heath has been destroying pitchers this season. He leads the Big Ten with 18 homers on the season, and is slugging a crisp .761. His on base percentage is sitting at .457, so he's sporting a 1.218 OPS - which is totally ridiculous. He has 55 RBI on the season and has scored 50 runs – both team highs. Heath's defense is also pretty good, allowing just 8 passed balls on the season as the primary catcher, but he's only thrown out about 30% of base stealers (unlike Berset who has only 4 passed balls and has caught over 40% of base stealers… BERSET FOR BENCH!).
Heath isn't alone when it comes to hard hitting Nittany Lions, though. Steve Snyder is hitting .367 on the season with 34 RBI and 30 runs scored. He's been getting on base consistently, but isn't causing a whole ton of damage. He is second on the team in steals with 12 in 16 tries. Joey DeBernardis is doing similarly, hitting .359, but he's scored 40 runs and knocked in 33. Slightly better, but not overwhelming.
Jordan Steranka is the run producer. His on base percentage is ridiculously low (.345) for being second to Heath on the team in runs scored (40). He is also second in RBIs on the team with 41.
Weather
Thursday and Friday are to be sunny with highs in the low to mid 80s. Winds are supposed to be light enough not to matter. Saturday sees the rain chances raise up to 60% and temps to drop to around 70. Winds will still be pretty light.
Series Thoughts and Prediction
Penn State is a dangerous team, even if they are in last place. They showed they could keep up with Ohio State (when they were healthy) and Michigan State (even if they Sparty No!'d this season away). They definitely are talented enough on offense to smash their way to victory when needed. Mike Wanamaker also gives them a chance to win their opener every week. I'm quite afraid he'll set a personal season high in strikeouts.
On the flip side, Michigan has all the momentum in the world right now. The Wolverines can definitely smash the ball if it comes down to a home run derby for the win. Several of Michigan's pitchers are also due for a return to the mean, but this time in a good way. Evil Katzman (Eric's evil alter-ego) got the win against Ball State. I'm still sold that he's due for a brilliant outing this weekend. The bullpen is pretty well rested, with only Wood and Katzman seeing any action (out of the regulars) during the mid-week. Kyle Clark is all but scratched from this weekend, and Ballantine may become available Saturday if needed. Hopefully we'll have a #2 seed clinched by then, in which case, get the young guys some time.
Speaking of clinching a bye, I'm predicting a Michigan series victory 2-1, however, I'm not sure that's good enough for a bye. Purdue is playing Iowa this weekend, and if Iowa can't steal a game, Michigan could potentially fall into third place behind the Boilermakers and Minnesota. I'd love to pick Jarred Hippen to take a win from Purdue, but going up against Matt Bischoff is no easy task. Minnesota has tough pickings against Ohio State (with Alex Wimmers), but they hold the tie breaker over Michigan in the head-to-head win.
Weekend Rooting Interests:
- Iowa over Purdue
- Ohio State to take at least 2 from Minnesota
- Northwestern and Michigan State not to sweep each other
- Illinois over Indiana. I don't want to face Indiana in the BTT
- formerlyanonymous's blog
- Login or register to post comments
