if you seek an image of the most Wisconsin OL ever, enter here
2007 forward Matt Rust, a member of the USNDTP U-17 team, has committed to Michigan according to Chris Heisenberg. I'm under the impression that Rust is a high-end but not super-duper recruit, closer to a Kevin Porter than an Andrew Cogliano. He's a good pickup and Michigan's first forward in the class.
More later; you can see an overview of Michigan's hockey recruit efforts at The Wolverine.
Update: USHR on Rust's NTDP tryout:
7. Matt Rust, 5-9Â½/172, Bloomfield Hills, Mich., Honeybaked Midget Major -- Small, but does some really nice things. Very good early on, then hurt his shoulder and didn't play last game at all. All a moot point because he was offered a spot on team last fall and accepted.
Here's Red Line Report on Rust:
26 AAA Matt Rust LC Honeybaked Major 98 5'10 172
Strong on his skates, excellent 1 on 1 skills, pure finisher, star quality, very good change of pace, competes when he wants to, weak in his own end; can dominate when he wants to; great acceleration; quick stick; creates contact; doesn't always battle; heading to US NTDP, already committed; turns it off and on; when he does compete hard, he's outstanding; plays a physical style despite his lack of size, but can come back to bite him with injuries, as he did at NTDP camp hurting shoulder
and just for kicks here's the same report on '07 commit Tristan Llewellyn:
2 AAA Tristan Llewellyn RD Indiana Ice USHL 3 6'2 188
Perfect size, takes 1 hand off stick too much, looks to hurt guys, heavy shot, strong kid, bad discipline at times, great feet, forces the action in all three zones; has all the tools; playing a lot against high-level older competition; long, powerful stride with quickness and acceleration; ultra aggressive; physical presence; needs to read situations a bit better; Confident with the puck, loves to lug it up ice. Excellent mobility, sees ice well and makes crisp outlets. Hard and accurate shot; plays mean; earning a reputation already as a 15-year old in USHL; verbal commitment to Michigan for 2007
Matt Rust/LC - Honeybaked Major Midget. 5-10/172. 3/23/89. Played aggressively; hits hard despite lack of size. Excellent balance. Threads the needle on tough passes. Competed very well, which is his biggest issue. Did not play on Tuesday due to injured shoulder.
I love me some lingo and Warren St. John's come up with a neologism for Michigan fans everywhere: "Hennebriated."
I'll return the favor: Prothrolled, v: to be struck with vast, undeserved misfortune during a celebration; the act of inflicting undeserved misfortune in same situation. Did you hear what happened to Job? His daughter's wedding was prothrolled by ravenous brain-eating zombies.
The replay situation was hashed over at Football Outsiders and in the comments on the post about the controversial play. Commenter Volpundit points out that I failed to cite a relevant portion of the rule:
"c. When in question, the ball is passed and not fumbled during an attempted forward pass."
Maize from WCH plays devil's advocate:
I guess if the situation were reversed, I would say that you're right about the arm moving forward, but once his arm passes the release point, I would think that that play stops being a forward pass, and therefore, that would make it a fumble.
The problem is that Henne is hit before his arm passes the release point, at which point his intent ceases to be relevant. Since the forward motion of the arm has begun and he is clearly in a throwing motion when the defender impacts him, if the ball comes out at all, it is an incomplete pass.
Others bring up a new tendency for refs to let a play go when it is in doubt and then allow replay to correct any potential error. It seems clear referees are doing this, which makes sense on one level--once a play is blown dead you get the old "inadvertent whistle" business and an incorrect call is thus forced to stand--but is problematic when the referee's onfield decision is assumed to be correct when he doesn't really know. The Brady Quinn fumble in the ND game is a clear example of this thinking. Quinn was obviously down, but the referees decided to call it all and let replay sort it out. Alton suggests a solution:
Perhaps what is necessary is to invent a new signal to indicate that the refs have made no call, and the replay official is responsible for determining the correct call. Perhaps placing both hands over the eyes, then shrugging and pointing to the press box.
I agree with this idea and believe that close plays should be allowed to continue until their completion, at which time the referees should make a call that reflects their confidence in their decision. Peko should have been allowed to run into the end zone and then an incompletion should have been called. It's okay to be unsure now.
On the other hand, DC Wolverine tells replay to go to hell:
Until this season, Michigan has been very fortunate with instant replay - 90 percent or more of the calls went our way. But we've been f***ed in the ass this season. Until they can get these issues sorted out, i'll take human error.
Even with the problems we've experienced, replay has gotten things right that would have stood as wrong earlier and is a net benefit. Without replay we likely lose the Michigan State game because the Barringer interception is ruled an incompletion. If every replay official was like the guy in the Wisconsin game--who quickly identified plays to review, quickly reviewed them, and quickly got them right--this conversation wouldn't even be taking place. The problem is with specific officials who are probably somewhere between 80 years old and carbon-dated who should take a well-deserved retirement somewhere far away from a football stadium.
I have been there. Bleacher Guy has his take on the MSU game from a Spartan viewpoint. Rob's deeply frustrated by years and years of Spartan football that seems like the same old story. Strangely, I felt not even the slightest twinge of pleasure when reading his piece, and I'm an evil man well versed in the joys of schadenfreude. I think this is because Rob and I (and probably you) are foes on one level but on another we're compatriots. We share the bond of fandom and thus I know how Rob feels and because he comes by his feelings honestly I respect those feelings and sympathize instead of mock.
I was struck on my visit to EL by how friendly the MSU-UM rivalry is, probably because most Michigan fans know or are related to MSU fans and vice versa. My own mother (gasp!) went to Michigan State. Joint tailgates were rampant and what trash-talking existed was good natured. Unlike my trips to Columbus, I felt safe walking around campus, if not welcomed with open arms. I've been to Spartan Stadium four times now (once for hockey) and have never had a particularly negative encounter. There have been some yappy frat guys and an elderly man who, incensed at a relative's referee-berating, asked him if he wanted to "come down here and settle it," but each fanbase gets a few Get Out Of Nutcase Free cards and MSU is well within their allotment.
Rob the Fan has no choice but to bemoan yet another missed opportunity by Michigan State just like Brian the Fan gets the screaming fantods whenever Notre Dame and their Luckmobile show up. There's no rationality there, nor should there be.
On the other hand...
Tenuous justification theatre. I'm apparently falling off the "don't rip CFN" bandwagon. Matthew Zemek tries to back up his assertion that "get Michigan State in a really big, high-stakes battle, and the boys in green can't take the heat that goes with being a big boy in college football" with this:
The obvious reason why Spartan slip-ups gave Michigan this victory came in overtime, when MSU missed a field goal after Drew Stanton threw a pick that Michigan dropped. But before that, there were boatloads of other boneheaded plays that conveyed the impression that State didn't want to win this rivalry game. At the end of regulation, an illegal formation penaltyâ€”this, in the fifth week of the season in a money situationâ€”prevented State from having a chance to kick a long field goal for the win. And before that, there was the sorry spectacle of Spartan offensive coordinator Dave Baldwin calling a jaw-dropping left-side run on 3rd and 4 from the Wolverine 6 on an eight-minute drive.
Can we agree to discount the accusation levelled at Dave Baldwin, who happens to be running one of the nation's highest powered offenses? He called a run on third and four. It didn't work. That in no way proves that Michigan State choked the game away, unless you want to scream "chokers" at every team that has ever failed to convert a third and four and subsequently lost. Questioning a specific playcall that did not work is almost always asinine (notable exception: calling a WR pass on the last drive of the UF-UM Outback Bowl). If there is a pattern that limits an offense's effectiveness, that's valid grounds for criticism, but plays do not exist in a vacuum. Baldwin thought the play would work for reasons we as fans do not understand because we do not have all the information he does, and given his results to date and the 455 yards he racked up against Michigan you have to give him the benefit of the doubt. That Michigan State's trick play propensity backfired on them is likewise not evidence of choking. It is part of who the Spartans are. Those plays are indeed high risk and high reward. MSU was unfortunate to get the downside of them in this game.
So you've got a pair of missed field goals--admittedly eh not so good--and a single illegal formation penalty at the end of regulation as sole justification for the assertion that "the team that made more mistakes lost this game, as opposed to the winner making more big plays." Funny how no one's saying that about the Arizona State-USC game in which Sam Keller threw five interceptions.
The idea that Michigan State threw this game away rests on a house of cards. Michigan State's penaltie
s were frequently cited--all 5 of them for 27 yards, the most crucial of which (the roughing the kicker penalty) was a terrible call that should never have been made. Michigan State missed two short field goals, but rather than this being evidence of MSU choking it's merely evidence that they don't have an adequate replacement for Dave Rayner. It's a hole in the MSU team. The assertion that MSU played well below their capacity--that they "choked"--is wrong. Stanton was great. The running game was effective. They scored quite a lot. They had a couple turnovers, which will happen when you run an offense like they do, and they missed a couple field goals, which will happen when your kicker is not good. They also gave up a ton of yards because their defense is pretty bad. But they did not drop an inordinate amount of balls: the MSU receiving corps just isn't that good. They were even in the turnover battle if you discount the half-ending Hail Mary interception. They did not fill the field with penalty flags. They played a good game. They neither played significantly below nor significantly above their average capacity, and in the end Michigan State was outgained and, yes, outplayed by Michigan.
But I guess I can't argue with this:
But if you're going to look at this game as objectively as humanly possible, and offer a studied, discerning examination of the biggest single key in this contest, you have to look to Michigan State's blunders first and the Hart of a Michigan champion second.
More Emperor's New Punditry here, talking grandiosely about your "studied, discerning examination" and then backing it up with very little other than hoary chestnuts about how Michigan State teams past, teams with different players and a different coach, have folded when in reality the Spartans were fortunate to be within two scores at the end of regulation, having received a giftwrapped touchdown due to refereeing of mindboggling incompetence.
Here's a suggestion: instead of claiming that your examination is studied and discerning, just do it and then let other people talk about how studied and discerning you are, you tweed-wearing bubble-pipe-smoking football professor you.
GRRR! Brian cranky!
Okay. Hockey season is upon us. As stated previously, my coverage will be feeble until December--I am but one man--but feeble != nonexistent. So I will point you to Yost Built's impressions from a disturbingly close 3-2 exhibition win over Toronto, Michigan College Hockey's Michigan preview, INCH's CCHA preview and recruiting coverage, and a reminder of the new playoff format that has two sets of three game series at home ice rinks and then four teams at the Joe. I'd link to the USCHO CCHA preview but in classic USCHO CCHA coverage fashion, it doesn't exist yet.
OSU--who returns everyone except F JD Bittner--is the consensus CCHA favorite. Michigan's freshman-heavy team is generally projected second. Godzilla is on campus and in uniform, and Andrew Cogliano is indeed OMG FAST. Billy Sauer is going to get the full Montoya treatment. He's the designated starter and any Noah Ruden appearances will be due to exhaustion, injury, or Sauer miraculously making the WJC team.
We've explored the strange decision-making people assume Chad Henne employs when throwing to people not named Braylon in this space already, but at least the assertion that losing an awesome wide receiver negatively affected Henne's performance made some sort of sense on the surface. It was wrong, but if you didn't watch the games it wasn't a totally insane opinion to hold.
Not so the latest round of speculation on the Hennebrain, which focuses on how Mike Hart's return instantly turned Chad Henne from a guy who couldn't hit Weis E. Coyote's ego into Tom Brady. Matt Zemek says so:
It was like Linus finally getting back his blanket: Chad Henne, with Mike Hart once again, finally felt (at least for long stretches of play, if not the whole game) like last year's quarterback.
Tom Orr says so:
Chad Henne's struggles against Notre Dame and Wisconsin may have had a lot more to do with the absence of a running back than anything else.
This often passes for analysis in sports journalism: take the most obvious difference and claim that it's the reason for whatever happens, no matter how fanciful your connection is. Again it posits something in the Hennebrain like so:
if (RBs.Hart == healthy)
That's total fantasy. The real reason Henne.Don'tSuck() got called? They fixed a bug:
"It was something with my release and body weight and my drop(back), and we fixed that," he [Henne] said. "It probably took about 15 minutes."
That's common sense.
Don't think, steal: Jon Chait provides a theory that rings sadly true which is reproduced here and thus rescued from Internet Oblivion:
The Law of Conservation of Michigan Football
Any improvement or decline in any unit will be met by an equal and opposite reaction by another unit. This has been true since 1997. We had a fabulous defense, pretty weak offense. In 1998, the offense started getting more explosive, but the defense began declining. This trend continued trhough 1999 and 2000, by which point the offense was great and the defense awful.
By 2001, our defense suddenly became very good, but the offense collapsed. In 2002, the offense got better but the defense got worse.
2003 is in some ways the exception but in other ways the apotheosis of the rule. The offense and defense were both very good, but the special teams became a giant, inescapable black hole of suckitude.
In recent years the trend has accelerated, and happened within seasons themselves. We started out with a strong defense and a pitiful offense. The offense slowly got better, and the defense slowly worse, so by the end of the year it was just the opposite.
It was only natural that our offense blew against ND while our defense was near-dominant. It is the Law of Conservation of Michigan Football.
A corrollary to the Law of Conservation of Michigan Football is that we will go 9-3 every year.
Blogospheric content re: Kitten Redemption 2005 (HT: IBFC) can be found many places. IBFC has a dose of video (including the "fumble" video I stole) and some general thoughts. Offtackle weighs in as well. Joey says he still doesn't exactly think Carr's ready to join Flipmode Squad (sorry, all rap references are stuck in 1997) just yet. He makes a good point in his "random stuff" section:
- Long-lost Carr family member John Borton asserts that UM is 5-0 if Mike Hart is healthy all season. Thoughts? I would imagine that Hart could have been the difference in both games, but UM shouldn't need to lean on that excuse. Michigan has the personnel to beat ND and Wisconsin without Hart; it just doesn't have the coaching (or, at least right now, the quarterback?).
Seriously. Hart may have had some incremental effect but let's be serious: the problems in those games were only tangentially connected to the running game. Hart doesn't fumble against Wisconsin or Notre Dame, sure, and he probably picks up an extra blitzer or two, but no one's going to run to the recordbook with an eraser to correct the "error." Michigan had the opportunity to win those games anyway but did not.
Also, SMQB is back and kicking with his weekend wrapup worth your time, though I think he's slightly harsh in his assessment of both teams. To wit: he says Michigan State "blew" their first two plays in overtime, making the HP-ish mistake of crediting every non-succesful offensive play to poor execution instead of a good defensive play. Points taken on the missed field goals and the ugly MSU third down in OT, but the ugliness was mostly contained in some questionable playcalls, three missed chipshot fieldgoals, and officiating best described as "indescribable." There were a total of six penalties in the game, and nearly 900 yards of well-executed offense. Let's not miss the forest for the trees. (FTR: I still think SMQB is a top-tier CFB blog. Hugz.)
So this blog thing and Michigan's 2-2 start have given me strange rooting interests. Generally I root for whatever aids Michigan in their (perenially futile) bid to recover from the road opener loss and force their way back into the national championship game and against specific teams I find distasteful (ND, OSU (obvious), Miami(Michael Irvin), Nebraska ('97), Tennessee(waah Peyton)). Now I tend to root for teams I didn't have a previous opinon about based on how much I like their respective bloggers. Therefore I am a quasi-fan of Florida (EDSBS), Alabama (WSJ), and Georgia (Kyle King, Paul Westerdawg), which poses problems when the two meet. This happened last weekend when 'Bama Rammer Jammered the hell out of the Gators. Alas, Orson! Hurrah, Warren! I sympathize/celebrate.
Speaking of Kyle, he's offered up an interesting candidate for the next Michigan head coach: former Georgia DC and current Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers coach Brian Van Gorder, who has roots in the area, an impressive resume as the Bulldog DC, and extensive recruiting contacts in Florida and Georgia. It's an interesting name but I don't think he'll be a serious candidate since he's never been a head coach and is currently just a position coach, and since Michigan specializes in finishing second for southern recruits I don't know how much his contacts will help. The culture of southern football is such that only rarely do big names escape the south--more focus on Florida may be wasted effort.
FireJohnLynch.com. I suppose I should address this. And then this publicity-yielding Carty article. My stance: John Lynch, the proprietor of FireLloydCarr.us, is a loon and should be fired from whatever his current job is, as he is liable to shoot his coworkers should they fail at any task.