I'VE HAD JUST ABOUT ENOUGH OF YOU SONNY
|2||9||M20||Pass||Breaston||5||Diamond formation. Massey(-1) lets Crum get to the outside of him, preventing this from going for like 10.|
|3||5||M25||Pass||Dutch||13||Nice play design to drag Hart across the zone and get Dutch open.|
|1||10||M38||Pass||Dutch||Inc||Batted at the line, you can't blame Henne for this; the defender is just too close.|
|2||10||M38||Run||Hart||1||Just a wad of players at the line. No hole whatsoever.|
|3||9||M39||Pass||No one||Inc||Two guys come from the right, Hart picks up the inside one, Henne throws it away.|
|Drive notes: Terrible decision by Mason(-1) on the kickoff. One unblocked blitzer, two stuffed run plays, and a short pass blocked at the line by a defender really close to him.|
|1||10||M34||Pass||Breaston||9||The old Braylon stop route.|
|2||1||M43||Penalty||-10||Holding on Henige, legit. Henne scrambled for the first down.|
|2||11||M33||Pass||Hart||Inc||Abimiri bats it down. There isn't really anything Henne can do about this, either... it's a screen! Riley has to chop Abiamiri's legs out to open up the passing lane.|
|3||11||M33||Pass||Avant||6||A stunting blitz by the WLB gets to Henne unblocked, and he finds whoever he can.|
|Drive Notes: Too much pressure. The story of these first two drives is the ND DL beating the UM OL. You've got a holding penalty, two instances of unblocked blitzers, and two batted passes.|
|1||10||M30||Pass||Hart||Inc||This is a missed interference call, isn't it? Hart was interfered with with the ball in the air.|
|2||10||M30||Pass||Ecker||16||Easy. Hole in the zone, henne looks off the D and finds him|
|1||10||M46||Run||Hart||0||Toss sweep that knocks Hart out of the game. Thompson can't seal off the LB, who forces the play back inside, where two LBs clean it up.|
|2||10||M46||Pass||Dutch||4||This is a great pass from Henne, who lofts the ball high enough to get it past the good zone coverage and into Dutch's hands.|
|3||6||50||Pass||Sack||Henne pump fakes. Swann says it's because he was looking for Ecker but Ecker fell down.|
|Drive notes: this is the punt where Harrison lets it roll past him. Can't blame Henne yet.|
|1||10||M44||Run||Breaston||30||reverse. Nice block from Henne, and a clever pull from the center gets out on the linebacker who's supposed to have contain.|
|1||10||O26||Pass||Breaston||Inc||Perfect pass from Henne, and Breaston just drops it.|
|2||10||O26||Run||Grady||5||Left side of the ND D gets caved in, but Ecker's block gets shed or this is 8-10|
|3||5||O21||Pass||No one||Inc||Two blitzers and still no one open? Henne throws this away after getting flushed. Might have had a chance to find someone, but Grady's cut block doesn't stop the momentum of one blitzer, so he has to take off, and the second guy comes off his man.|
|Drive notes: Field goal. Again a blitzer forces an incompletion (3).|
|1||10||M41||Run||Martin||-4||Lentz gets his ass kicked.|
|2||14||M37||Pass||Breaston||Inc||Breaston is open but Henne just misses him, Lentz goes down on this play.|
|3||14||M37||Pass||Sack||The blitz is on Henne instantly as Grady busts the pickup.|
|Drive notes: This is the first actual bad pass from Henne. The OL is getting blown up on a regular basis, making it impossible to put anything together. Blitz bust #4.|
|1||10||M25||Pass||Manningham||Inc||Wooden is in good position and just impedes Manningham enough to prevent him from getting to the ball.|
|2||10||M25||Run||Grady||10||Now it's ND's turn to get vicimized by six in the box against 3 WR|
|1||10||M35||Pass||Massey||1||Happy feet for henne, who had a pocket, but bailed out and hit the outlet too soon.|
|2||9||M36||Run||Grady||5||Grady makes 3 or so after contact after vaulting a defender, a nice run.|
|3||3||M41||Pass||Ecker||9||Kraus gets beat but Henne finds Ecker anyway.|
|1||10||50||Run||Grady||2||Henige can't block off the LB or there's a big hole for Grady.|
|2||8||O48||Penalty||-5||False start on Massey|
|2||13||M47||Pass||No one||0||Henne again flushes from the pocket prematurely.|
|3||13||M47||Pass||Avant||5||Slip screen to Avant, what a ridiculous call. At least bomb it deep.|
|Drive notes: Halftime. Note two instances of happy feet for Henne: he's lost faith in his blockers. The Avant slip screen indicates that the coaches have too. At the half, the story on this side of the ball is the OL getting its ass kicked.|
|1||10||M18||Run||Grady||0 + 5||No push from the line, incidental face mask on ND.|
|1||5||M23||Run||Grady||6||Makes 4 after contact.|
|1||10||M29||Run||Grady||23||Grady's long run, the cutback here is inexplicable. If he just keeps going he'll get caught, but another 20-30 yards downfield. Paul and Breaston get good blocks to open it up.|
|1||10||O48||Run||Grady||3||More after contact push from Grady. 3 yards against a very unfavorable D.|
|2||7||O45||Pass||Avant||Inc||Avant is wide open and Henne just doesn't get it there.|
|3||7||O45||Pass||Ecker||7||Accurate. Zone leaves Ecker wide open.|
|1||10||O38||Run||Grady||1||Too many guys in the box.|
|2||9||O37||Pass||Ecker||2||Waggle, just dumps it off to a covered Ecker.|
|3||7||O35||Pass||Ecker||11||This ball floats a little bit and wobbles, but it's there.|
|1||10||O24||Run||Grady||8||Grady fumbles fighting for extra yards.|
|1||10||O13||Run||Grady||1||Grady has to cut it back because Paul's block doesn't clear the intended hole.< /td>|
|2||9||O12||Pass||Ecker||Int||Avant was wide open cutting across the endzone. Just a horrible read.|
|Drive notes: The interception killed us. If you had to trace the loss back to one single play, that was it. Avant was heartbreakingly wide open. Henne falls apart after this, just watch.|
|1||10||M24||Pass||Avant||7||Lentz returns now. A simple throw to the guy with a cushion play.|
|3||2||M32||Pass||Breaston||Inc||Hoyte makes a nice play on an arrow route and knocks it down.|
|Drive notes: I don't know if that was a bad read or just a good play by Hoyte.|
|1||10||M7||Run||Grady||2||Can't help but think if Hart would have done better with this. Grady just plows into the guy in front of him instead of juking.|
|2||8||M9||Pass||Breaston||Inc||The second bomb to Breaston that's open and well thrown but not caught.|
|3||8||M9||Pass||Ecker||Inc||Henne sails this ball to Ecker, asking him to leap and catch a bullet.|
|Drive notes: Breaston is not helping Henne at all, but the Ecker throw would have been for a first down if it was accurate. This is the only instance of a low release point forcing a sailed throw in the game despite the claims of some who are beguiled by Griese's color commentary.|
|1||10||M22||Pass||Ecker||21||A perfectly placed seam route.|
|1||10||M43||Run||Jackson||4||There's just no room to run inside.|
|3||4||M49||Pass||Breaston||Inc||Batted at the line. Again, this is not a problem with Henne's delivery. Throwing it above the defender means throwing it out of bounds.|
|Drive notes: The problem with batted passes in this game has come almost exclusively on three-step drops and screens. There's no QB in the world tall enough to avoid a well-placed hand and throw an accurate short pass; the problem here is with the OL not cutting the DEs.|
|1||10||O18||Run||Grady||7||Nie blocks from Ecker and Thompson spring Grady up the middle.|
|2||3||O11||Run||Grady||4||Grady manages to squeeze through what looks like nothing for the first.|
|1||G||O7||Run||Grady||2||Mays is unblocked.|
|2||G||O5||Run||Grady||0||Fumble. I think without the fumble Grady cuts back against the grain, skips past the defender, and scores. Despite what you may of heard, this is on Grady, not Henne.|
|3||G||O5||Pass||Avant||Inc||May have just been throwing this away. I hate this call, a rollout on an obvious passing down on the goalline that cuts off half the field. No one was open.|
|4||G||O5||Pass||Avant||Inc||Henne throws this five yard out of bounds.|
|Drive notes: Ugh. 3 fumbles in two games from Grady, and what on God's green earth was that throw? It's fourth down, time to risk some interception.|
|2||5||M44||Pass||Avant||Inc||Batted again. This is a three step drop, Riley has to get that guy's hands down.|
|3||5||M44||Pass||Grady||Inc||Screen is read and destroyed.|
|1||G||O1||Run||Henne||1||This is a touchdown. It's not even close. The decision to not award a touchdown and then to not review it is flat wrong. Henne is laying in the endzone.|
|Drive notes: Again, harping on the cut blocks, and then that devastating two play sequence.|
|1||10||50||Pass||Avant||17||Henne finally gets protection and hits an open Avant.|
|1||10||O33||Pass||Ecker||Inc||I can't see the coverage downfield but Ecker had a linebacker right on top of him.|
|2||10||O33||Pass||Ecker||Inc||Just missed Ecker nine yards downfield.|
|3||10||O33||Pass||Ecker||7||Grady completely blows the blitz pickup but Henne finds Ecker anyway, a really nice play from him.|
|4||3||O26||Pass||Manningham||26||TD. Looks like a coverage bust but an accurate throw and catch.|
|Drive notes: Well, it's a score, but it's heavily aided by a coverage bust. Swann picks out the fact that Campbell yelled at Manningham to decrease his split before the snap and that's why he was open. Great catch from Swann, who's also broken in with useful comments a couple other times. He's a sideline guy who's a net benefit, which is amazing.|
|1||10||M42||Pass||Breaston||Inc||A crossing route against an LB coming off a zone that Breaston just drops. Probably had the corner and a first down if|
|2||10||M42||Pass||Manningham||Inc||This is the Manningham bomb where he gets a little touch from the DB, but the ball was uncatchable anyway. I hate this playcall. This is a low percentage play when you absolutely need a first down.|
|3||10||M42||Pass||Ecker?||Inc||Tipped at the line again, this time on a legit dropback pass. You could put this on Henne if you so desire.|
|4||10||M42||Penalty||False start on Riley.|
|4||15||M37||Pass||Ecker||Inc||Three yard pass on fourth down.|
|Drive Notes: Breaston inserts the third nail in Henne's coffin on first down and then a questionable call, a batted pass, and then an inexplicable decision (one of several) end the game.|
Analysis, FAQ style:
What the sam-hell happened?
A few things. Notre Dame's defensive line won the battle with Michigan's offensive line. Michigan's running was inconsistent and sporadic in the first half, and when Henne dropped back to pass he was often met with unblocked blitzers. When Henne did have time to get off a deep ball it was usually accurate but Breaston dropped two deep ones and a critical first-down ball on the final drive.
OMG HENNE SUX.
He actually didn't in the first half until late where you see two instances of unnecessary rollouts because he's lost faith in his blitz pickups. In the second half, though... well, to borrow a metaphor from poker, Henne went on tilt. Check the chart:
|Team||Dead on||Catchable||Inaccurate||Bad Read||Throwaways||Batted|
You've gone from 23/33 in the "good" category to 22/44 plus a couple sacks and the goalline fumble. Some of that was due to pressure but the two huge, touchdown-stealing mistakes were totally unforced.
What about the injuries?
They clearly had an effect. Massaquoi was ably replaced by Ecker but Ecker was not as ably replaced by Massey, who had some blocking issues and a false start. There was a small dropoff there. Though Grady ran well, the second fumble was a killer as that play was probably six without it if Grady cuts back appropriately. He also busted three blitz pickups, ruining those plays and contributing to the Henne meltdown. Being down Long, Kolodziej, and Lentz (for a bit) had to hurt the running game, and likely the pass protection.
What's the deal with all the batted passes?
This seems like a problem with the offensive line rather than Henne. Four of the five were on screens or three-step drops where Henne is making a short pass and he can't afford to loft a ball out there lest he get his receiver killed or get pick-sixed. On short drops it is the responsibility of the offensive line to get their defenders on the ground or at least control their hands enough to prevent them from knocking a pass down. Could Riley's relative inexperience at tackle be culpable? It's the OTs that have to clear the path for short sideline routes.
Henne, Breaston, and Grady. Henne's problems were discussed ad nauseum above and everywhere else on the internets, but it bears repeating: if Henne does not throw away two touchdowns we win. Breaston dropped three balls, any one of which would have changed the complexion of the game, and didn't do anything with his returns. Grady fumbled twice more and was a major reason that Henne started booking out for the sidelines whenever a linebacker looked at him funny.
Er, not heroes, but you know, non-goats?
Avant, Ecker, and that's it.
The coaching... sucks?
Not really. What are you supposed to do other than put your guys out there and put them in positions to succeed? This was done. The offense, when not failing to pick blitzes up, had Breaston and Avant open for touchdowns. They had efficient short routes that the OL did not clear a path for. They had Grady going in for six when he fumbled. They had Henne going in for six when he fumbled.
The players effed up. When Carr says they have to execute better this week, he's telling the God's honest truth. The Avant slip screen? Bad call. The Manningham bomb on the last drive? Bad call. But that's really all the complaining you can do. The final play was not designed for Ecker, but Henne threw it there anyway on fourth and fifteen; a microcosm of the situation.
I know its really hard to believe this, but anyone talking about Lloyd Carr screwing up another big game or getting wildly outcoached by Weis is talking out of their Bowden. The offensive and defensive designs were good enough to win this game, but this isn't NCAA 2006.
(a note: new thing with the polls: asking questions that DEMAND ANSWERS!!! to spur some discussion.)
Hurray, that's the poll hurray. If you're interested, you can see all the individual ballots here.
What was given last wee--a unanimous USC #1--was taken away by the UT victory over OSU. The 'Horns now have 5 first place votes and probably won't relinquish them unless they put in a stinker. USC's performance against BYE... ah, we've all heard that joke before. Never mind. The Big Ten teams largely vacating the top ten allowed some significant move ups, but there are a number of placements that I don't understand: OU anywhere near the top 25 after those first two performances? Who is voting for these guys? Why? TCU lost to SMU and they definitively proved against Tulsa that they have no quarterbacks. Rob, why the hell do you have them #11? Tigersmack, why #12?
Also, ASU dropped after a should-have-won performance against LSU where they had 500+ yards passing? FSU... top 10? Really?
Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at #25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Eastern Michigan) would all be at the top.
Ballot math: First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.
Mr. Bold is Eagle In Atlanta, who played Texas Tech to FIU's Michigan and Ohio State, just *hammering* the two for their losses. I can understand the motivation for dropping Michigan from #4 to #23 for that performance against Notre Dame, but Ohio State dropping 15 spots after losing to the #2 (both in the BlogPoll and EIA's own ballot) by a point? Harsh! I do like Vandy at #24 and Oklahoma at #25, though. That has a certain aesthetic appeal. EIA, three Qs: Why Virginia so high (Ian is not optimistic)? Why Louisville at #6 (still no d)? And why the contract on OSU's head?
Mr. Numb Existence is Buffs.tv, who radically revamped their poll and somehow find it more in-line than any other. Yes, I find it hard to find something interesting to say about the ballot that looks the most like the poll, if you're wondering.
Next we have the Coulter/Krugman Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.
Unsurprisingly, the winner of the Straight Bangin' Award is not Straight Bangin', but it is another Michigan blogger, Vijay from iBlog For Cookies. Straight Bangin'? Second. It doesn't matter how low you rank Michigan, BlogPoll, the Michibloggers will limbo under that number by, oh, 6 or 7 spots.
Swing is essentially the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.
Mr. Manic-Depressive is Journalism is for Rockstars and its Christmas-tree ballot. Only one team, Georgia, remained static. He's also throwing a bit of a fit as regards OSU, dropping them to #24 from #12 while simultaneously moving UT to #1. Journorock: why punish OSU so heavily for losing to the #1 team narrowly? Ditto for ASU. LSU got a huge boost by beating the Sun Devils but ASU got knocked down 8 spots. Either LSU didn't beat someone that worthy of beating or the Sun Devils aren't that bad.
Mr. Stubborn is... hey! Me! I didn't whack OSU or Michigan too hard for their performances (probably in part because I had both underrated re: the poll at large), didn't skyrocket anyone (ND was already #12), and left most of the bottom of the poll alone since everyone performed bas
ically as expected or played such terrible competition (FIU, the Citadel) that no conclusions could be drawn. You have an open invitation to hammer me with a question to answer about my ballot.
Okay. A few Irish fans raised on a lot of X-Files asked for the whole controversial play, so here it is (QED, MFer). It's thoroughly unexciting, just a bunch of watching people in the pile. It is also 40 megs. Unless you are really interested I'd skip it.
Many accusations of whining and being a "typical Michigan fan who never gets beat" were levelled, quite unfairly in my opinion. I think the video shows that at the very least that play should have been reviewed and to non-crazy people clearly shows a touchdown. The refs screwed up, the end result hurt Michigan, and that pisses me off. It is a reason we lost. It is not the reason, nor is it particularly high on the list of reasons (amongst the more prominent: Space Henne, Walker, the ND coaches mercilessly exploiting a blitz-pickup weakness). Not once did I say anything along the lines of "the refs beat us," though I obviously failed to clarify my position. It's clarified now, so there you have it.
This is the last word I'll speak on the matter; it's in the past, except for the UFR offense review which is in the past to me but in the future to you, so the play notes will say something like AAAARGH or some such thing. Because it's aaargh-worthy, you know. Total aaargh.
A note: I'm just going to delete anything that is even the slightest bit inflammatory off this post, no matter who the poster supports. Nuts to you if you don't like it. Nuts I say.
Examine the Team Grid at your leisure. Click the check marks for vote distribution (interesting like Purdue's or dull like USC's). Hover over that nut who put the Boilers #6 and the dastardly fellow's name reveals itself. Click and see the offending ballot. Still working out some tangential features with it, but enjoy its 80% state right now.
Injury roundup is extensive:
- Ryan Mundy did not play against ND and Carr says "I just don't feel good about where Ryan is. He's not been able to practice like he needs to practice, so I am not optimistic there." Sounds like he is out a while.
- Tim Jamison did not play against ND and his shoulder may keep him out a while longer.
- Hart left the ND game with a hamstring issue and did not return. He won't play against EMU (unless Carr is insane) and is questionable past that.
- Lentz missed a quarter against ND before returning.
- Arrington is out for at least the next month, possibly two.
- No word on Kolodziej that I know of but I doubt that his injury is going to magically disappear. He is on the new depth chart, so it's possble he returns for Wisconsin.
- Massaquoi and Long, of course, are probably gone for the year.
Absolutely brutal. We're two games into the season.
Farooq? Georgia Sports, nee Paul Westerdawg, offers a report on Micah Johnson.
Michigan Monday is here. Orr touches on a number of things I'll discuss in Upon Further Review tomorrow and Thursday, so no comments for now. Russel at FO has his game recap up. Poor guy flew in to see that monstrosity.
I promise this isn't getting into that again,, but for your information Vijay at IBFC and MRG, a poster at mgoboard, have put in thoughtful critiques of this whole Gang of Six business. Vijay took a rhetorical approach, MRG a numerical one. I think they're both interesting, and that's all I think. Also, in somewhat related news, "Ultima Khan" sent me a collection of UM stats he put together. Enjoy.
No me gusta WOTS. PrepSpotlight says that basketball recruit Tom Herzog's final two are MSU and ND.
This one is really tenuous. If anyone has information to offer on *anything*, please do. I honestly didn't catch much except the Michigan and Ohio State games, so I am very flexible with this one.
A note: my general philosophy is to take into account how well a particular team played as a function of its ability and overall competence. The upshot is that when I think a team played terribly and was beat by a series of huge, momentum-swinging plays instead of being ground down I don't punish as heavily as I would otherwise. So: I think the Iowa game was a fluke (anyone who saw it, please feel free to correct that impression). I think the fact that Texas won despite a number of VY mistakes and despite losing the turnover battle is very impressive, and I think the fact that OSU could not capitalize on a lot of redzone opportunities, some of which were gift wrapped, means that they aren't really #5, so I dinged them. That's why Iowa State is not on the ballot but Iowa is. If you think this is stupid, I'm listening.
|2||Texas||They played poorly, lost the turnover battle, and still beat OSU. Vince Young killed people with his arm. Clear #2.|
|3||LSU||Given all the extracurriculars, a truly remarkable win, but that pass defense is concerning.|
|4||Virginia Tech||Duke, whatever.|
|6||Purdue||Still wonky in the secondary and Kirsch's debut was not statistically great or anything.|
|7||Florida||Moving up essentially by default.|
|8||Georgia||Shockley returns to earth.|
|9||Ohio State||Did anyone else notice that Smith ran like 90% QB draws?|
|10||Arizona State||They're going to light up the Pac 10 this year, I think.|
|11||Notre Dame||Pitt win lost it luster, and Quinn didn't look very good against UM, but they won.|
|12||Michigan||Well, that was unexpected.|
|15||Boston College||Support our troops.|
|16||Georgia Tech||Damarius Bilbo!|
|17||Florida State||13-10 at the half with the Citadel?|
|19||Minnesota||Handled CSU much more easily than Colorado did.|
|20||Iowa State||Input indicates that even with Tate Iowa wasn't doing particularly well.|
|21||Clemson||That was rather tight against a Maryland team that doesn't appear very good.|
|23||Texas Tech||FIU = DNP.|
|25||Cal||A much better performance this week, but how much does it mean?|
Dropped Out: TCU, Iowa
Games I Saw: Michigan-ND, Texas-OSU, Pitt-Ohio
Update: knocked Iowa out after much feedback re: their performance, and moved GT up after doing some more reading and finding out that they have a WR named Damarius Bilbo.