I wrote a softball update a few weeks back, when Michigan was starting to show some promise offensively, with a few important weekends upcoming. Three weekend series have passed since then, with Michigan continuing to bank wins and stay near the top of the conference as we learn what this young team is made of. It's about time for another softball update and in turn, it's time to give Michigan's baseball team some love as well, after yet another series win in conference play, most recently over the rival Ohio State Buckeyes. Today we'll be accomplishing both, talking about developments in the softball season and the road ahead, before digging into where Michigan Baseball sits with a month to go in the regular season: 

Softball hitters: REAL 

When I wrote about softball last time, I was reporting on the genuinely encouraging developments on offense for the Wolverines that had suddenly materialized, following a moribund first month of the season. At the time I noted that we would gain more information on just what these young hitters were made of over the following couple weeks, with two solid pitching teams upcoming in Northwestern and Iowa. There were reasons to believe the offensive surge was real, but until they faced more deecent pitching staffs, it was difficult to buy in fully. 

So what happened? Michigan has continued to hit pretty well. They didn't bludgeon Northwestern, which no one was expecting against a team with a star ace like Ashley Miller, but after scoring just one in the first game in an abbreviated run rule game, they put up 4 and then 5 on the 'Cats. It was disappointingly not enough to win any of the games due to a pitching meltdown, but from an offensive standpoint, I came away encouraged. Northwestern has only allowed 4+ runs nine times this season in 38 games and two of those were against the Wolverines. That's something. 

Then came Iowa, who had allowed 6+ runs four times all season. Michigan put up 6+ in all three games, seeming to send their pitching into a tailspin that then carried over into a disastrous series against Indiana this past weekend. Michigan put up 11 and 5 in mid-week games against MSU over the past two weeks and then put up 4, 6, and 11 this past weekend against Nebraska. The pitching held up enough to sweep all of those games against Iowa, MSU, and Nebraska. To cap it all off, Michigan went on the road yesterday to Oakland and defeated the Golden Grizzlies for the second time this season, winning by a 9-4 final score.  

I don't believe that Michigan is one of the very best offenses in college softball, but we have enough evidence now that this is a good college offense. More importantly, it is an offense that is miles better than what they put out there in any of the last few seasons. The numbers over the past 29 games speak for themselves: in that span Michigan is hitting a quadruple slash of .324/.419/.558/.977 as a team. Their batting average, OBP, and SLG would all be top 25 in the country if sustained over a full season. Of course, they haven't been facing the most *elite* pitchers in the country during this stretch (mostly conference games against a weak B1G) and thus we wouldn't expect it to be fully sustained over a full season. but I've followed this team a while now. I've watched versions of Michigan over the years, particularly 2022 and 2023, that couldn't hit the ball against anybody. To now have a team that is bludgeoning the merely okay teams on the schedule is a significant development. 

[AFTER THE JUMP: digging deeper into softball + baseball talk]

Michigan landed its floor general over the weekend when former Auburn guard Rhodney "Tre" Donaldson announced his transfer to Michigan on Sunday.  

I'm relatively familiar with Donaldson, having scouted him extensively at the HS level and watching multiple games of the Auburn Tigers over the last two seasons. Tre is much different than the typical point guards that have played in Ann Arbor and I think he'll become a fan favorite, in part, because of his propensity for highlight reel plays in the open court. 

SCOUTING (Offense)

Tre's most enticing skill is the ability to hit pull-ups from distance. In a B10 conference that has a plethora of relatively slow-footed bigs that like to play drop coverage, this is a real weapon to counter that approach. 

When you have off-the-dribble (OTD) shotmaking that extends beyond the arc, it puts opposing coaches in real conflict. Show high with your big and risk a numbers disadvantage on the backend or take your chances giving up a triple. 

Donaldson is a tough shotmaker in general, and the pull-up prowess isn't limited to those occasions when opposing guards go under screens/opposing bigs play drop coverage. He routinely hits contested midrange pull-ups as seen below.

Tre decelerates + maintains balance pretty well, and he's able to square up and get real elevation on his jumper. While he's not an elite OTD shooter, Donaldson did check-in at 51st percentile nationally on pull-up jumpers..........but on really high volume at 86th percentile in attempts. Given that volume and what I see on film in terms of body control/balance, the pull-up shooting should translate well in my opinion. 

For me, playmaking for others is the most undervalued facet of Tre's game. He's not necessarily the typical ballscreen shot-creator for teammates that we're accustomed to (in part because of the Auburn offensive structure), but the pass placement/execution is really impressive.

Donaldson routinely fits precision passes in tight-windows. The ball placement isn't where teammates are currently at, but rather where they need to be in order to finish the play. 

And while we don't see a ton of Tre hitting roll-men in PnR, the efficiency in the ballscreen game is absolutely there. Donaldson generated .99ppp in PnR possessions including passes, good for 78th percentile in the country with 89th percentile volume on such possessions. Additionally, the 28.3 assist rate this season also lends credence to the playmaking prowess.

[After THE JUMP: great finisher and above 40% from three? Sign me up.]

OUR WATCH HAS ENDED

I fired off an unusual Sunday post because I was sick of updating and updating and updating a post and thought it would be obsolete by Monday. It was. Roddy Gayle Jr is in. Sam Walters is in. Lorenzo Cason is in. Vlad Goldin… well, he should be in sooner rather than later.

Assuming Goldin, this is as of this moment a basketball team with zero open scholarship slots. To go from "Will Tschetter, I guess?" to this in a couple of weeks is the most whirlwind roster makeover in the history of Michigan athletics.

BUT ADMISSIONS?

Never say never in this department but they've officially announced Gayle and Jones. They briefly announced Donaldson before yoinking that back so I assume that he's on the verge. Goldin should be a grad transfer, Wolf was at Yale, and Walters had just one year at Alabama. My assumption is that after the prior debacles, Dusty May wasn't going to let anyone announce until their transcript got checked out. We'll see about the validity of that assumption.

ARE WE DONE?

Probably. Anyone who comes in at this point would either have to be cool with a year of apprenticeship or tantalizing enough to take despite a potentially negative knock-on effect for guys projected to be in the rotation—primarily Will Tschetter and Nimari Burnett.

Two of the obvious take options aren't happening. St Mary's SG Aidan Mahaney visited Creighton, has a couple more visits set up, and is picking between three non-M schools for his final one. Meanwhile, FAU SG Johnell Davis is seemingly between Kentucky and Arkansas.

I still think Oakland F Trey Townsend isn't happening, either, but he's apparently done with visits; Michigan is one of three schools that got one. Ohio State and Arizona are the others. Tony Paul points out that OSU just picked up former teammate Micah Parrish.

The other two guys worth the swing are Khani Rooths and Liam McNeeley, two top 50 recruits who could play the 3 or 4. I am still in 1% mode when it comes to McNeeley. Rooths is more plausible but the "I am 100% open" tweet is a bit of a downer, and Michigan's depth chart is suddenly jammed.

I mean, sure, if either of those guys wants in you take them, offer Jace Howard a PWO spot, and figure it out later. But Michigan just went from the place you'll definitely play a ton to a place where you're in a war for minutes. I think this is it.

So!

[After THE JUMP: what you've won]