chance of bowl: 13.6%
Wish me luck. I am going to be out of pocket this weekend: I'm going to the LSU-Auburn game with some friends. Fortunately I'm going to be in the part of the state that doesn't want to string me up, so I should be okay. I don't think it will disturb posting schedules too much but today and Monday might be a little light.
Obviously, there has not been a UFR as promised. I'm through most of the game and it will be up Monday/Tuesday next week.
Oh. My. God. I have veins in my head labeled "rupture in case of clock management malfeasance" that I have to get replaced on a weekly basis every fall, but holy God I have never seen anything quite as inept as "Coach Stew" screwing around with the clock last night.
So Colorado and West Virginia are tied 14-14 and West Virginia is putting together a potential gamewinning drive. They're on the 50 with 1:10 left and two timeouts. (4th Q PBP.)On first down they hit Devine for four yards and let the clock run. This would be fine if you could get to the line with a play ready to go; instead WVU burns 25-30 seconds screwing around. After getting stuffed for the fifth or sixth time on short yardage, they run the clock down to four seconds and try a Hail Mary. Erin Andrews then describes the scene on the sideline as "chaos… carnage… limbs everywhere, disorganization… blood".
- How do you burn 30 seconds like that in your two-minute drill?
- How do you not have the ability to pick up a QB sneak or even a short yardage play four or five times in a game?
- How do you see yourself stuffed four or five times on runs up the gut on third and short and not, I dunno, try anything else?
And oh my god the sideline interviews. You just know, don't you? You, the college football viewer, have seen dozens and dozens of successful college football coaches and not one of them is like Bill Stewart in any way whatsoever.
Prediction: in two or three years there will be a post on this blog attempting to decide what was the most obviously terrible hire in college football history: Bobby Williams or Bill Stewart? (I guess you can throw Gerry Faust in there, too.)
Again with the high school football. Jeremy Gallon and Apopka take on Mississippi powerhouse South Panola tonight on ESPNU at 8. I don't get ESPNU and will probably be in Alabama by then, anyway, but if anyone's got it and can compile a set of Gallon clips that would be excellent.
Oh, snap. I guess you can do this when you're USC and you've just bombed Ohio State 35-3, but man these guys are carpet bombing the Buckeyes with incendiary quotes:
“Easy” was one word defensive end Kyle Moore used after missing practice two days last week with back spasms before having the game of his life (eight tackles, a fumble recovery, two tackles for loss for 19 yards, including a sack for 15).
“You can tell they don’t practice full speed,” Moore said of the massive Buckeyes who made it “easy” to fly past them.
“They were still getting into their (first blocking) move, and we’d already be into our second move (on defense) and past them,” Moore said.
Conference solidarity only applies when you're not trying to scratch out a Motor City Bowl bid, so: ha-ha.
Argh why would you call a backwards pass? The header to the left was a common complaint in the aftermath of the first disastrous fumble of many disastrous fumbles. This complaint is answered simply: no one called a backwards pass.
Rodriguez clarified that in the weekly Big Ten teleconference thingy:
We want to throw it in front of the receiver, and when you do that it's obviously a forward pass, not a lateral.
That's mostly on Threet then, not Minor.
Who's on what then? I'll have my piece on this in UFR, but Varsity Blue takes a look at the long Tate touchdown, concluding thusly:
The blame for this touchdown does not fall on Stevie Brown. Repeat: Stevie Brown is not culpable. He wasn't exactly stellar the rest of the day, but don't rag on the kid for this touchdown. Our good friend GSimmons (a high school DC who runs Shafer's 3-4 Okie package as his base defense and also knows much more about football than I ever will) lets us know that it appears Michigan is running a read-2 defense, which is a form of cover-2-like-substance. Morgan Trent sees Tate head inside, leading him to believe that Tate will not be a deep vertical threat. Because of this error in judgment, Trent does not cover a deep half, which allows Tate to get behind the defenders.
A commenter protests that gsimmons' meaning is not clear and the man himself descends to clarify:
I don't see Stevie Brown being responsible for a deep zone, if its man, he has back out of the backfield, if its three roll, he has flats, if its 2 read, he has underneath responsibility, one thing for sure, its not a deep quarter zone, you can tell by his alignment, and his eyes.
While I'm not going to dispute gsimmons' assertions about the coverages, I do think that there is a possibility Brown's alignment and eyes were screwed up because he was running the wrong coverage.
Arizona DE Craig Roh has committed to Michigan. Informative update coming.
GURU RATINGS & CHATTER
|4*, #67, #8 DE||4*, #188, #8 WDE||82, #87, #6 DE|
Roh's guru ratings are, on average, slightly better than Anthony LaLota, who committed last week. Roh will be a weakside compliment to Lalota, who's already around 260 and will probably play at at least 270. Roh's around 225, more of an edge rusher. ESPN bot Tom Luginbill:
"He is a prospect who plays smart and displays good recognition skills and instincts for the game and puts himself into positions to be successful on the field. He can quickly get off the ball and be violent with his hands. He has good speed and can pressure the quarterback. He is also a well-rounded prospect who also excels in the classroom with a 4.3 GPA."
ESPN's scouting report($) is weirdly reserved for a guy who is in their top 100 and will play in their All Star game this winter:
Roh is a productive and sound player. As he physically develops he has the tools to be a good and accountable defensive player at the college level. He may not always be the most athletic kid lined up, but he knows how to play the game and get himself in situations to be successful.
WTF? That reads more like the scouting report for a guy they give a three-star-equivalent rating. They mention the need to "add bulk," FWIW.
And your weekly dose of eeeeeeee Barwis:
"He's out-of-this-world good," Roh said of Michigan's new conditioning guru. "He was the most impressive strength and conditioning coach I've seen. He's very outside the box. They don't just do ordinary lifting, and that really impressed me."
Roh's final five was impressive: Michigan, USC, UCLA, Nebraska, and Arizona State. Other suitors were numerous: 40+ offers including Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Miami, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, LSU, Texas, and the entire Pac10.
99 tackles and 15.5 sacks as a junior, garnering all-state recognition.
FAKE 40 TIME
Roh's listed 40 is 4.72, which actually seems feasible given his stature.
Highlights from last year:
PREDICTION BASED ON FLIMSY EVIDENCE
Well, the kid is a top 100 recruit with offers from just about everyone. That's good. The add-bulk thing might dictate a redshirt, but only if Brandon Graham sticks around for his senior year. Without that luxury we'll probably see Roh on the field as a slight but explosive pass-rushing DE that tantalizes with the occasional big play.
Think Tim Jamison, who flew up recruiting boards his senior year to be rated even slightly above where Roh is currently hanging out. It'll be interesting to see his development under Barwis as opposed to Gittleson; hopefully his big strong muscles are the things getting developed instead of his spare tire.
UPSHOT FOR THE REST OF THE CLASS
Michigan's severe need at defensive end has been met in under a week by two high-rated players with offers from a who's who of college football programs. Huzzah! Assuming Michigan re-acquires the commitment of five-star DT Will Campbell, Michigan will have a full defensive line of four-star-plus prospects. Score.
The only potential downer: Lalota, who just started playing last year, and Roh, who needs to add weight, might need a year or two before they're ready to go. With Michigan's tendency to rotate defensive ends and the lack of options in front of him they might not have that luxury.
As far the rest of the class goes: Michigan's still in the running for a variety of other guys, including a top-50 type in SC DE Sam Montgomery, and may take a third. The next guy on commitment watch is Cass Tech safety Thomas Gordon; past that Michigan needs a couple more guys in the secondary and another OL or two.
Okay, so we put up the Bo T-Shirt during the summer and a lot of people purchased it. Then they waited because Rich Robots was switching providers and printers and this didn't go very well. These people got shirts, but very late, and they were charged very early.
Then we got a note from the Bo foundation/organization/paramilitary threatening to sue the begeezus out of us so we had to take the shirt down. We're currently trying to work something out with them, but I'm told things aren't looking great on that front. (But Bo can have his own merlot, which is a little mindboggling.)
This meant a large number of people who had not received the shirt sat there waiting and never got one and only got a refund eventually.
This is Not Good, and we're sorry. In an attempt to make it up to you, we've got a three-pronged attack:
- Anyone who ended up waiting an unacceptable amount of time and did not get a shirt should have a refund. If you don't, please email me. This summer I'm going to implement a "subscription" option that will remove the ads for anyone who signs up; these people will get two-year freebies.
- MGoStore is having a "no, seriously, we actually do make and send out shirts" sale. Everything is 25% off until September 30th. The sale code: "MGoBlog Autumn".
- We're also implementing a contest: every week the best diary entry as chosen by yrs truly, will get their diary bumped to the front page and a shirt of their choice for free. The start of a week is defined as Saturday; the diary contest will run weekly during the season and monthly the rest of the year.
Now is the time to get your "Bow Down, Little Brother" shirt.
- My father didn't wear the shirt to the Miami game.
- The sun got the message and went away like whoah
- Antonio Bass' traitorous knee doesn't seem like quite so enormous a deal after Dual Threet looked like an actual quarterback Saturday.
- Eagles Fans in Maize get off the board but project to return after Wisconsin.
- West Virginia has finally come around on Bill Stewart.
- Me, for completely forgetting this feature last week. If I do it again I'll have to be dead to me, which will be interesting.
- Ball oilers of South Bend. Hur hur hur. Actually, no: seriously, what's with the oily ball, South Bend?
- Incredibly Surprising Quarterback Draws. I'm done with these until Carlos Brown can run more than one play here. Also: Threet.
- Carson Butler. Line of the week came from commenter tbliggins in reference to the St. Patrick's Day Nerd Massacre: "Maybe Butler finally found the correct guy that asked to use his iron." +1. As for Carson: don't hit people, yo.
- The lack of sun. Dude, sun, you just don't do shades of gray on gameday, do you?
- The general bloodymindedness of the universe. *#@$ me, universe. Seriously? Are we seriously about to throw down?
- The 4-3 against a spread. Still not a fan, but probably will be against the Illini.
Roh! Though it comes with the promise of headline puns so horrible (Ruh Roh! or something about Rohing your boat, for example) that brains across the Midwest threaten to explode at the mere possibility, AZ DE Craig Roh will commit to a college tonight at 6:30 on ESPNU. If a guy commits on ESPNU, does he make a noise? We're about to find out. Probably the answer is yes.
As for the answer to "where will he go," all I can say is Sam Webb said something along the lines of "I am extremely, extremely, extremely, extremely, extremely, extremely confident" a couple days ago on WTKA, give or take an "extremely."
The peripherals are certainly encouraging: USC was thought to be the main competition but Roh took an unofficial to Arizona State instead of an official to USC last weekend. Meanwhile, the Trojans got Nick Perry in at the last second, which dims their depth chart's star in Roh's eye. He was scheduled to visit UCLA this weekend before suddenly deciding to decide.
So: probably good news.
You, you with the #38 jersey and diamond top hat. You're never going to believe your friggin' luck. No, seriously. This, my friend, is your lucky day.
Your lucky day.
BAM. Hey, I know what you're thinking: "a framed photograph of a pretty good but not exactly awe-inspiring kicker, I'd probably shell out at least 40 grand for that."
Well, let me tell you, man, this is your lucky day: just 170 bucks. It's hot, but it's not stolen!
Hey, remember when? I don't know what's weirder about this clip provided by a helpful reader: a future vice presidential candidate doing TV sports or Michigan basketball being notable enough to be discussed in Alaska. Relevant section comes after the dog racing:
Please, no politics discussion in the comments, as that only leads to doom.
Oh, Charlie. Classic Weis:
"I think the message I wanted to say to them before we went out of the locker room is, 'Today's the day you make the change,'" Weis said. "I'd like to sit there and take the kudos, but it wasn't me, it was the players."
Please attempt to imagine any other football coach in the world saying that.
Life on the margins sucks, yo. Anyone even vaguely familiar with Dr Saturday's brilliant Life on the Margins series knew that Michigan would figure prominently in this week's edition, and it is so:
Mr Hinton recaps the various pratfalls and sums up:
loss or not, Michigan should come away feeling better about its prospects for the season than it did after either of its first two games. Notre Dame's offense didn't do much when not handed a readymade scoring opportunity, and Michigan's offense, when not dropping the ball on the ground, looked like a functional unit for the first time, with a viable quarterback in Steven Threet and a potential star in Sam McGuffie. And there's no way they lose four fumbles again in a single afternoon.
This echoes the "Fluck" post from Monday; I co-sign except for the "now way they lose four fumbles again" part. Because: seriously.
For posterity. Because I just know there will be snarky newspaper articles going "lol internet" after Michigan ceases its reign of suck, I just want to note this lolmsm piece from the Monroe Evening News:
Well, Rich Rodriguez certainly has lowered the bar. After a 1-2 start, Michigan football fans searching for something are relegated to pointing out that the Wolverines have improved every week.
That's not saying much. Michigan was horrible in its season-opening loss to Utah. It struggled to beat less-than-mediocre Miami (Ohio) last week, a team that is tied for last place in the Mid-American Conference.
Indeed, Miami(Ohio) is tied for last place at 0-0. It goes on from there. It's vastly stupid and knee-jerk and all that. It did not come from the internet. I'm going to collect these.
Meanwhile in Cheeseland. Jonathan Casillas given a DUI after blowing a .15 and draws no suspension. Not that this is surprising since Bret Bielema has shown tremendous reluctance to suspend players for anything short of instigating thermonuclear war, but surely there has to be some Wisconsin-based Sharp ready to proclaim the downfall of western civilization. Actually, no: as of yet there's zero media reaction.
Also, Casillas was on a moped. This is in and of itself hilarious, but two years ago another Wisconsin linebacker, Elijah Hodge, was arrested for stealing a moped. So, like… wow. Mopeds.
It's alive. The Big Ten Network was a money sink last year, but not this year:
Murdoch said that its college sports channel—the Big Ten Network—cost about $83 million to launch. But in the past few months the network has reached distribution deals with most of the major cable operators—it signed deals with Comcast and Time Warner in June and August—and is expected to report a small profit this year.
Now just imagine if they got actual advertisements on the BTN.
Sometimes I am lame and don't answer questions in a timely fashion. So some of this stuff makes no the sense, as I meant to post this up before the ND game. Bear with me.
Why do our quarterbacks clap to initiate the play?. Is a traditional snap count something Rod has done away with to simplify the offense or is this just a feature of his spread? Our o-line is a weakness as it is, I don't think we need to make it any easier on opposing defenders...
I’m just as puzzled about the clapping as you are. The process appears to be:
- The offense sets.
- The quarterback raises his leg like you see most NFL QBs do in the shotgun.
- The QB checks with the sideline for a new play.
- QB claps, center snaps.
I’m pretty sure Michigan isn’t using no snap count whatsoever, it’s just that the count is silent. DEs don’t have license to time the snap with impunity. There will be variable pauses between the clap and the snap.
Michigan lines up in a set, ready-to-snap position to force the defense to reveal its formation, but after they go to the sidelines you'll see a lot of shifting by the D, making the first read of questionable value. Michigan hasn't snapped it after the first ready-snap signal yet… why? It would seem a good opportunity to catch the opponent napping.
I chalk it up to inexperience with the offense; I assume we'll see it later this year and in future years when Rodriguez isn't working with the equivalent of all freshmen.
How worried should we be that Rodriguez seems to be using too many scholarships on 3-star backs and receivers when we're in pretty severe need of, say, linebackers, DEs and O-linemen? I guess he probably knows what he's doing, but I feel like somebody needs to tell him, "hey, you're Michigan now, you can recruit sweet players at positions of need. And if you're going to stockpile that many skill guys on offense, you can at least get the good ones."
This email is a little old and was written before the Lalota commitment, but the point still stands. Until I knock it down. Michigan's three star skill commitments are:
- Teric Jones, who a lot of people think will move up.
- Vincent Smith. Smith is like 5'8 or 5'6", so he's not going to get high guru rankings unless he's ridiculous a la Noel Devine. But he's a fit for the spread at a spot (slot/RB) where Michigan needs more numbers.
- DeWayne Peace. Peace was the one camp offer/commit this year. Michigan usually got a few of these guys under Carr, so that's not out of line. Peace is also a potential corner.
That doesn't seem out of line when you consider that Michigan has a solid four-star RB in Fitzgerald Toussaint and a top-100 WR in Bryce McNeal. And no tight ends, ever again.
Meanwhile, Michigan is on track for a Lalota-Jones-Campbell-Roh DL (which reads excellent-good-sick-excellent in terms of guru hype and offers). They've got four-ish LBs in the class. And they'll be graduating no offensive linemen.
At this point the biggest needs are in the secondary, where Michigan has one excellent prospect in JT Turner and will probably pick up three-star safety Thomas Gordon but needs another two guys, and on the OL, where you'd like to see them acquire one or two more guys.
I have a question for you. I have located lists of things to do or see when I have been going to a couple of other colleges to watch games (Notre Dame, Michigan St), but I haven't ever seen a list of things to do or see when you are going to a Michigan game, other then at Maize N Brew, and I can't eat that much pizza. I had a great time touring around Notre Dame and walking around State before the Michigan/State game last year.
I am wondering if you can give a bit of help to a Canadian who is a big Michigan fan, but has yet to see many of the game day festivities on his trips to the big house, other then the stadium itself and saline rd. Any advice?
This email so old that I think this guy may have come and gone, but it's a good question anyway. I have a Visitors Guide to Ann Arbor in the works that has an ETA of 2009; for now I suggest checking out Arbor Wiki for a general overview of stuff and (debatably accurate since they don't have an entry that says STAY AWAY FROM "MONKEY BAR" AT ALL COSTS) restaurant/bar recommendations.
Personally, I don't really know much in the way of what goes on for gameday festivities because my routine since time immemorial has been to go to my family tailgate. Can commenters/emailers help?
Via Mike Krautner comes this summary of the Orin Incandenza action from the first two games:
Below is a list of of the yards for each of our opponents 14 punts this season:
52, 38 (but to the Michigan 11 yard line), 36 (touchback), 59, Blocked, 48, 50, 56, 55, 53, 74, 35 (but to the Michigan 10 yard line), 58, 46.
What a nightmare for a team with an awful offense (and a clueless punt returner).
And, finally, there's no way to post this without ripping off Bill Simmons:
Yes, someone got a custom-made MGoOnesie for their baby. I have to say it: yep, these are my readers.